Determinants of the Current Account after the Global Financial Crisis: The Cases of Korea and Japan

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 655-674
Author(s):  
Jai-Won Ryou ◽  
◽  
Ki-Seong Lee ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Current Account

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS ON CURRENT ACCOUNT SUSTAINABILITY IN LITHUANIA

Ekonomika ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 93 (2) ◽  
pp. 24-44
Author(s):  
Rokas Grajauskas
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Current Account Sustainability ◽  
Run Up ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Intertemporal Optimisation ◽  
The Current Account

Abstract. The paper deals with the dynamics of Lithuania’s current account in two distinct periods – the period in the run-up to the 2008–2009 financial crisis and the period since the crisis. The two main goals of the paper are: 1) to assess the sustainability of the level of Lithuania’s current account in the period 1995–2015 using an empirical model based on the intertemporal optimisation approach, and 2) to identify the factors behind the observed trends in Lithuania’s current account in the two periods in question. The research has been conducted using the methods of empirical (regression) analysis, theoretical explanations, and descriptive analysis. The paper finds that the current account in Lithuania has been sustainable since 1995, except for two brief periods – the 1999 Russian crisis and in 2009 when Lithuania’s economy contracted by more than 15% in real terms due to the global financial crisis. The empirical research has also revealed a shift in the level of the sustainable current account in the post-crisis period but shows an existing gap between the sustainable and the actual current account in Lithuania. Considering the characteristics of Lithuania’s economy, the paper concludes that the actual level of the current account in Lithuania is not optimal from the intertemporal point of view.Key words: intertemporal optimisation, current account, deleveraging, rebalancing, capital flight

scholarly journals Global Imbalances

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chalotorn Sinproh ◽  
Juraj Sipko
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Imbalances ◽  
Savings Rate ◽  
Current Account Imbalances ◽  
Economic Imbalances ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Current Account ◽  
Account Imbalances

Abstract Purpose of the article The aim of the paper is to analyze the global economic imbalances and factors that contributed to their deterioration in developed and emerging countries, primarily in the United States and China. The article assesses the main inevitable factors of the global economic imbalances that have driven the recent evolution of current account balances. In addition, the paper describes the theoretical framework of global imbalances and the relevant fundamental theories for better understanding in theoretical aspect of international economics and finance. Furthermore, provides overview of the fundamental causes and drivers of global imbalances, namely current account. Methodology/methods In relation to the subject and purpose of this paper have been used the logical methods of examination which mainly include analysis, correlation and regression analysis, abstraction, synthesis, induction and deduction, the methods of descriptive and mathematical statistics, comparative and empirical methods and the selected forecasting methods (causal prognosis methods). Scientific aim The global imbalances are considered as the most disputable and well known of the global current economic problem, which possibly explain the causes of the global financial crisis. The global financial imbalances were quite massive even before the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008. Therefore, the main scientific goal of this paper to analyse what is behind the current account imbalances in both countries, e.i. the USA and China. Findings The persistent current account imbalances reflected the imbalances in the world investment and savings ratios. Whereas the U.S. national savings rate kept falling, the Chinese savings rate rose. Current account imbalances will keep on growing due to a problem of insufficient global saving. Conclusions (limits, implications etc)The size of global imbalances has become narrow compared to the prior crisis’s level, but it did not vanish due to the implementation of global rebalancing process. Putting the current account imbalance to cooperation of all participating countries is strongly necessary. The policy response will need to involve many more countries, even G20 process, and coordinating this response will require considerable efforts of every party members.

scholarly journals The Relationship between Credit Volume and Current Account Deficit: A Dynamic Analysis for Turkey

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 31
Author(s):  
Pinar Karahan ◽  
Nilgun Caglarirmak Uslu
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Filter Method ◽  
Kalman Filter Method ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bound Test ◽  
The Relationship

One of Turkey’s most important macroeconomic problems is persistent current account deficit. Credit volume has been shown as one of the basic determinants of current account rate, especially after the global financial crisis in Turkish economy. The Central Bank of Turkey has begun to implement the policy to ensure financial stability by slowing down credit volume in response to current account deficit affected by rapid credit expansion after the global financial crisis of 2008. In this study, we investigated the relationship between credit volume and current account deficit covering the period of 2005:Q1- 2015:Q3 employing Bound test approach, ARDL model and Kalman filter method. Bound test results suggest the existence of co-integration relationship between current account deficit and credit volume.  ARDL model results indicate that the credit volume is statistical significant and positively affects current account deficit in the short and long run. The results show that a 1 % increase in credit volume leads to nearly a 0.62 % increase in current account deficit. Kalman Filter method results indicate that the effect of credit volume on current account deficit increased after global financial crisis and started to decrease after 2013. 

Two Crises Separated by a Decade: Political Economy of Trade Strategy and Reserves Accumulation in East Asia

2021 ◽  
pp. 263168462110320
Author(s):  
Biswajit Nag ◽  
Partha Ray
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Trade Surplus ◽  
Major Shift ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

This article seeks to explore the relationship between the global financial crisis (2007–2009) and the East Asian crisis (1997–1999) via the contribution of select East Asian countries, which led to the formation of the ‘global imbalance’, that is, experience of substantial and consistent current account surplus. Taking a cue from Bernanke’s ‘savings glut’ hypothesis, which has held ‘global imbalance’ to be a factor behind the global financial crisis, specifically, the article argues that in these countries, the nature of current account balance has undergone a sea change since the end of the 1990s. They also accumulated a substantial amount of foreign exchange reserves since then along with a major shift of trade regime and consequent trade surplus in all these countries. The article conjectures that the mishandling of the rescue package by International Monetary Fund could have induced them to go aggressively for accumulation of forex reserves. Thus, the two crises separated by a decade and in different continents are, indeed, linked through providing an incentive for brewing up of global imbalance via an activist trade policy in select East Asian countries. Seen in this context and from this standpoint, the two crises, indeed, appear to be close siblings! JEL Classification: F41, F62, O53

scholarly journals Global Imbalances: The Role of Institutions, Financial Development and FDI in the Context of Financial Crises

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 356
Author(s):  
Carlos A. Silva ◽  
Xavier Ordeñana ◽  
Paul Vera-Gilces ◽  
Alfredo Jiménez
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Quality Of Institutions ◽  
Current Account Imbalances ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account Balances

This paper examines the role of the quality of institutions, financial development and FDI on current account imbalances, which narrowed during the Global Financial Crisis. In doing so, we utilize (i) a sample of 49 advanced and emerging economies during 1984–2014; (ii) a novel three-clustered indices of institutional quality and (iii) two measures of financial development, the share of FDI and a measure of financial crisis in addition to standard determinants of the current account. We find that the better the quality of institutions and the greater the financial development, the larger are current account deficits; meanwhile, FDI contributes to boost current account balances. Moreover, financial crisis episodes tend to improve current account balances, particularly for countries that are highly open to trade and to receive FDI, as in the case of advanced economies and East Asian countries.

scholarly journals The Global Economic Imbalances: The Dangers of Not Rebalancing

2014 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shalendra D. Sharma
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Global Imbalances ◽  
Current Account Deficits ◽  
Large Current ◽  
Economic Imbalances ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Abstract“Global imbalances” manifest in the large current account deficits and surpluses in the global economy and blamed by many for the global financial crisis of 2008 has become a source of much friction and discord among the G-20 economies. Rebalancing the global economy is essential to mitigating the divisions and promoting a more sustainable economic recovery. How and why did these imbalances emerge in the first place, what explains why rebalancing has proven to be so difficult, and what are the implications of failure? This paper addresses these interrelated issues.

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