scholarly journals Indices of trends of climatic changes for the states of the Bahia and Sergipe by means of daily precipitacion indices and its relation with SST'S of the Pacific and Atlantic

2011 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 541-554 ◽  
Author(s):  
Winícius dos Santos Araújo ◽  
José Ivaldo Barbosa de Brito

The objective of this study was to investigate statistically the precipitation variability in annual scale from the states of the Bahia and Sergipe using daily precipitation data. From that, indexes of detection of climate changes were calculated to evaluate the relationship of the most significant indexes with the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. The daily precipitation data used were for a period of 45 years of 75 meteorological stations supplied by the old net of the SUDENE available in the DSA and data of the of the SST anomalies obtained from NOAA. Influence of SST of the Pacific and Atlantic oceans on the precipitation of the studied area is evidenced. A decrease of CWD was verified; increase was observed in the number days with rain; therefore, the amount of annual total precipitation increased. Several stations presented positive or negative tendencies in all examined indexes, consequently, they are also related to regional aspects. Therefore, it is not possible to affirm that the climate alterations noted in the study area are due to the global climate changes.

Author(s):  
Pontus Lurcock ◽  
Fabio Florindo

Antarctic climate changes have been reconstructed from ice and sediment cores and numerical models (which also predict future changes). Major ice sheets first appeared 34 million years ago (Ma) and fluctuated throughout the Oligocene, with an overall cooling trend. Ice volume more than doubled at the Oligocene-Miocene boundary. Fluctuating Miocene temperatures peaked at 17–14 Ma, followed by dramatic cooling. Cooling continued through the Pliocene and Pleistocene, with another major glacial expansion at 3–2 Ma. Several interacting drivers control Antarctic climate. On timescales of 10,000–100,000 years, insolation varies with orbital cycles, causing periodic climate variations. Opening of Southern Ocean gateways produced a circumpolar current that thermally isolated Antarctica. Declining atmospheric CO2 triggered Cenozoic glaciation. Antarctic glaciations affect global climate by lowering sea level, intensifying atmospheric circulation, and increasing planetary albedo. Ice sheets interact with ocean water, forming water masses that play a key role in global ocean circulation.


2006 ◽  
Vol 411 (2) ◽  
pp. 1485-1488 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. I. Mokhov ◽  
A. V. Chernokulsky ◽  
I. M. Shkolnik

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2040
Author(s):  
Xin Yan ◽  
Hua Chen ◽  
Bingru Tian ◽  
Sheng Sheng ◽  
Jinxing Wang ◽  
...  

High-spatial-resolution precipitation data are of great significance in many applications, such as ecology, hydrology, and meteorology. Acquiring high-precision and high-resolution precipitation data in a large area is still a great challenge. In this study, a downscaling–merging scheme based on random forest and cokriging is presented to solve this problem. First, the enhanced decision tree model, which is based on random forest from machine learning algorithms, is used to reduce the spatial resolution of satellite daily precipitation data to 0.01°. The downscaled satellite-based daily precipitation is then merged with gauge observations using the cokriging method. The scheme is applied to downscale the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) daily precipitation product over the upstream part of the Hanjiang Basin. The experimental results indicate that (1) the downscaling model based on random forest can correctly spatially downscale the GPM daily precipitation data, which retains the accuracy of the original GPM data and greatly improves their spatial details; (2) the GPM precipitation data can be downscaled on the seasonal scale; and (3) the merging method based on cokriging greatly improves the accuracy of the downscaled GPM daily precipitation data. This study provides an efficient scheme for generating high-resolution and high-quality daily precipitation data in a large area.


Author(s):  
А.А. Лагутин ◽  
Н.В. Волков ◽  
Е.Ю. Мордвин

Представлены результаты исследований влияния глобальных климатических изменений системы Земля на климат Западной Сибири. Для установления зон региона, в которых к середине XXI в. прогнозируются изменения, использовались модельные данные региональной климатической модели RegCM4 и принятые в этом классе задач стандартизованные евклидовы расстояния между характеристиками климата для двух состояний климатической системы — современного и будущего. Установлены зоны Западной Сибири, в которых в рамках сценариев RCP 4.5 и RCP 8.5 возможной эволюции глобальной системы к 2050 г. прогнозируются изменения климата. Purpose. An analysis of the influence of a global climate changes on the climate of Western Siberia, determination of zones of the region where changes are expected in the middle of the twenty-first century. Methodology. Results obtained using the model data of the regional climate model RegCM4 and the standardized Euclidean distances between climate characteristics. Findings, originality. Simulations of the climate characteristics for the two states of the climate system — contemporary and future — have been carried out. The zones of Western Siberia region, in which climate change is expected in the framework of RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 radiative forcing scenarios by the 2050, have been determined.


2012 ◽  
Vol 61-64 ◽  
pp. 73-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey A. Gorbarenko ◽  
Naomi Harada ◽  
Mikhail I. Malakhov ◽  
Tatyana A. Velivetskaya ◽  
Yuriy P. Vasilenko ◽  
...  

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