scholarly journals Modeling airport congestion contagion by heterogeneous SIS epidemic spreading on airline networks

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. e0245043
Author(s):  
Alberto Ceria ◽  
Klemens Köstler ◽  
Rommy Gobardhan ◽  
Huijuan Wang

In this work, we explore the possibility of using a heterogeneous Susceptible- Infected-Susceptible SIS spreading process on an airline network to model airport congestion contagion with the objective to reproduce airport vulnerability. We derive the vulnerability of each airport from the US Airport Network data as the congestion probability of each airport. In order to capture diverse flight features between airports, e.g. frequency and duration, we construct three types of airline networks. The infection rate of each link in the SIS spreading process is proportional to its corresponding weight in the underlying airline network constructed. The recovery rate of each node is also heterogeneous, dependent on its node strength in the underlying airline network, which is the total weight of the links incident to the node. Such heterogeneous recovery rate is motivated by the fact that large airports may recover fast from congestion due to their well-equipped infrastructures. The nodal infection probability in the meta-stable state is used as a prediction of the vulnerability of the corresponding airport. We illustrate that our model could reproduce the distribution of nodal vulnerability and rank the airports in vulnerability evidently better than the SIS model whose recovery rate is homogeneous. The vulnerability is the largest at airports whose strength in the airline network is neither too large nor too small. This phenomenon can be captured by our heterogeneous model, but not the homogeneous model where a node with a larger strength has a higher infection probability. This explains partially the out-performance of the heterogeneous model. This proposed congestion contagion model may shed lights on the development of strategies to identify vulnerable airports and to mitigate global congestion by e.g. congestion reduction at selected airports.

Author(s):  
Daniel Trpevski ◽  
Kire Stamenov ◽  
Ljupčo Kocarev

A b s t r a c t: In this article we propose a model for the spread of two types of information in networks. The model is a natural generalization of the epidemic susceptible-infective-susceptible(SIS) model. The two information types have different attractiveness, which affects the nodes' decision on which information type to adopt when both arrive at a node in the same time step. At difference with results from other authors, the model shows simultaneous existence of the two information types in the stable state. We give approximations for the average number of nodes informed with each information type at the end of the spreading process when nodes have high degree.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 2484 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Jin ◽  
Ye Wei ◽  
Chunliang Xiu ◽  
Wei Song ◽  
Kaixian Yang

The air passenger transport network system is an important agent of social and economic connections between cities. Studying on the airline network structure and providing optimization strategies can improve the airline industry sustainability evolution. As basic building blocks of broad networks, the concept of network motifs is cited in this paper to apply to the structural characteristic analysis of the passenger airline network. The ENUMERATE SUBGRAPHS (G, k) algorithm is used to identify the motifs and anti-motifs of the passenger airline network in China. A total of 37 airline companies are subjected to motif identification and exploring the structural and functional characteristics of the airline networks corresponding to different motifs. These 37 airline companies are classified according to the motif concentration curves into three development stages, which include mono-centric divergence companies at the low-level development stage, transitional companies at the intermediate development stage, and multi-centric and hierarchical companies at the advanced development stage. Finally, we found that adjusting the number of proper network motifs is useful to optimize the overall structure of airline networks, which is profitable for air transport sustainable development.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 888
Author(s):  
Jumpei Inoue ◽  
Kousuke Kuto

This paper is concerned with an SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion model. The purpose of this paper is to derive some effects of the spatial heterogeneity of the recovery rate on the total population of infected and the reproduction number. The proof is based on an application of our previous result on the unboundedness of the ratio of the species to the resource for a diffusive logistic equation. Our pure mathematical result can be epidemically interpreted as that a regional difference in the recovery rate can make the infected population grow in the case when the reproduction number is slightly larger than one.


