The impact of sovereign credit rating changes on government bond yields in South Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Misheck Mutize ◽  
McBride M. Nkhalamba
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Sovereign credit rating and contagion effects on financial markets of Asian region

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (6) ◽  
pp. 48-69
Author(s):  
Natalia Pivnitskaya ◽  
Tamara Teplova
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Contagion Effect ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Asian Region ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

This article studies the contagion effects on the emerging financial markets of the Asian region. The contagion effect is manifested in the change of interconnection degree of financial markets after the shock in one of the countries of the region. In the paper, we consider the information on potential or actual change in sovereign credit rating as a shock leading to a contagion effect. Our sample includes evidence from 7 Asian countries covering the period from 2000 to 2018. We use the DCC-GARCH model which allows us to take into account the peculiarities of financial data behavior. We intend to show the effect of inconsistencies in ratings assigned by various agencies on strengthening or weakening the processes of contagion on Asia’s stock markets. We also study the impact of historical inconsistencies between credit rating outlooks and actual rating changes on the level of «trust» to credit outlooks in the future. In assessing the impact of discrepancies we assume that the market remembers recent events better than more distant in time. We were able to confirm the impact of inconsistencies in the ratings given by different rating agencies for China, Hong Kong, and India. In addition, we found that the presence of inconsistencies between the outlooks and actual rating updates in the past tend to weaken the trust regarding positive outlooks rather than negative ones.

scholarly journals The impact of sovereign credit rating downgrade to foreign direct investment in South Africa

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Virimai Victor Mugobo ◽  
Misheck Mutize
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Attractive Alternative ◽  
Risk Allocation ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Global Investors ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has grown to be an attractive alternative to borrowing from multilateral institutions such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund for emerging economies. Global investors prefer investing in countries which have received a Sovereign Credit Rating (SCR) as they perceive it as a good measure of risk allocation. This research applied an event study methodology to SCR downgrades from the three international CRAs (Moody, Standard and Poor and Fitch) over the period 2004 to 2014 to investigate the impact of SCR change on FDI flow into South Africa. Empirical findings show that there is a statistically significant relationship between FDI and SCR downgrades. Evidence also shows that not all downgrades from the three CRAs equally affect investors’ decisions as Moody’s downgrades tend to dominate, causing FDI to reaction at with a higher magnitude. However, not only SCR downgrade determines FDI flow into SA but there is a host of other fundamentals that government should address to attract investment and stabilise financial markets.

scholarly journals On the Asymmetries of Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Financial Market Development in the European Region

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 6636 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chunling Li ◽  
Khansa Pervaiz ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan ◽  
Faheem Ur Rehman ◽  
Judit Oláh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Market Development ◽  
European Region ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

In modeling the impact of sovereign credit rating (CR) on financial markets, a considerable amount of the literature to date has been devoted to examining the short-term impact of CR on financial markets via an event-study methodology. The argument has been established that financial markets are sensitive to CR announcements, and market reactions to such announcements (both upgrading and degrading) are not the same. Using the framework of an autoregressive distributed lag setting, the present study attempted to empirically test the linear and non-linear impacts of CR on financial market development (FMD) in the European region. Nonlinear specification is capable to capture asymmetries (upgrades and downgrades) in the estimation process, which have not been considered to date in financial market literature. Overall findings identified long-term asymmetries, while there was little evidence supporting the existence of short-term asymmetries. Thus, the present study has extended the financial market literature on the subject of the asymmetrical impact of a sovereign CR on European FMD and provides useful input for policy formation taking into account these nonlinearities. Policies solely based upon linear models may be misleading and detrimental.

scholarly journals Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Baltic Stock Markets

2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asta Klimavičienė
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Relevant Information ◽  
Price Impact ◽  
Delayed Reaction ◽  
Asymmetric Reaction ◽  
Credit Rating Agency ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

This study examines whether sovereign credit rating announcements convey price relevant information to investors in Baltic stock markets, and tests the degree of anticipation and price reaction. Event study methodology is employed to test for the price impact of sovereign credit rating announcements by Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch. This enables to analyse whether there is an anticipation of the forthcoming announcement in a particular market, a price impact on the announcement day, and a possible delayed reaction. Results indicate that there is an asymmetric reaction: the price impact of negative events is several times larger than that of positive events. Moreover, although some types of rating announcements are anticipated, there is still a significant price impact on the announcement day. The impact differs across the three Baltic stock markets, and depends on the credit rating agency issuing the announcement. The main conclusion is that sovereign credit rating announcements contain pricing relevant news in addition to information already in a public domain.

scholarly journals Stock Market Reactions To Sovereign Credit Rating Changes: Evidence From Four European Countries

2014 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 953 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Fatnassi ◽  
Zied Ftiti ◽  
Habib Hasnaoui
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
Stock Market Reactions ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

We analyze the reactions of the returns of four European stock markets to sovereign credit rating changes by Fitch, Moodys, and Standard and Poors (S&P) during the period from June 2008 to June 2012 using panel regression equations. We find that (i) upgrades and downgrades affect both own country returns and other countries returns, (ii) market reactions to foreign downgrades are stronger during the sovereign debt crisis period, and (iii) negative news from rating agencies are more informative than positive news.

How do sovereign credit rating changes affect private investment?

2013 ◽  
Vol 37 (12) ◽  
pp. 4820-4833 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng-Syan Chen ◽  
Hsien-Yi Chen ◽  
Chong-Chuo Chang ◽  
Shu-Ling Yang
Keyword(s):  
Credit Rating ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating
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