scholarly journals Optimum Method for Determining Weibull Distribution Parameters Used in Wind Energy Estimation

2020 ◽  
pp. 635-648
Author(s):  
Ulku Erisoglu ◽  
Nil Aras ◽  
Hasan Donat Yildizay
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
Two Parameter

One of the well-known methods for the determination of wind energy potential is the two-parameter Weibull distribution. It is clear that the success of the Weibull distribution for wind energy applications depends on the estimation of the parameters which can be determined by using various numerical methods. In the present study, Monte Carlo simulation method is performed by using six parameters estimation method that is used in the estimation of Weibull distribution parameters such as Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Least Squares Method (LSM), Method of Moments (MOM), Method of Logarithmic Moments (MLM), Percentile Method (PM), and L-Moment Method (LM), and is compared to Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). In this study, the wind energy potential of the Meşelik region in Eskişehir was modeled with two-parameter Weibull distribution. The average wind speed (m/s) data, which are gathered in 10-minute intervals from the measuring device installed 10 meters about the ground in Meşelik Campus of Eskişehir Osmangazi University, is used. As a result of the simulation study, it has been determined that MLE is the best parameter estimation method for two-parameter Weibull distribution in large sample sizes, and LM has the closest performance to MLE. The wind speed (m/h) data of the region has been successfully modeled with two-parameter Weibull distribution and the highest average wind power density has been obtained in July as 49.38295 (W/m2) while the lowest average wind power density has been obtained in October as 19.30044 (W/m2).

Calculation of Weibull Distribution parameters at low wind speed and performance analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Yusuf Alper Kaplan
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Statistical Indicator ◽  
Low Wind Speed ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
And Performance

In this study, the compatibility of the real wind energy potential to the estimated wind energy potential by Weibull Distribution Function (WDF) of a region with low average wind speed potential was examined. The main purpose of this study is to examine the performance of six different methods used to find the coefficients of the WDF and to determine the best performing method for selected region. In this study seven-year hourly wind speed data obtained from the general directorate of meteorology of this region was used. The root mean square error (RMSE) statistical indicator was used to compare the efficiency of all used methods. Another main purpose of this study is to observe the how the performance of the used methods changes over the years. The obtained results showed that the performances of the used methods showed slight changes over the years, but when evaluated in general, it was observed that all method showed acceptable performance. Based on the obtained results, when the seven-year data is evaluated in this selected region, it can be said that the MM method shows the best performance.

Techno-economic analysis of wind energy potential in Kazakhstan

2021 ◽  
pp. 095765092110015
Author(s):  
Hamed H Pourasl ◽  
Vahid M Khojastehnezhad
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Energy Density ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Energy Utilization ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Wind Energy Potential

The use of renewable energy as a future energy source is attracting considerable research interest globally. In particular, there is a significant growth in wind energy utilization during the last few years. This present study through a detailed and systematic literature survey assesses the wind energy potential of Kazakhstan for the first time. Using the Weibull distribution function and hourly wind speed data, the annual power and energy density of the sites are calculated. For the 50 sites considered in this study and at a height of 10 m above the ground, the annual average wind speed, the power density, and energy production of Kazakhstan range from 0.94–5.15 m/s, 4.50–169.34 W/m2 and 39.56–1502.50 kWh/m2/yr, respectively. It was found that Fort Sevcenko, Atbasar, and Akmola are the three best locations for wind turbine installation with wind power densities of 169.34, 135.30, and 111.51 W/m2, respectively. Fort Sevcenko demonstrates the highest potential for wind energy harvesting with an energy density of 1483.46 kWh/m2/yr. For the 15 commercial wind turbines, it was observed that the annual energy production of the selected turbines ranges between 3.8 GWh/yr in Petropavlovsk to 15.4 GWh/yr in Fort Sevcenko among the top six locations. The lowest and highest capacity factors correspond to the same sites with the values of 29.21% and 58.66%, respectively. Overall, it is the intention of this study to constitute a database for the users and developers of wind power in Kazakhstan.

