Subject
Trends in wages growth.
Significance
Weak global growth and intense competition have held back investment, constraining productivity growth, pay and living standards. There is a long-standing debate over whether stalled productivity is temporary or structural. However, even if productivity accelerates, wages might not follow suit. Low wage and price inflation makes high debt levels less sustainable, leading some experts to advise countries at risk to raise pay growth. In Japan, these attempts have failed, while for a country such as Italy this would be against EU rules.
Impacts
Global growth over 2017-18 will be critical in helping or hindering central banks to restore the pre-crisis status quo.
Rigidity in annual pay rises will make it hard to change an economy's long-term core inflation.
This happened during the hyperinflation of the 1970s-80s; now it will make it hard to get inflation back to target.
Wages are not set by central banks, making it tougher to enforce their inflation targets.