scholarly journals Modeling the relationship between temperature and mortality : a case study in SENEGAL

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1473-1496
Author(s):  
Mbaye Faye ◽  
Abdoulaye Dème ◽  
Abdou Kâ Diongue

In this paper, we have used the Generalized Additive Model (GAM) to investigate the relationships between high temperature and daily number of deaths in Niakhar, a Sehalian-Sudanese climate in central Senegal. Daily data on number of deaths and meteorological variables over the period of 1983-2013 were considered. Descriptive statistics show that, over the study period, the total of non-accidental deaths were 12,798, among which we notice that 490 persons (3.83%) died of cardiovascular disease, 1,015 persons (7.93%) died of respiratory disease, 3,970 persons (31.02%) died of certain infectious and parasitic diseases, and 224 persons (1.75%) died of nervous system disease From the GAM model, we observe that high temperature significantly increased the relative risk (RR)Indeed, relative risk of deaths due to cardiovascular disease is 1.034 with a 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.025 to 1.044, while it is 1.030 with a 95% CI 1.026 to 1.033 for certain infectious and parasitic disease. For respiratory disease, the RR is 1.012 with a 95% CI 1.007 to 1.017, and for nervous system disease, the relative risk is 1.034 with 95% CI 1.026 to 1.043.

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1073-1100
Author(s):  
Mbaye Faye ◽  
Abdoulaye Dème ◽  
Abdou Kâ Diongue

In this paper, we have used the Generalized Additive Model (GAM) to investigate the relationships between high temperature and daily number of deaths in Niakhar, a Sehalian-Sudanese climate in central Senegal. Daily data on number of deaths and meteorological variables over the period of 1983-2013 were considered. Descriptive statistics show that, over the study period, the total of non-accidental deaths were 12,798, among which we notice that 490 persons (3.83%) died of cardiovascular disease, 1,015 persons (7.93%) died of respiratory disease, 3,970 persons (31.02%) died of certain infectious and parasitic diseases, and 224 persons (1.75%) died of nervous system disease From the GAM model, we observe that high temperature significantly increased the relative risk (RR)Indeed, relative risk of deaths due to cardiovascular disease is 1.034 with a 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.025 to 1.044, while it is 1.030 with a 95% CI 1.026 to 1.033 for certain infectious and parasitic disease. For respiratory disease, the RR is 1.012 with a 95% CI 1.007 to 1.017, and for nervous system disease, the relative risk is 1.034 with 95% CI 1.026 to 1.043.


2016 ◽  
Vol 65 (35) ◽  
pp. 930-933 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anita D. Sircar ◽  
Francisca Abanyie ◽  
Dean Blumberg ◽  
Peter Chin-Hong ◽  
Katrina S. Coulter ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 60 (1) ◽  
pp. 291-309 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesse A. Stokum ◽  
Volodymyr Gerzanich ◽  
Kevin N. Sheth ◽  
W. Taylor Kimberly ◽  
J. Marc Simard

Cerebral edema, a common and often fatal companion to most forms of acute central nervous system disease, has been recognized since the time of ancient Egypt. Unfortunately, our therapeutic armamentarium remains limited, in part due to historic limitations in our understanding of cerebral edema pathophysiology. Recent advancements have led to a number of clinical trials for novel therapeutics that could fundamentally alter the treatment of cerebral edema. In this review, we discuss these agents, their targets, and the data supporting their use, with a focus on agents that have progressed to clinical trials.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1115.2-1115
Author(s):  
T. Porel ◽  
S. DE Almeida Chaves ◽  
D. Adoue ◽  
L. Astudillo ◽  
D. Ribes ◽  
...  

Background:Nervous system involvement is considered to be rare in systemic sclerosis (SSc). Its prevalence is highly variable in SSc cohort studies and its prognosis is not well established.Objectives:To determine the frequency, clinical characteristics, associations, and outcomes of different types of peripheral nervous system (PNS) and central nervous system (CNS) disease in a cohort of systemic sclerosis patients.Methods:We have carried out a retrospective observational study by systematically analyzing the medical records of patients diagnosed with SSc in Toulouse University Hospital and Ducuing Hospital, south west France. We included patients who met the following inclusion criteria: being over 18 years of age on diagnosis, meeting the ACR /EULAR 2013 classification criteria, being diagnosed after 01/01/1966 and before 31/12/2018, at least 12 months of follow-up. Patients were followed until 31/12/2019. Nervous system involvement associated with SSc was included when there was involvement on or after diagnosis and after exclusion of all other causes. Only symptomatic clinical involvement was included. Ischemic or hemorrhagic strokes were excluded. We calculated the incidence of CNS and/or PNS disease during the follow-up period per 1,000 person-years. Kaplan-Meier curves were plotted to determine the cumulative incidence of nervous system disease. We evaluated associated factors of CNS and/or PNS disease using multivariable Cox regression.Results:Of 447 SSc patients, 79.8% were female, 68 (15%) were diffuse cutaneous SSc, 342 (77%) were limited cutaneous SSc and 37 (8%) were sine scleroderma SSc. The mean ± SD age at diagnosis was 52.9 ± 14.3 years.During the study period, 82 (18%) patients experienced a PNS disease, 29 (6%) a CNS disease. The incidence was 28 per 1,000 patient-years of any nervous system disease, with 22 per 1,000 patient-years and 6 per 1,000 patient-years of PNS disease and CNS disease, respectively. The most frequent were carpal tunnel syndrome (63%) and polyneuropathies (12%) for PNS disease, and headache (45%) and seizures (10%) for CNS disease.Three significant independent associated factors with PNS disease occurrence were identified using multivariable Cox regression: BMI>23.1kg/m2(HR = 1.06 [1.01-1.12]), joint involvement (HR = 2.7 [1.3-5.5]), and an alteration in the left ventricular ejection fraction (HR = 3.8 [1.4-10.3]).Four significant independent associated factors with CNS disease occurrence were identified: age > 54 years (HR = 2.5 [1.1-6.0]), positive anti-PmScl testing (HR = 6.4 [1.5-28.2]), Caucasian origin (HR = 0.2 [0.1-0.5]) and hemoglobin < 12g/dl (HR = 0.2 [0.04-0.8]).Nervous system disease occurrence did not appear to have a negative impact on the survival of SSc patients (log-rank p=0.56).Conclusion:This study shows that specific nervous system disease in SSc is not uncommon and does not appear to increase mortality, but it could have an impact on functional prognosis and needs to be monitored.Disclosure of Interest:None declared


2021 ◽  
Vol 432 ◽  
pp. 213751
Author(s):  
Ke Chen ◽  
Si Sun ◽  
Junying Wang ◽  
Xiao-Dong Zhang

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