scholarly journals Predictors of progression of atrial fibrillation in patients with congestive heart failure

2017 ◽  
Vol 95 (7) ◽  
pp. 613-617
Author(s):  
V. I. Podzolkov ◽  
A. I. Tarzimanova ◽  
L. Mohammadi

An appreciable progress has recently been achieved in the study of the nature of atrial fibrillation (AF), from its early asymptomatic stages to irreversible arrhythmia. There are data on the risk factors of AF in the literature, but predictors of progressive arrhythmia remain to be elucidated. This study was aimed to identify predictors of AF progression in patients with congestive heart failure (CHF). Material and methods. The study involved 64 patients aged 59-82 (mean 69,4±3,9) followed up prospectively from September 2010 till June 2016 (observations of mean duration 60±3 mo included regular telephone interviews (each 3 mo) and annual general clinical examination with laboratory and instrumental studies. Continuous or persisting AF served as the criterion for progressive arrhythmia. Results. Cardiovascular complications and progressive arrhythmia were documented in 23 (36%) and 38 (59%) patients respectively during the 60±3 mo observation period. The multifactorial analysis revealed the significant influence of a decrease of left ventricular ejection function (EF) to below 40% and a rise in the plasma level of brain natriuretic peptide (Nt-proBNP) to more than 903 pg/ml on the risk of development of arrhythmia. Conclusion. Independent predictors of arrhythmia in patients with CHF and persistent AF are a decrease in left ventricular ejection function (EF) to below 40% (1,2, 95% CI 0,9-1,5) and a rise in the plasma Nt-proBNP level to more than 903 pg/ml (OR 1,3, 95% , CI+1,1-2,9). Such a rise predicts transition of arrhythmia into continuous form with sensitivity 92,1% and specificity 84,6%.

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Tysarowski ◽  
Nigri Rafael ◽  
Hyoeun Kim ◽  
Emad Aziz

Introduction: There is conflicting data on the effect of digoxin on all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), especially in patients with heart failure (HF). Hypothesis: We hypothesized that in patients with AF, mortality rates associated with digoxin treatment are different among patients with HF and without HF. Methods: We conducted a cohort study of hospitalized patients with AF assessing the effects of digoxin on all-cause mortality. We divided patients into two groups: with and without HF. We performed Cox regression analysis to assess hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause mortality depending on digoxin treatment and used propensity score matching to adjust for differences in background characteristics between treatment groups. Results: Among 2179 consecutive patients, the median age was 73 ± 14 (table), 53% patient were male, 49% had HF, 19% were discharged on digoxin. Median left ventricular ejection fraction in the cohort was 60 (IQR 40-65). Among patients with HF, 35% had preserved, 18% had mid-range and 48% had reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. The mean follow-up time was 3 ± 2.1 years. After adjustment, in patients with HF, there was no statistically significant difference in mortality between the digoxin subgroups ( A , HR=1.01 [95% CI 0.76 to 1.35], p=0.92). In contrast, after adjustment, in patients without HF there was a statistically significant increased mortality in the digoxin subgroup ( B , HR=2.23, [95% CI 1.42 to 3.51], p<0.001). Conclusions: Digoxin use was associated with increased mortality in patients with AF and without concomitant HF. This suggests that clinicians should be careful in prescribing digoxin for rate control in AF, especially in patients without concomitant HF.


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