Water quality forecast through application of BP neural network at Yuqiao reservoir

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1482-1487 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Zhao ◽  
Jun Nan ◽  
Fu-yi Cui ◽  
Liang Guo
Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1471 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongguo Shao ◽  
Xizhi Nong ◽  
Xuezhi Tan ◽  
Shu Chen ◽  
Baoli Xu ◽  
...  

Water quality forecast is a critical part of water security management. Spatiotemporal and multifactorial variations make water quality very complex and changeable. In this article, a novel model, which was based on back propagation neural network that was optimized by the Cuckoo Search algorithm (hereafter CS-BP model), was applied to forecast daily water quality of the Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project of China. Nine water quality indicators, including conductivity, chlorophyll content, dissolved oxygen, dissolved organic matter, pH, permanganate index, turbidity, total nitrogen, and water temperature were the predictand. Seven external environmental factors, including air temperature, five particulate matter (PM2.5), rainfall, sunshine duration, water flow, wind velocity, and water vapor pressure were the default predictors. A data pre-processing method was applied to select pertinent predictors. The results show that the CS-BP model has the best forecast accuracy, with the Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPE) of 0.004%–0.33%, and the lowest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of each water quality indicator in comparison with traditional Back Propagation (BP) model, General Regression Neural Network model and Particle Swarm Optimization-Back Propagation model under default data proportion, 150:38 (training data: testing data). When training data reduced from 150 to 140, and from 140 to 130, the CS-BP model still produced the best forecasts, with the MAPEs of 0.014%–0.057% and 0.004%–1.154%, respectively. The results show that the CS-BP model can be an effective tool in daily water quality forecast with limited observed data. The improvement of the Cuckoo Search algorithm such as calculation speed, the forecast errors reduction of the CS-BP model, and the large-scale impacts such as land management on different water quality indicators, will be the focus of future research.


Author(s):  
Hong Lin ◽  
Yuanbo Kang ◽  
Danyang Wang ◽  
Zeyu Lu ◽  
Wei Tian ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 912-914 ◽  
pp. 1407-1411 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Xin Yan ◽  
Li Juan Yu ◽  
Wen Wu Mao ◽  
Shou Qi Cao

Eriocheir sinensis should cultivate in high water quality ponds, which is affected by many combined factors such as physics, chemistry, biology etc. Using the real-time water quality monitoring historical data to test one of the water quality indexes and predict this index in the next time has great significance. The dissolved oxygen is one of the most important indexes in aquaculture, such as in the Eriocheir sinensis pond. This paper established a dissolved oxygen prediction model of water quality monitoring system based on BP neural network. The forecast data which is predicted by the established model could fit the actual monitoring data very well.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jian’qiang He ◽  
Naian Liu ◽  
Mei’lin Han ◽  
Yao Chen

In order to ensure “a river of clear water is supplied to Beijing and Tianjin” and improve the water quality prediction accuracy of the Danjiang water source, while avoiding the local optimum and premature maturity of the artificial bee colony algorithm, an improved artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC algorithm) is proposed to optimize the Danjiang water quality prediction model of BP neural network is proposed. This method improves the local and global search capabilities of the ABC algorithm by adding adaptive local search factors and mutation factors, improves the performance of local search, and avoids local optimal conditions. The improved ABC algorithm is used to optimize the weights and thresholds of the BP neural network to establish a water quality grade prediction model. Taking the water quality monitoring data of Danjiang source (Shangzhou section) from 2015 to 2019 as the research object, it is compared with GA-BP, PSO-BP, ABC-BP, and BP models. The research results show that the improved ABC-BP algorithm has the highest prediction accuracy, faster convergence speed, stronger stability, and robustness.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1863 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianzhuo Yan ◽  
Zongbao Xu ◽  
Yongchuan Yu ◽  
Hongxia Xu ◽  
Kaili Gao

Nowadays, freshwater resources are facing numerous crises and pressures, resulting from both artificial and natural process, so it is crucial to predict the water quality for the department of water environment protection. This paper proposes a hybrid optimized algorithm involving a particle swarm optimization (PSO) and genetic algorithm (GA) combined BP neural network that can predict the water quality in time series and has good performance in Beihai Lake in Beijing. The data sets consist of six water quality parameters which include Hydrogen Ion Concentration (pH), Chlorophyll-a (CHLA), Hydrogenated Amine (NH4H), Dissolved Oxygen (DO), Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), and electrical conductivity (EC). The performance of the model was assessed through the absolute percentage error ( A P E m a x ), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the coefficient of determination ( R 2 ). Study results show that the model based on PSO and GA to optimize the BP neural network is able to predict the water quality parameters with reasonable accuracy, suggesting that the model is a valuable tool for lake water quality estimation. The results show that the hybrid optimized BP model has a higher prediction capacity and better robustness of water quality parameters compared with the traditional BP neural network, the PSO-optimized BP neural network, and the GA-optimized BP neural network.


2013 ◽  
Vol 385-386 ◽  
pp. 408-411
Author(s):  
Qiang Gao ◽  
Tian Lu Ma ◽  
Jun Fang Li ◽  
Chen Guang Li

Aiming at the common quality faults of scaling and corrosion in circulating cooling water, water quality index were often used to determine the scaling and corrosion of circulating cooling water quality trends. Prediction model of corrosion and scaling rate was built based on BP Neural Network in this paper. The optimal initial individuals were written into the network operating system to optimize the disadvantages of weights and thresholds in BP neural network based on genetic algorithm. The prediction function would output after the network training after comparison of predicted and actual values of the model. The performance of the actual situation was verified to match the model prediction.


2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (19-21) ◽  
pp. 1740080 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bao-Hua Zheng

Material procedure quality forecast plays an important role in quality control. This paper proposes a prediction model based on genetic algorithm (GA) and back propagation (BP) neural network. It can obtain the initial weights and thresholds of optimized BP neural network with the GA global search ability. A material process quality prediction model with the optimized BP neural network is adopted to predict the error of future process to measure the accuracy of process quality. The results show that the proposed method has the advantages of high accuracy and fast convergence rate compared with BP neural network.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document