scholarly journals Climate Change Induced Uncertainty of Wind Energy Potential for the Azov and Black Seas Coastal Zone

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. P. Evstigneev ◽  
◽  
N. A. Lemeshko ◽  
V. A. Naumova ◽  
M. P. Evstigneev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Black Sea ◽  
Operating Time ◽  
Energy Output ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Climate

The paper deals with assessing an impact of wind climate change on the wind energy potential of the Azov and Black Sea coast region. A lower estimate of operating time for wind power installation and a potential annual energy output for the region are given for the case of Vestas V117-4.2MW. Calculation has been performed of a long-term mean wind speed for two adjacent climatic periods (1954–1983 and 1984–2013) based on data from meteorological stations of the Black and Azov Sea region. The results show a decrease in wind speed at all meteorological stations except for Novorossiysk. The wind climate change is confirmed by comparing two adjoined 30-year periods and by estimating linear trends of the mean annual wind speed for the period 1954–2013, which are negative and significant for almost all meteorological stations in the region (α = 1 %). The trend values were estimated by the nonparametric method of robust linear smoothing using the Theil – Sen function. In the present study, the uncertainty of wind energy resource induced by a gradual wind climate change is estimated for perspective planning of this branch of energy sector. Despite the observed trends in the wind regime, average wind speeds in the Azov and Black Sea region are sufficient for planning the location of wind power plants.

Wind Energy Potential in Nine Coastal Sites in Malaysia

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-15
Author(s):  
Kamaruzzaman Sopian ◽  
Tamer Khatib
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Data Bank ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Speed Distribution ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Wind Speed Distribution ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
Swept Area

 In this paper, the wind energy potential in Malaysia is examined by analyzing hourly wind speed data for nine coastal sites namely Bintulu, Kota Kinabalu, Kuala Terengganu, Kuching, Kudat, Mersing, Sandakan, Tawau and Pulau Langkawi. The monthly averages of wind speed and wind energy are calculated. Moreover, the wind speed distribution histogram is constructed for these sites. The results showed that the average wind speed for these sites is in the range of (1.8-2.9) m/s while the annual energy of the wind hitting a wind turbine with a 1 m2 swept area is in the range of (15.4-25.2) kWh/m2.annum. This paper provides a data bank for wind energy for Malaysia.

scholarly journals Assessment of wind energy potential across varying topographical features of Tamil Nadu, India

2019 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 175-200 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shafiqur Rehman ◽  
Narayanan Natarajan ◽  
Mangottiri Vasudevan ◽  
Luai M Alhems
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Power Density ◽  
Tamil Nadu ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Annual Average ◽  
Wind Power Density ◽  
Wind Energy Potential

Wind energy is one of the abundant, cheap and fast-growing renewable energy sources whose intensive extraction potential is still in immature stage in India. This study aims at the determination and evaluation of wind energy potential of three cities located at different elevations in the state of Tamil Nadu, India. The historical records of wind speed, direction, temperature and pressure were collected for three South Indian cities, namely Chennai, Erode and Coimbatore over a period of 38 years (1980-2017). The mean wind power density was observed to be highest at Chennai (129 W/m2) and lowest at Erode (76 W/m2) and the corresponding mean energy content was highest for Chennai (1129 kWh/m2/year) and lowest at Erode (666 kWh/m2/year). Considering the events of high energy-carrying winds at Chennai, Erode and Coimbatore, maximum wind power density were estimated to be 185 W/m2, 190 W/m2 and 234 W/m2, respectively. The annual average net energy yield and annual average net capacity factor were selected as the representative parameters for expressing strategic wind energy potential at geographically distinct locations having significant variation in wind speed distribution. Based on the analysis, Chennai is found to be the most suitable site for wind energy production followed by Coimbatore and Erode.

scholarly journals An Assessment of Wind Energy Potential for the Three Topographic Regions of Eritrea

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1846 ◽  
Author(s):  
Teklebrhan Negash ◽  
Erik Möllerström ◽  
Fredric Ottermo
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Power Density ◽  
Coastal Region ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Power Density ◽  
Prevailing Wind Direction ◽  
Central Highland ◽  
Wind Energy Potential

