Arbitrage-free interpolation of call option prices

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 55-78
Author(s):  
Christian Bender ◽  
Matthias Thiel
Keyword(s):  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Reference Model ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Call Option ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Black Scholes Model ◽  
Free Interpolation ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Special Case

AbstractIn this paper, we introduce a new interpolation method for call option prices and implied volatilities with respect to the strike, which first generates, for fixed maturity, an implied volatility curve that is smooth and free of static arbitrage. Our interpolation method is based on a distortion of the call price function of an arbitrage-free financial “reference” model of one’s choice. It reproduces the call prices of the reference model if the market data is compatible with the model. Given a set of call prices for different strikes and maturities, we can construct a call price surface by using this one-dimensional interpolation method on every input maturity and interpolating the generated curves in the maturity dimension. We obtain the algorithm of N. Kahalé [An arbitrage-free interpolation of volatilities, Risk 17 2004, 5, 102–106] as a special case, when applying the Black–Scholes model as reference model.

scholarly journals Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method for Estimating Implied Volatility in Option Pricing

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 108
Author(s):  
Yao Elikem Ayekple ◽  
Charles Kofi Tetteh ◽  
Prince Kwaku Fefemwole
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Call Option ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Options Market ◽  
European Call Option ◽  
Black Scholes Model ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Real Market ◽  
Independent Path

Using market covered European call option prices, the Independence Metropolis-Hastings Sampler algorithm for estimating Implied volatility in option pricing was proposed. This algorithm has an acceptance criteria which facilitate accurate approximation of this volatility from an independent path in the Black Scholes Model, from a set of finite data observation from the stock market. Assuming the underlying asset indeed follow the geometric brownian motion, inverted version of the Black Scholes model was used to approximate this Implied Volatility which was not directly seen in the real market: for which the BS model assumes the volatility to be a constant. Moreover, it is demonstrated that, the Implied Volatility from the options market tends to overstate or understate the actual expectation of the market. In addition, a 3-month market Covered European call option data, from 30 different stock companies was acquired from Optionistic.Com, which was used to estimate the Implied volatility. This accurately approximate the actual expectation of the market with low standard errors ranging between 0.0035 to 0.0275.

FROM THE IMPLIED VOLATILITY SKEW TO A ROBUST CORRECTION TO BLACK-SCHOLES AMERICAN OPTION PRICES

2001 ◽  
Vol 04 (04) ◽  
pp. 651-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
JEAN-PIERRE FOUQUE ◽  
GEORGE PAPANICOLAOU ◽  
K. RONNIE SIRCAR
Keyword(s):  
Free Boundary ◽  
Boundary Problem ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Free Boundary Problem ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Black Scholes

We describe a robust correction to Black-Scholes American derivatives prices that accounts for uncertain and changing market volatility. It exploits the tendency of volatility to cluster, or fast mean-reversion, and is simply calibrated from the observed implied volatility skew. The two-dimensional free-boundary problem for the derivative pricing function under a stochastic volatility model is reduced to a one-dimensional free-boundary problem (the Black-Scholes price) plus the solution of a fixed boundary-value problem. The formal asymptotic calculation that achieves this is presented here. We discuss numerical implementation and analyze the effect of the volatility skew.

ON THE ASYMPTOTICS OF FAST MEAN-REVERSION STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (05) ◽  
pp. 817-835 ◽  
Author(s):  
MAX O. SOUZA ◽  
JORGE P. ZUBELLI
Keyword(s):  
Asymptotic Expansion ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Models ◽  
Black Scholes Model ◽  
Volatility Models ◽  
Asymptotic Formulae ◽  
Black Scholes

We consider the asymptotic behavior of options under stochastic volatility models for which the volatility process fluctuates on a much faster time scale than that defined by the riskless interest rate. We identify the distinguished asymptotic limits and, in contrast with previous studies, we deal with small volatility-variance (vol-vol) regimes. We derive the corresponding asymptotic formulae for option prices, and find that the first order correction displays a dependence on the hidden state and a non-diffusive terminal layer. Furthermore, this correction cannot be obtained as the small variance limit of the previous calculations. Our analysis also includes the behavior of the asymptotic expansion, when the hidden state is far from the mean. In this case, under suitable hypothesis, we show that the solution behaves as a constant volatility Black–Scholes model to all orders. In addition, we derive an asymptotic expansion for the implied volatility that is uniform in time. It turns out that the fast scale plays an important role in such uniformity. The theory thus obtained yields a more complete picture of the different asymptotics involved under stochastic volatility. It also clarifies the remarkable independence on the state of the volatility in the correction term obtained by previous authors.

scholarly journals A modification term for Black-Scholes model based on discrepancy calibrated with real market data

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 313-326
Author(s):  
Xiaozheng Lin ◽  
◽  
Meiqing Wang ◽  
Choi-Hong Lai ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Market Data ◽  
Black Scholes Model ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Option Pricing Model ◽  
Real Market ◽  
S Model

