scholarly journals Stock Market Reactions To Sovereign Credit Rating Changes: Evidence From Four European Countries

2014 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 953 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Fatnassi ◽  
Zied Ftiti ◽  
Habib Hasnaoui
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Regression Equations ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
Stock Market Reactions ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

We analyze the reactions of the returns of four European stock markets to sovereign credit rating changes by Fitch, Moodys, and Standard and Poors (S&P) during the period from June 2008 to June 2012 using panel regression equations. We find that (i) upgrades and downgrades affect both own country returns and other countries returns, (ii) market reactions to foreign downgrades are stronger during the sovereign debt crisis period, and (iii) negative news from rating agencies are more informative than positive news.

Sovereign credit rating and contagion effects on financial markets of Asian region

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (6) ◽  
pp. 48-69
Author(s):  
Natalia Pivnitskaya ◽  
Tamara Teplova
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Contagion Effect ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit ◽  
Asian Region ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Sovereign Credit Rating

This article studies the contagion effects on the emerging financial markets of the Asian region. The contagion effect is manifested in the change of interconnection degree of financial markets after the shock in one of the countries of the region. In the paper, we consider the information on potential or actual change in sovereign credit rating as a shock leading to a contagion effect. Our sample includes evidence from 7 Asian countries covering the period from 2000 to 2018. We use the DCC-GARCH model which allows us to take into account the peculiarities of financial data behavior. We intend to show the effect of inconsistencies in ratings assigned by various agencies on strengthening or weakening the processes of contagion on Asia’s stock markets. We also study the impact of historical inconsistencies between credit rating outlooks and actual rating changes on the level of «trust» to credit outlooks in the future. In assessing the impact of discrepancies we assume that the market remembers recent events better than more distant in time. We were able to confirm the impact of inconsistencies in the ratings given by different rating agencies for China, Hong Kong, and India. In addition, we found that the presence of inconsistencies between the outlooks and actual rating updates in the past tend to weaken the trust regarding positive outlooks rather than negative ones.

Sovereign rating announcements and the integration of African banking markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 484-500
Author(s):  
Jianan He ◽  
Dirk Schiereck
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Market Reactions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
Stock Market Reactions

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the information spillover of sovereign rating changes on the market valuation of bank stocks in Africa. Design methodology First, the authors apply event study methodology to evaluate the stock market reaction of African bank stocks on the announcement of sovereign rating changes. Second, the cross sections of the abnormal returns are examined by multivariate regression analyses. Third, the findings are proved for robustness. Findings The authors investigate how 37 African banks react to 203 African sovereign rating announcements from the three leading credit rating agencies over the period 2010-2016 and find that negative announcements trigger the significant positive stock reactions of African banks, especially contributed by banks in the non-reviewed African countries. These unusual reactions can be explained by the low integration and the severe information asymmetry of African capital markets. The authors further locate the influencing factors of banks’ reactions and show that rating downgrades magnify the abnormal effects while the membership of the African Free Trade Zone mildens the stock market reactions. Research limitations/implications Limitations are given by the limited sample size. There are only limited numbers of publicly listed African banks with sufficient trading data. Practical implications The paper argues for a critical dependency of African bank equity valuation in the case of sovereign debt rating changes in neighbor countries. This observation is important for the risk assessment of African banking assets. Originality/value The paper is the first to examine stock market reactions on sovereign rating announcements for the evaluation of capital market integration in Africa. It thereby underlines the usefulness of this simply to apply approach as an instrument for ongoing examining the progress in capital market development in emerging countries.

scholarly journals The Role of Credit Rating Agencies in Sovereign Debt Markets

2018 ◽  
pp. 146-166
Author(s):  
Aline Darbellay
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Past Century ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings

Since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009, the leading credit rating agencies (CRAs) have faced an increasing level of legal and regulatory scrutiny in the United States (US) and in the European Union (EU). This chapter sheds light on the promise and perils of sovereign credit ratings in the light of the European sovereign debt crisis. The leading CRAs have been blamed for providing investors with inaccurate credit ratings, facing inappropriate incentives and lack of oversight. This chapter addresses the evolving function performed by CRAs over the past century. Traditionally, CRAs are private market actors assessing the creditworthiness of borrowers and debt instruments. Since the first sovereign bond ratings assigned in 1918, the rating business has grown in size and importance. Sovereign ratings supposedly predict financial distress of governments. Their role has shifted over the last four decades. Although they have repeatedly been blamed for being poor predictors of sovereign debt crises, CRAs continue to play a key role in modern capital markets.

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