scholarly journals Research on Improving Prediction Accuracy of Sports Performance by Using Glowworm Algorithm to Optimize Neural Network

Author(s):  
Fan Zhang ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Sitong Yang ◽  
Lina Luo ◽  
Baohua Tan

Artificial neural network has the advantages of self-training and fault tolerance, while BP neural network has simple learning algorithms and powerful learning capabilities. The BP neural network algorithm has been widely used in practice. This paper conducts research on sports performance prediction based on 5G and artificial neural network algorithms. This paper uses the BP neural network algorithm as a pretest modelling method to predict the results of the 30th Olympic Men’s 100m Track and Field Championships and is supported by the MATLAB neural network toolbox. According to the experimental results, the scheme proposed in this paper has better performance than the other prediction strategies. In order to explore the feasibility and application of the BP neural network in this kind of prediction, there is a lot of work to be done. The model has a high prediction accuracy and provides a new method for the prediction of sports performance. The results show that the BP neural network algorithm can be used to predict sports performance, with high prediction accuracy and strong generalization ability.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHIEN WEI ◽  
Chi Chow Julie ◽  
Chou Willy

UNSTRUCTURED Backgrounds: Dengue fever (DF) is an important public health issue in Asia. However, the disease is extremely hard to detect using traditional dichotomous (i.e., absent vs. present) evaluations of symptoms. Convolution neural network (CNN), a well-established deep learning method, can improve prediction accuracy on account of its usage of a large number of parameters for modeling. Whether the HT person fit statistic can be combined with CNN to increase the prediction accuracy of the model and develop an application (APP) to detect DF in children remains unknown. Objectives: The aim of this study is to build a model for the automatic detection and classification of DF with symptoms to help patients, family members, and clinicians identify the disease at an early stage. Methods: We extracted 19 feature variables of DF-related symptoms from 177 pediatric patients (69 diagnosed with DF) using CNN to predict DF risk. The accuracy of two sets of characteristics (19 symptoms and four other variables, including person mean, standard deviation, and two HT-related statistics matched to DF+ and DF−) for predicting DF, were then compared. Data were separated into training and testing sets, and the former was used to predict the latter. We calculated the sensitivity (Sens), specificity (Spec), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) across studies for comparison. Results: We observed that (1) the 23-item model yields a higher accuracy rate (0.95) and AUC (0.94) than the 19-item model (accuracy = 0.92, AUC = 0.90) based on the 177-case training set; (2) the Sens values are almost higher than the corresponding Spec values (90% in 10 scenarios) for predicting DF; (3) the Sens and Spec values of the 23-item model are consistently higher than those of the 19-item model. An APP was subsequently designed to detect DF in children. Conclusion: The 23-item model yielded higher accuracy rates (0.95) and AUC (0.94) than the 19-item model (accuracy = 0.92, AUC = 0.90). An APP could be developed to help patients, family members, and clinicians discriminate DF from other febrile illnesses at an early stage.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 5615
Author(s):  
Łukasz Sobolewski ◽  
Wiesław Miczulski

Ensuring the best possible stability of UTC(k) (local time scale) and its compliance with the UTC scale (Universal Coordinated Time) forces predicting the [UTC-UTC(k)] deviations, the article presents the results of work on two methods of constructing time series (TS) for a neural network (NN), increasing the accuracy of UTC(k) prediction. In the first method, two prepared TSs are based on the deviations determined according to the UTC scale with a 5-day interval. In order to improve the accuracy of predicting the deviations, the PCHIP interpolating function is used in subsequent TSs, obtaining TS elements with a 1-day interval. A limitation in the improvement of prediction accuracy for these TS has been a too large prediction horizon. The introduction in 2012 of the additional UTC Rapid scale by BIPM makes it possible to shorten the prediction horizon, and the building of two TSs has been proposed according to the second method. Each of them consists of two subsets. The first subset is based on deviations determined according to the UTC scale, the second on the UTC Rapid scale. The research of the proposed TS in the field of predicting deviations for the Polish Timescale by means of GMDH-type NN shows that the best accuracy of predicting the deviations has been achieved for TS built according to the second method.


