scholarly journals Risks and economic analysis of orange culture: case study of a producer from the interior of São Paulo State, Brazil

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 354
Author(s):  
Fernando Rodrigues de Amorim ◽  
José Claudenir Nanetti Junior ◽  
Pedro Henrique Camargo de Abreu
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
Economic Viability ◽  
Financial Resources ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method

The Brazilian citriculture is one of the activities that generate the most income within the agrobusiness, being responsible for providing opportunities for thousands of direct and indirect workers, besides being a sector that moves a great amount of financial resources. The orange crop has been going through great price swings in the recent years, and with this, many farmers are failing to invest in potential, as a result of the risks involved in the activity. A large part of these risks is related to the buyer market, which is controlled by the large juice industries and by the high capital required for the implementation of the new orchards. The objective of this work is to identify the risk factors for attractiveness and to analyze the economic viability of the orange crop in a farm in the municipality of Bauru, in the state of São Paulo. For this, the Monte Carlo method be used to simulate the probabilities of success in the scenarios analyzed and the NPV, IRR and Payback to determine the feasibility of the project. The research is characterized as a case study. The results obtained showed that the investment is feasible, only in the real and optimistic scenario and will provide a return between the 6th and the 7th year of the project, providing a balance of approximately R$ 4,190,252.94 after 10 years of investment which represents an attractive compared to the initial investment value of R$ 937,500.00.

scholarly journals Analysis of the economic viability of a rural tourism enterprise in Brazil: an application of the Monte Carlo Method

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1365
Author(s):  
Fernando Rodrigues Amorim ◽  
Bianca Regina Ferreira Silveira ◽  
Edilene Alves Dos Santos ◽  
Pedro Henrique Camargo de Abreu ◽  
Juliana Rosa Tostes
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Cash Flow ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Rural Tourism ◽  
Economic Viability ◽  
Exploratory Research ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
The City

The acquisition of projects aimed at rural tourism represents an alternative for generating income. The objective of this study was to evaluate the viability of purchasing a farm that is structured as a hostel, located in Joanópolis, interior of São Paulo, Brazil. The method was based on exploratory research based on a case study comparing the economic viability of this project. However, this viability is surrounded by uncertainties and risks. With this, the Monte Carlo method was used to analyze this probability. The data were obtained through the Department of Tourism in the city of Joanópolis from primary and secondary data. The calculations were made for work during a year drawn up in a cash flow with the monthly expenses of the hostel. From the results it was concluded that it is feasible to buy this hostel in the real and optimistic scenario and in the Monte Carlo method analyzing the project’s total NPV values

Seroprevalence of and risk factors for Toxoplasma gondii in sheep raised in the Jaboticabal microregion, São Paulo State, Brazil

2010 ◽  
Vol 88 (1) ◽  
pp. 104-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Welber Daniel Zanetti Lopes ◽  
Thaís Rabelo dos Santos ◽  
Ricardo dos Santos da Silva ◽  
Walter Matheus Rossanese ◽  
Fernando Augusto de Souza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Toxoplasma Gondii ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
São Paulo State

Geoelectrical characterization using joint inversion of VES/TEM data: A case study in Paraná Sedimentary Basin, São Paulo State, Brazil

2014 ◽  
Vol 111 ◽  
pp. 33-46 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cassiano Antonio Bortolozo ◽  
Marco Antonio Couto ◽  
Jorge Luís Porsani ◽  
Emerson Rodrigo Almeida ◽  
Fernando Acácio Monteiro dos Santos
Keyword(s):  
Sedimentary Basin ◽  
Joint Inversion ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
São Paulo State ◽  
Paraná Sedimentary Basin

Evaluation of infections by Candida at a university hospital of Vale do Paraíba region, São Paulo State, Brazil: species distribution, colonization, risk factors and antifungal susceptibility