<abstract><p>The Black-Scholes option pricing model (B-S model) generally requires the assumption that the volatility of the underlying asset be a piecewise constant. However, empirical analysis shows that there are discrepancies between the option prices obtained from the B-S model and the market prices. Most current modifications to the B-S model rely on modelling the implied volatility or interest rate. In contrast to the existing modifications to the Black-Scholes model, this paper proposes the concept of including a modification term to the B-S model itself. Using the actual discrepancies of the results of the Black-Scholes model and the market prices, the modification term related to the implied volatility is derived. Experimental results show that the modified model produces a better option pricing results when compare to market data.</p></abstract>

Arbitrage Pricing

2019 ◽  
pp. 95-118
Author(s):  
Tomas Björk
Keyword(s):  
Continuous Time ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Martingale Measures ◽  
Bank Account ◽  
No Arbitrage ◽  
Black Scholes Model ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Financial Derivative ◽  
Delta Hedging

The chapter starts with a detailed discussion of the bank account in discrete and continuous time. The Black–Scholes model is then introduced, and using the principle of no arbitrage we study the problem of pricing an arbitrary financial derivative within this model. Using the classical delta hedging approach we derive the Black–Scholes PDE for the pricing problem and using Feynman–Kač we also derive the corresponding risk neutral valuation formula and discuss the connection to martingale measures. Some concrete examples are studied in detail and the Black–Scholes formula is derived. We also discuss forward and futures contracts, and we derive the Black-76 futures option formula. We finally discuss the concepts and roles of historic and implied volatility.

scholarly journals Model-Free Stochastic Collocation for an Arbitrage-Free Implied Volatility, Part II

Risks ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Fabien Le Floc’h ◽  
Cornelis Oosterlee
Keyword(s):  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Initial Guess ◽  
Stochastic Collocation ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Spline Collocation ◽  
Model Free ◽  
Free Interpolation ◽  
Collocation Technique ◽  
Interpolation Technique ◽  
The Stability

This paper explores the stochastic collocation technique, applied on a monotonic spline, as an arbitrage-free and model-free interpolation of implied volatilities. We explore various spline formulations, including B-spline representations. We explain how to calibrate the different representations against market option prices, detail how to smooth out the market quotes, and choose a proper initial guess. The technique is then applied to concrete market options and the stability of the different approaches is analyzed. Finally, we consider a challenging example where convex spline interpolations lead to oscillations in the implied volatility and compare the spline collocation results with those obtained through arbitrage-free interpolation technique of Andreasen and Huge.

An Empirical Research on the Informational Efficiency of Model Free Implied Volatility

2008 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-94
Author(s):  
Byung Kun Rhee ◽  
Sang Won Hwang
Keyword(s):  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Realized Volatility ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Index Options ◽  
Model Free ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Option Pricing Model ◽  
Korean Market ◽  
Better Than

Black-Scholes Imolied volatility (8SIV) has a few drawbacks. One is that the model Is not much successful in fitting the option prices. and It Is n야 guaranteed the model is correct one. Second. the usual tradition in using the BSIV is that only at-the-money Options are used. It is well-known that IV's of In-the-money or Qut-of-the-money ootions are much different from those estimated from near-the-money options. In this regard, a new model is confronted with Korean market data. Brittenxmes and Neuberger (2000) derive a formula for volatility which is a function of option prices‘ Since the formula is derived without using any option pricing model. volatility estimated from the formula is called model-tree implied volatillty (MFIV). MFIV overcomes the two drawbacks of BSIV. Jiang and Tian (2005) show that. with the S&P index Options (SPX), MFIV is suoerlor to historical volatility (HV) or BSIV in forecasting the future volatllity. In KOSPI 200 index options, when the forecasting performances are compared, MFIV is better than any other estimated volatilities. The hypothesis that MFIV contains all informations for realized volatility and the other volatilities are redundant is oot rejected in any cases.

A Simple Model for Option Pricing with Jumping Stochastic Volatility

1998 ◽  
Vol 01 (04) ◽  
pp. 487-505 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Herzel
Keyword(s):  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Volatility Risk ◽  
Simple Modification ◽  
Closed Form Solutions ◽  
Black Scholes Model ◽  
A Value ◽  
Black Scholes ◽  
Delta Hedging ◽  
Actual Price

This paper proposes a simple modification of the Black–Scholes model by assuming that the volatility of the stock may jump at a random time τ from a value σa to a value σb. It shows that, if the market price of volatility risk is unknown, but constant, all contingent claims can be valued from the actual price C0, of some arbitrarily chosen "basis" option. Closed form solutions for the prices of European options as well as explicit formulas for vega and delta hedging are given. All such solutions only depend on σa, σb and C0. The prices generated by the model produce a "smile"-shaped curve of the implied volatility.

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