Dynamic Behavior of an SIR Epidemic Model along with Time Delay; Crowley–Martin Type Incidence Rate and Holling Type II Treatment Rate

Author(s):  
Abhishek Kumar ◽  
Nilam

Abstract In this article, we propose and analyze a time-delayed susceptible–infected–recovered (SIR) mathematical model with nonlinear incidence rate and nonlinear treatment rate for the control of infectious diseases and epidemics. The incidence rate of infection is considered as Crowley–Martin functional type and the treatment rate is considered as Holling functional type II. The stability of the model is investigated for the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE) points. From the mathematical analysis of the model, we prove that the model is locally asymptotically stable for DFE when the basic reproduction number {R_0} is less than unity ({R_0} \lt 1) and unstable when {R_0} is greater than unity ({R_0} \gt 1) for time lag \tau \ge 0. The stability behavior of the model for DFE at {R_0} = 1 is investigated using Castillo-Chavez and Song theorem, which shows that the model exhibits forward bifurcation at {R_0} = 1. We investigate the stability of the EE for time lag \tau \ge 0. We also discussed the Hopf bifurcation of EE numerically. Global stability of the model equilibria is also discussed. Furthermore, the model has been simulated numerically to exemplify analytical studies.

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (06) ◽  
pp. 1850055 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abhishek Kumar ◽  
Nilam

In this paper, we present a mathematical study of a deterministic model for the transmission and control of epidemics. The incidence rate of susceptible being infected is very crucial in the spread of disease. The delay in the incidence rate is proved fatal. In the present study, we propose an SIR mathematical model with the delay in the infected population. We are taking nonlinear incidence rate for epidemics along with Holling type II treatment rate for understanding the dynamics of the epidemics. Model stability has been done by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]. The model is locally asymptotically stable for disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is less than one ([Formula: see text]). We investigated the stability of the model for disease-free equilibrium at [Formula: see text] equals to one using center manifold theory. We also investigated the stability for endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text] at [Formula: see text]. Further, numerical simulations are presented to exemplify the analytical studies.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-4 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jihad Adnani ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi

We investigate a stochastic SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The stochastic model is derived from the deterministic epidemic model by introducing random perturbations around the endemic equilibrium state. The effect of random perturbations on the stability behavior of endemic equilibrium is discussed. Finally, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Phuc Ngo

In this thesis we investigate the dynamics and bifurcation of SIR epidemic models with horizontal and vertical transmissions and saturated treatment rate. It is proved that such SIR epidemic models always have positive disease free equilibria and also have three positive epidemic equilibria. The ranges of the parameters related in the model were found under which the equilibria of the models are positive. By applying the qualitative theory of planar systems, it is shown the disease free equilibria is a saddle, stable node and globally asymptotically stable. Furthermore, it is also shown that the interior equilibria are saddle, saddle node or saddle point.


Author(s):  
Saba Noori Majeed

   In this research, dynamical study of an SIR epidemical model with nonlinear direct incidence rate (Beddington-De Angelis ) type, and regress of treatment investigated .An  analytical study  to the model shows that there are two equilibrium points appear, the discussed successfully with sufficient condition, the existence of local bifurcation and Hopf bifurcation was analyzed, finally numerical simulations are done to explain the analytic studies.


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