Lifetime Cost of Living and Effective Prices: Theory and Evidence for Germany

Author(s):  
Karl-Heinz Tödter ◽  
Gerhard Ziebarth

AbstractWe develop and analyze an intertemporal cost of living index (ICOLI), also referred to as lifetime cost of living or cost of life index. The ICOLI is a geometric weighted average of effective prices, derived from constrained consumer utility maximization. Effective prices are both, money valued marginal utilities of the final unit consumed, and present values of prices for future consumption. Using the concept of duration, we derive analytical elasticities of the ICOLI with respect to consumer prices and interest rates and show their impact on lifetime welfare of consumers. We also provide empirical evidence for Germany, compute an ex post time series of the ICOLI, and gauge the welfare effects of low interest rate scenarios. We find that the financial repression policy of the ECB since 2010 contributed to substantial losses in the purchasing power of money and led to lasting welfare losses for consumers in Germany, in particular for the cohorts of young consumers. The ICOLI complements conventional price and inflation statistics and could serve as a valuable information tool for monetary policy.

2003 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jerry Hausman

Four sources of bias in the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) have been identified. The most discussed is substitution bias, which creates a second order bias in the CPI. Three other changes besides prices changes create first order effects on a correctly measured cost of living index (COLI). I explain in this paper that a “pure price” based approach of surveying prices to estimate a COLI cannot succeed in solving the 3 problems of first order bias. I discuss economic and econometric approaches to measuring the first order bias effects as well as the availability of scanner data that would permit implementation of the techniques.


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 375-378
Author(s):  
Mary Catherine Moeller

Author(s):  
Khee Giap Tan ◽  
Nguyen Trieu Duong Luu ◽  
Le Phuong Anh Nguyen

Purpose Cost of living is an important consideration for the decision-making of expatriates and investment decisions of businesses. As competition between cities for talent and capital becomes global instead of national, the need for timely and internationally comparable information on global cities’ cost of living increases. While commercial research houses frequently publish cost of living surveys, these reports can be lacking in terms of scientific rigour. In this context, this paper aims to contribute to the literature by formulating a comprehensive and rigorous methodology to compare the cost of living for expatriates in 103 world’s major cities. Design/methodology/approach A cost of living index for expatriates composed of the ten consumption categories is constructed. The results from the study covers a study period from 2005 to 2014 in 103 cities. More than 280 individual prices of 165 goods and services have been compiled for each city in the calculation of the cost of living index for expatriates. New York has been chosen as the base city for the study, with other cities being benchmarked against it. A larger cost of living index for expatriates implies that the city is more expensive for expatriates to live in and vice versa. Findings While the authors generate the cost of living rankings for expatriates for 103 cities worldwide, in this paper, the authors focus on five key cities, namely, London, Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo and Zurich, as they are global financial centres. In 2013, the latest year for which data are available, Zurich was the most expensive for expatriates among the five cities, followed by Singapore, Tokyo, London and Hong Kong. These results pertain to the cost of living for expatriates, and cities compare very differently in terms of cost of living for ordinary residents, as ordinary residents follow different consumption patterns from expatriates. Originality/value Cost of living in the destination city is a major consideration for professionals who look to relocate, and organisations factor such calculations in their decisions to post employees overseas and design commensurate compensation packages. This paper develops a comprehensive and rigorous methodology for measuring and comparing cost of living for expatriates around the world. The value-addition lies in the fact that the authors are able to differentiate between expatriates and ordinary residents, which has not been done in the existing literature. They use higher quality data and generate an index that is not sensitive to the choice of base city.


Author(s):  
Natalia A. BABURINA ◽  
Alexey G. KUTSEV ◽  
Daria D. Mukhametzianova ◽  
Lilia A. Kharitonova

The presented work contributes to the development of the studies evaluating the key determinants of mortgage housing lending development in Russia. Despite a relatively well-developed body of research in the field of mortgage housing lending, devoted to revealing the essence, functional purpose, and implementation mechanism, the works, aimed at identifying the factors influencing its development in the current economic environment in Russia, are under-represented in the Russian scientific field. This study aims to assess the dynamics of mortgage housing lending in the contemporary economic conditions and to identify the determinants of its defining. The research methodology is based on the use of statistical dynamic analysis and correlation-regression analysis. The work is based on the application of methods of statistical dynamic analysis and correlation-regression analysis. Assessment of the dynamics has shown the general trend towards an increase in the volume of mortgage housing loans. However, some periods have been noted to have a negative dynamic primary related to the negative external environment and stagnation of the economy, due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, this article presents the assessment of the qualitative indicators characterizing the level of penetration and the degree of aggressiveness of lending institutions’ policies on housing mortgage lending. The authors have built a panel data model that has allowed identifying the key determinants of the development of residential mortgage lending in Russia. The results have revealed that the state of the mortgage lending sector in Russia is influenced by such factors, as the commissioning of residential buildings, the cost in the primary real estate market, weighted average interest rates, and the unemployment rate.


1941 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 185-187 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Kaldor

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (5) ◽  
pp. 41-42
Author(s):  
Jean-Marie Martin

To what extent can the cost of living index be used in the negotiation of wage agreements ?


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcela De Castro-Valderrama

I propose a general equilibrium model with a quasi-hyperbolic discounting government that optimally decides upon using creative accounting in order to evaluate a balanced budget rule and a debt rule. In that context, I find that a binding balanced budget rule could fail to properly constrain public overindebtedness when government uses creative accounting while a debt rule is effective, since targets are set on total public liabilities. Results suggest that a balanced budget fiscal rule can also deteriorate welfare due to the higher interest rates derived from doing operations under the line, implying future expenditure cuts that are harmful for households, who value public goods and services. A debt rule is also preferred for its capacity to reverse some welfare losses generated by the present-biased government.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document