1995 ◽  
Vol 268 (5) ◽  
pp. F972-F979
Author(s):  
A. Remuzzi ◽  
B. Ene-Iordache

Anatomical studies have demonstrated that the glomerular capillaries are complex and heterogeneous networks. Conventional models of glomerular size selectivity, however, are based on the assumption of simplified geometries. We developed a theoretical model of glomerular size-selective function based on the geometric data obtained in a previous reconstruction of a glomerular network from a normal Munich-Wistar rat. This heterogeneous model was compared with the homogeneous model conventionally used to calculate membrane selective parameters from the fractional clearance of two test solutes, neutral dextran and Ficoll. For both models we assumed a hypothetical log-normal distribution of pore sizes and calculated optimal membrane pore-size parameters using previously published values of fractional clearances. The difference between the sieving coefficients calculated with the two models was negligible, never exceeding 5.5%. Since the homogeneous model does not consider the pressure drop along the glomerular capillary, we also computed fractional clearances with the homogeneous model, assuming the same pressure drop as in the heterogeneous one. The differences in computed fractional clearances using the homogeneous model with and without a pressure drop were less than 1.2%. We concluded that models based on identical capillary networks can therefore be used for interpreting sieving coefficients for macromolecules.


1990 ◽  
Vol 112 (4) ◽  
pp. 457-463 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maithili Sharan ◽  
M. P. Singh ◽  
A. Aminataei

A two layer model for the blood oxygenation in pulmonary capillaries is proposed. The model consists of a core of erythrocytes surrounded by a symmetrically placed plasma layer. The governing equations in the core describe the free molecular diffusion, convection, and facilitated diffusion due to the presence of haemoglobin. The corresponding equations in the plasma layer are based on the free molecular diffusion and the convective effect of the blood. According to the axial train model for the blood flow proposed by Whitmore (1967), the core will move with a uniform velocity whereas flow in the plasma layer will be fully developed. The resulting system of nonlinear partial differential equations is solved numerically. A fixed point iterative technique is used to deal with the nonlinearities. The distance traversed by the blood before getting fully oxygenated is computed. It is shown that the concentration of O2 increases continuously along the length of the capillary for a given ratio of core radius to capillary radius. It is found that the rate of oxygenation increases as the core to capillary ratio decreases. The equilibration length increases with a heterogeneous model in comparison to that in a homogeneous model. The effect of capillary diameters and core radii on the rate of oxygenation has also been examined.


2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (12) ◽  
pp. 1650141 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Verma ◽  
N. A. M. Araújo ◽  
J. Nagler ◽  
J. S. Andrade ◽  
H. J. Herrmann

We propose a probabilistic growth model for transport networks which employs a balance between popularity of nodes and the physical distance between nodes. By comparing the degree of each node in the model network and the World Airline Network (WAN), we observe that the difference between the two is minimized for [Formula: see text]. Interestingly, this is the value obtained for the node–node correlation function in the WAN. This suggests that our model explains quite well the growth of airline networks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 400 ◽  
pp. 45-50
Author(s):  
Antonildo Santos Pereira ◽  
Rodrigo Moura da Silva ◽  
Maria Conceição Nóbrega Machado ◽  
Luan Pedro Melo Azerêdo ◽  
Anderson Ferreira Vilela ◽  
...  

The study of heat transfer in fixed bed tubular reactors of heated or cooled walls has presented great interest by the academy and industry. The adequate and safe design of such equipment requires the use of reliable and realistic mathematical. Unfortunately several studies are restrict to homogeneous model applied to circular and elliptic cylindrical reactors. Then, the objective of this work was to predict heat transfer in packed-bed elliptic cylindrical reactor, by using a proposed heterogeneous model. The mathematical model is composed for one solid phase and another fluid phase, in which the balance equation for each constituent is applied separately. The finite volume method was utilized to solve the partial differential equations using the WUDS scheme for interpolation of the convective and diffusive terms, and the fully implicit formulation. Results of the temperature distribution of the fluid and solid phases along the reactor are presented and analyzed. It was verified that the highest temperature gradients of the phases are located close to the wall and inlet of the reactor.


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