2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (7) ◽  
pp. 1-2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonia Khouri ◽  
Luciana da Silva Ruiz ◽  
Marcos Ereno Auler ◽  
Bosco Christiano Maciel da Silva ◽  
Virgínia Bodelão Richini Pereira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Species Distribution ◽  
Antifungal Susceptibility ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
São Paulo State

scholarly journals Economic viability of peanut production on leased land in the Jaboticabal region of São Paulo state, Brazil

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
pp. 142
Author(s):  
David Ferreira Lopes Santos ◽  
Bruna Luísa Da Silva ◽  
Juliana Borba De Moraes Farinelli ◽  
Kandy Horita ◽  
Camila Aparecida Fonseca Souza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Net Present Value ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
Economic Viability ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
Peanut Crop ◽  
Sugarcane Crop ◽  
São Paulo State ◽  
Break Even Point

Peanut cultivation has been used as a rotation crop in sugarcane renewal areas in São Paulo, state, Brazil. This practice guarantees agronomic and economic benefits to the region in a way complementary to the sugarcane crop. Small- and medium-sized rural producers have specialized in the cultivation of peanuts in the of renewal sugarcane areas, with production mainly occurring via a lease contract system. Thus, the objective of this study is to analyze the economic viability of commercial and productive operations associated with the peanut cultivation in leased areas. From a delimitated production profile modal, it was possible to analyze economic viability by triangulating secondary and primary information for peanut cultivation in Jaboticabal, the city of greatest production of this oil-giving seed in Brazil. Using Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Return on Investment and Point of Equilibrium techniques, it was possible to show that the peanut crop is operationally feasible. However, financial and economic viability only occurred when leases cost equal or less than 50 sacks per hectare and when the producer was able to work with an area equal to or greater than 91 hectares (the break-even point). These results bring new economic information, supplementing that already in literature and provides data necessary for the rural producer to plan of production and size of investment.

Air quality and health impact assessment of a truckers' strike in Sao Paulo state, Brazil: A case study

Urban Climate ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. 100687 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniela Debone ◽  
Luciana Ferreira Leite Leirião ◽  
Simone Georges El Khouri Miraglia
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Impact Assessment ◽  
Health Impact Assessment ◽  
Health Impact ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
São Paulo State

Lithic Landscapes and Early Inhabitants in Southeastern Brazil: First Perspectives from a Case Study in Dourado, São Paulo State

PaleoAmerica ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolás Batalla ◽  
Letícia C. Correa ◽  
Astolfo G. M. Araujo
Keyword(s):  
Sao Paulo ◽  
Southeastern Brazil ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
São Paulo State

MONTE CARLO SIMULATIONS FOR THE RISK MANAGEMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION

2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 87-101
Author(s):  
OSAMA A. B. HASSAN
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulations ◽  
Environmental Pollution ◽  
Human Health ◽  
Stochastic Models ◽  
Chemical Pollution ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method

This article attempts to adapt the Monte Carlo method to the quantitative risk management of environmental pollution. In this context, the feasibility of stochastic models to quantitatively evaluate the risk of chemical pollution is first discussed and then linked to a case study in which Monte Carlo simulations are applied. The objective of the case study is to develop a Monte Carlo scheme for evaluating the pollution in a lake environment. It is shown that the results can be of interest as they define the risk margins that are important to the sustainability of the ecosystem in general, and human health in particular. Moreover, assessing the environmental pollution with the help of the Monte Carlo method can be feasible and serve the purpose of investigating and controlling the environmental pollution, in the long and short terms.

Breastfeeding, genetic, obstetric and other risk factors associated with mother-to-child transmission of HIV-1 in Sao Paulo State, Brazil

AIDS ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 513-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz H. Tess ◽  
Laura C. Rodrigues ◽  
Marie-Louise Newell ◽  
David T. Dunn ◽  
Tania D.G. Lago
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Mother To Child Transmission ◽  
Child Transmission ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
Paulo State ◽  
São Paulo State ◽  
Mother To Child ◽  
Hiv 1
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