2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 757
Author(s):  
Xiaofeng Wang ◽  
Baochang Liu ◽  
Jiaqi Yun ◽  
Xueqi Wang ◽  
Haoliang Bai

The connection between the steel joint and aluminum alloy pipe is the weak part of the aluminum alloy drill pipe. Practically, the interference connection between the aluminum alloy rod and the steel joint is usually realized by thermal assembly. In this paper, the relationship between the cooling water flow rate, initial heating temperature and the thermal deformation of the steel joint in interference thermal assembly was studied and predicted. Firstly, the temperature data of each measuring point of the steel joint were obtained by a thermal assembly experiment. Based on the theory of thermoelasticity, the analytical solution of the thermal deformation of the steel joint was studied. The temperature function was fitted by the least square method, and the calculated value of radial thermal deformation of the section was finally obtained. Based on the BP neural network algorithm, the thermal deformation of steel joint section was predicted. Besides, a prediction model was established, which was about the relationship between cooling water flow rate, initial heating temperature and interference. The magnitude of interference fit of steel joint was predicted. The magnitude of the interference fit of the steel joint was predicted. A polynomial model, exponential model and Gaussian model were adopted to predict the sectional deformation so as to compare and analyze the predictive performance of a BP neural network, among which the polynomial model was used to predict the magnitude of the interference fit. Through a comparative analysis of the fitting residual (RE) and sum of squares of the error (SSE), it can be known that a BP neural network has good prediction accuracy. The predicted results showed that the error of the prediction model increases with the increase of the heating temperature in the prediction model of the steel node interference and related factors. When the cooling water velocity hit 0.038 m/s, the prediction accuracy was the highest. The prediction error increases with the increase or decrease of the velocity. Especially when the velocity increases, the trend of error increasing became more obvious. The analysis shows that this method has better prediction accuracy.


2020 ◽  
Vol 198 ◽  
pp. 03014
Author(s):  
Ruijie Zhang

Deformation monitoring, as a key link of information construction, runs through the entire process of the building design period, construction period and operation period[1]. At present, more mature static prediction methods include hyperbolic method, power polynomial method and Asaoka method. But these methods have many problems and shortcomings. In this paper, based on the characteristics of building foundation settlement and the methods widely discussed in this field, a wavelet neural network model with self-learning, self-organization and good nonlinear approximation ability is applied to the prediction problem of building settlement[2]. Using comparative analysis and induction method. The 20-phase monitoring data representing the deformation monitoring points of different settlement states of the line tunnel, using the observation data sequence of the first 15 phases respectively to take the cumulative settlement and interval settlement as training samples, through the BP artificial neural network and the improved wavelet neural network, for the last five periods Predict the observed settlement.Through the comparison, it is found that whether the interval settlement or the cumulative settlement is used, the prediction results of the wavelet neural network are basically better than the prediction results of the BP artificial neural network, and the number of trainings is greatly reduced. The adaptive prediction of the wavelet neural network. The ability is particularly obvious, and the prediction accuracy is significantly improved. Therefore, it can be shown that the wavelet neural network is indeed used in the settlement monitoring and forecast of buildings, which can obtain higher prediction accuracy and better prediction effect, and is a prediction method with great development potential.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hedieh Montazeri

In this thesis, we propose and implement a new hybrid approach using fractal analysis, statistical analysis and neural network computation to build a model for prediction the number of ischemia occurrence based on ECG recordings. The main advantage of the proposed approach over similar earlier related works is that first useful parameters from fractal analysis of the signal are extracted to build a model that includes both clinical characteristics and signal attributes. Statistical analysis such as binary logistic regression and multivariate linear regression are then used to further explore the relation of parameters in order to obtain a more accurate model. We show that the results compare well with those of earlier work and clearly indicate that the augmentation of the above mentioned approaches improves the prediction accuracy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Lu ◽  
John Panneerselvam ◽  
Lu Liu ◽  
Yan Wu

Given the increasing deployments of Cloud datacentres and the excessive usage of server resources, their associated energy and environmental implications are also increasing at an alarming rate. Cloud service providers are under immense pressure to significantly reduce both such implications for promoting green computing. Maintaining the desired level of Quality of Service (QoS) without violating the Service Level Agreement (SLA), whilst attempting to reduce the usage of the datacentre resources is an obvious challenge for the Cloud service providers. Scaling the level of active server resources in accordance with the predicted incoming workloads is one possible way of reducing the undesirable energy consumption of the active resources without affecting the performance quality. To this end, this paper analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the Cloud workloads and defines a hierarchy for the latency sensitivity levels of the Cloud workloads. Further, a novel workload prediction model for energy efficient Cloud Computing is proposed, named RVLBPNN (Rand Variable Learning Rate Backpropagation Neural Network) based on BPNN (Backpropagation Neural Network) algorithm. Experiments evaluating the prediction accuracy of the proposed prediction model demonstrate that RVLBPNN achieves an improved prediction accuracy compared to the HMM and Naïve Bayes Classifier models by a considerable margin.


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