scholarly journals Risk assessment of prospective investment projects for the construction of nuclear power plants abroad

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2.23) ◽  
pp. 251 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna I. Guseva ◽  
Matvey V. Koptelov
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Industrial Development ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Energy Agency ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Development Organization ◽  
State Corporation

The article deals with the development of nuclear energy, classification of risks, approaches to risk assessment of investment projects of NPP construction abroad. Presented integrated methodology for assessing the risks of nuclear investment projects is based on the recommendations of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO), the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the sectoral methodological recommendations of the State corporation Rosatom. A way of accounting for risks in the calculation of economic efficiency is proposed. Calculations have been made for several real NPP construction projects (Rooppur NPP in Bangladesh, Astravets NPP in Belarus, Hanhikivi NPP in Finland). Analysis of the results of these projects shows that, taking into account all types of risks, its investment attractiveness has significantly decreased. 

scholarly journals The influence of factor space on the value of discount rate in the assessment of investment projects

2018 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
pp. 01091
Author(s):  
Yuliya Anoshina ◽  
Valery Gusev ◽  
Svetlana Suchkova ◽  
Roman Gorshkov ◽  
Elena Smorodina
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Life Cycle ◽  
Discount Rate ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Factor Space ◽  
Internal Environment ◽  
General Classification ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Rate Calculation

The purpose of the paper is to identify factor space influencing on the value of discount rate in the assessment of effectiveness of investment and construction projects. As a result of investigation, a general classification of investment and construction risks was drawn up, depending on influence of external and internal environment of the enterprise. The factor space, which is used for initial data of separate investment and construction projects, was identified. A general algorithm of risk assessment of investment and construction project is developed, taking into account the reasoned justification of the method used for discount rate calculation, with the possible application of the variable discount rate at different stages of project’s life cycle.

scholarly journals CANDU FIRE DATABASE

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 179-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hossam Shalabi ◽  
George Hadjisophocleous
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Data Exchange ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Nuclear Energy ◽  
Energy Agency ◽  
Candu Reactors ◽  
Weighting Factors ◽  
Future Potential

The Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) is a specialized agency within the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The International Fire Data Exchange Project (OECD FIRE) was designed by the NEA to encourage multilateral co-operation in the collection and analysis of data relating to fire events in nuclear power plants. We used Python advanced software to analyze the data related to CANDU reactor plants in Canada from the OECD FIRE Database, while providing weighting factors/percentage tables to be used in CANDU Fire probabilistic risk assessment analysis. We also used 5 different time-series methods to predict future potential fires in CANDU reactors, compared the results from different methods, and identified the best method to predict future fires in CANDU power plants.

scholarly journals Structure of realised risks of projects for construction nuclear power plant by Rosatom State Corporation in 2010-2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 258 ◽  
pp. 09081
Author(s):  
Ivan Voronkov ◽  
Roman Ostrovskii
Keyword(s):  
Power Plant ◽  
Nuclear Power Plant ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Plant Construction ◽  
State Corporation ◽  
Late Detection

Rosatom State Corporation is one of the world leaders in the construction of nuclear power plant (NPP), keeping a ten-year portfolio of foreign orders at the level of 140 billion $. Taking into account the long period of construction nuclear power plant, significant amount of capital investment, significant number of participants investment-construction project, critically important for constructer organizer to identify and consider possible risks of project implementation in time, developing and improving its management mechanisms. As a part of research risk analysis and systematization was performed, realized in the construction of nuclear power plants by domestic specialist in 2008-2020 (Novovoronezh NPP-2, Rostov NPP, Kursk NPP-2, Belarussian NPP, NPP Kudankulm, NPP El-Dabaa, NPP Akkuyu, NPP Rooppur, NPP Paksh-2). Based on the analysis formed 8 risk families, determined shares of these groups in general registry. The revealed structure of realized risks demonstrates, that the largest share in general registry is made up of technical and organizational risks, which are systematically given insufficient attention by researches and construction organizers. Conducted research also allows us to draw a conclusion about the most common risk concerning late detection of complex conditions of the object placement site, which was implemented in five projects out of nine considered. The results of the accomplished research can be used in the development of modern nuclear power plant construction projects in Russia and abroad, which will have a positive impact on the competitiveness of domestic projects in the global nuclear power plant market and increase their profitability. The experience of nuclear power in terms of risk management can become a driver for full-scale improvement of organizational and technological approaches in the construction of unique buildings and structures in the future.

Humanitarian and Technological Revolution: Experience and Challenges of Engineering Evolution

2020 ◽  
Vol 152 ◽  
pp. 54-63
Author(s):  
Aleksandr I. Ageev ◽  
◽  
Alexander V. Putilov ◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Nuclear Power ◽  
Industrial Development ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Life Support ◽  
Technological Development ◽  
Industrial Society ◽  
Human Potential ◽  
Technological Revolution ◽  
Post Industrial

Changing the priorities of economic development in transition to post-industrial society inevitably causes reviewing approaches to the role of innovation in modern economy. If in the era of industrial development of society innovations are considered mainly as a factor of technological development, in case of a post-industrial society innovations should be considered in a broader perspective. Innovative technologies in all their diversity are being introduced not only in the technological sphere, but also in education, in the service industry, housing and communal services, life support sphere, etc. The problem of shifting regions and separate territories to innovative development approaches is one of the key issues in forming an economy based on knowledge. “Nuclear” cities, where development of nuclear technologies is implemented both for defense and civilian purposes (nuclear power plants, nuclear fuel production, etc.), can be ideally used as territories of advanced social and economic development (TASED) primarily thanks to human potential of these cities. The article analyzes recent humanitarian and technological changes, called the “humanitarian technological revolution” (HTR), and their impact on the speed and effectiveness of innovative changes in this area.

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