This paper presents the wind energy potential and wind characteristics for 25 wind sites in Eritrea, based on wind data from the years 2000–2005. The studied sites are distributed all over Eritrea, but can roughly be divided into three regions: coastal region, western lowlands, and central highlands. The coastal region sites have the highest potential for wind power. An uncertainty, due to extrapolating the wind speed from the 10-m measurements, should be noted. The year to year variations are typically small and, for the sites deemed as suitable for wind power, the seasonal variations are most prominent in the coastal region with a peak during the period November–March. Moreover, Weibull parameters, prevailing wind direction, and wind power density recalculated for 100 m above ground are presented for all 25 sites. Comparing the results to values from the web-based, large-scale dataset, the Global Wind Atlas (GWA), both mean wind speed and wind power density are typically higher for the measurements. The difference is especially large for the more complex-terrain central highland sites where GWA results are also likely to be more uncertain. The result of this study can be used to make preliminary assessments on possible power production potential at the given sites.

scholarly journals Assessment of Wind Energy Potential In Zwara, Libya

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alhassan A. Teyabeen ◽  
Fathi R. Akkari ◽  
Ali E. Jwaid ◽  
Ashraf Zaghwan ◽  
Rehab Abodelah
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Power Density ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Power Density ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Resource

To assess the wind energy potential at any site, the wind power density should be estimated; it evaluates the wind resource and indicates the amount of available wind energy. The purpose of this study is to estimate the monthly and annual wind power density based on the Weibull distribution using wind speed data collected in Zwara, Libya during 2007. The wind date are measured at the three hub heights of 10m, 30m, and 50m above ground level, and recorded every 10 minutes. The analysis showed that the annual average wind speed are 4.51, 5.86, 6.26 m/s for the respective mentioned heights. The average annual wind power densities at the mentioned heights were 113.71, 204.19, 243.48 , respectively.

Wind Energy Potential in Nine Coastal Sites in Malaysia

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-15
Author(s):  
Kamaruzzaman Sopian ◽  
Tamer Khatib
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Data Bank ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Speed Distribution ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Wind Speed Distribution ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
Swept Area

 In this paper, the wind energy potential in Malaysia is examined by analyzing hourly wind speed data for nine coastal sites namely Bintulu, Kota Kinabalu, Kuala Terengganu, Kuching, Kudat, Mersing, Sandakan, Tawau and Pulau Langkawi. The monthly averages of wind speed and wind energy are calculated. Moreover, the wind speed distribution histogram is constructed for these sites. The results showed that the average wind speed for these sites is in the range of (1.8-2.9) m/s while the annual energy of the wind hitting a wind turbine with a 1 m2 swept area is in the range of (15.4-25.2) kWh/m2.annum. This paper provides a data bank for wind energy for Malaysia.

Assessment of Wind Energy Potential in Three Different Locations of Malaysia

2015 ◽  
Vol 785 ◽  
pp. 621-626
Author(s):  
R. Shamsipour ◽  
M. Fadaeenejad ◽  
M.A.M. Radzi
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Energy Density ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Weibull Model ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Wind Potential ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy Potential

In this study, wind energy potential in three different stations in Malaysia in period of 5 years is analyzed. Base on Weibull distribution parameters, the mean wind speed, wind power density and wind energy density is estimated for each defined location. Although there are many works about wind potential in Malaysia, however a few of them have been provided a comprehensive study about wind power in different places in Malaysia. According to the findings, the annual mean wind speeds indicates that the highest wind speed variation is about 2 m/s and is belonged to the Subang station and the highest wind speed is 3.5 m/s in in Kudat. It is also found that the maximum wind power densities among these three sites are 22 W/m2, 24 W/m2 and 22 W/m2 in Kudat station in January, February and September respectively. The results of the study show that as the second parameter for Weibull model, the highest wind energy density has been 190 kWh/m2 per year in Kudat and the lowest one has been about 60 kWh/m2 in Kuching.

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