scholarly journals Cash Flow Information And The Prediction Of Financially Distressed Mining, Oil And Gas Firms: A Comparative Study

2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry J. Ward

<span>This study tests whether cash flow information is more useful to creditors in predicting financially distressed mining, oil and gas firms than it is in predicting financial distress in other industries. The results of this study suggest that cash flows are more useful to creditors in predicting financially distressed mining, oil and gas firms than they are predicting financially distressed firms in other industries. Results also show that different cash flows are useful in predicting financial distressed mining, oil and gas firms than are useful in predicting financially distressed control firms.</span>

2011 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry J. Ward

This paper attempts to determine whether the measure used to scale the three net cash flows reported on a statement of cash flows affects binary financial distress prediction results. The results of this study suggest that the scaling measure used does affect the incremental predictive ability of each cash flow. Results indicate that tone should scale cash flow from operating activities by current assets, cash flow from investing activities by sales, and cash flow from operating activities by owners equity.


Subject US energy bond market. Significance The US benchmark, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price, has slumped to 20-30 dollars per barrel in the second half of this month as the impacts of the COVID-19 outbreak have reduced demand and the breakdown of OPEC+ talks earlier this month increased supply. The price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia will exert great pressure on the oil and gas industry, which was already facing slower growth because businesses and the transport sector are reducing the carbon intensity of their activity. Impacts If US exploration and production firms cut investment, already distressed firms in ancillary areas such as oilfield services will suffer. Unemployment in the US shale industry could increase sharply. US oil and gas firms will try to protect their cash flows by, for example, selling assets, cutting dividends and raising fresh capital.


2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Jooste

Purpose: With the introduction of the cash flow statement it became an integral part of financial reporting. A need arose to develop ratios for the effective evaluation of cash flow information. This article investigates cash flow ratios suggested by various researchers and suggests a list of ratios with the potential to predict financial failure. Design: The cash flow ratios suggested by researchers, from as early as 1966, are investigated and eight cash flow ratios selected for inclusion in an analysis to predict financial failure. Ten failed entities are selected for a cash flow evaluation by means of the selected ratios for five years prior to failure. For a comparison, non-failed entities in similar sectors are selected and also evaluated by means of the cash flow ratios. The mean values of each ratio, for each year prior to failure, were then calculated and the means of the failed entities were compared to the non-failed entities. Findings: The comparison revealed that cash flow ratios have predictive value with the cash flow to total debt identified as the best indicator of failure. It was also determined that, although failed entities have lower cash flows than non-failed entities, they also had smaller reserves of liquid assets. Furthermore, they have less capacity to meet debt obligations and they tend to incur more debt. The ratios of the failed entities were unstable and fluctuated from one year to the next. Finally, bankruptcy could be predicted three years prior to financial failure. Implications: Income statement and balance sheet ratios are not enough to measure liquidity. An entity can have positive liquidity ratios and increasing profits, yet have serious cash flow problems. Ratios developed from the cash flow statement should supplement traditional accrual-based ratios to provide additional information on the financial strengths and weaknesses of an entity .


2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1101-1120
Author(s):  
O.V. Shimko

Subject. The article investigates key figures disclosed in consolidated cash flow statements of 25 leading publicly traded oil and gas companies from 2006 to 2018. Objectives. The focus is on determining the current level of values of the main components of consolidated statement of cash flows prepared by leading publicly traded oil and gas companies, identifying key trends within the studied period and factors that led to any transformation. Methods. The study draws on methods of comparative and financial-economic analysis, as well as generalization of materials of consolidated cash flow statements. Results. The comprehensive analysis of annual reports of 25 oil and gas companies enabled to determine changes in the key figures and their relation in the structure of consolidated cash flow statements in the public sector of the industry. It also established main factors that contributed to the changes. Conclusions. In the period under study, I revealed an increase in cash from operating activities; established that capital expenditures in the public sector of the industry show an overall upward trend and depend on the level of oil prices. The analysis demonstrated that even integrated companies’ upstream segment prevail in the capital expenditures structure. The study also unveiled an increase in dividend payments, which, most of the time, exceeded free cash flows thus increasing the debt burden.


2021 ◽  
pp. 097226292110109
Author(s):  
Karan Gandhi

Prior research exhibits contradictory evidence on earnings management practices, both accrual and real, undertaken by the firms in state of financial distress. This study uniquely examines the issue in the presence of earnings-increasing earnings management motivation- meeting earnings benchmark of avoiding losses. For examining the issue, this study analyzes large panel data of Indian public companies for the period 2000–2016. The findings indicate prevalence of earnings-decreasing real earnings management practices, that is, decrease in overproduction and increase in spending on discretionary expenses, in financially distressed firms despite there being motivation to increase earnings to avoid losses. No evidence of accrual earnings management practices has been observed in such firms.


2013 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 887-917 ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen Kumar ◽  
Ramon Rabinovitch

AbstractUsing a unique data set with detailed information on the derivative positions of upstream oil and gas firms during 1996–2008, we find that hedging intensity is positively related to factors that amplify chief executive officer (CEO) entrenchment and free cash flow agency costs. There is also robust evidence that hedging is motivated by the reduction of financial distress and borrowing costs, and that it is influenced by both intrinsic cash flow risk and temporary spikes in commodity price volatility. We present a comprehensive perspective on the determinants of corporate hedging, and the results are consistent with the predictions of the risk management and agency costs literatures.


2009 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 311-318
Author(s):  
Safieddine Bouali

Governance arrangement between shareholders, debtholders and managers fix the reinvestment ratio of profits. Residual earnings will appear as excess cash flow to disgorge in dividend disbursements or share repurchases. However, financial crisis stimulates corporation to express highest aversion both to overinvestment or underinvestment, probably in an identical degree. Besides, dissuasion to commit fraud pushes ownership to select a strong dynamical mechanism adjusting held earnings to the preferred reinvestment rate. Focus? Immediate disbursement of free cash flows. This paper shows that self-imposed discipline targeting fixed reinvestment rate under nonlinear adjustment speed can inject itself a “strange” dynamics to the firm, leading to critical losses and a bankruptcy threat. However, one way to reduce this instability is determining carefully the “normal” cash flow which does not trigger the payout.


2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shadi Farshadfar

This study investigates whether the direct method of presenting cash flows from operations is superior to the indirect method in its ability to forecast future cash flows. It also considers the effect of industry characteristics on the relative usefulness of direct and indirect methods of cash flow presentation. The study, which uses a sample of Australian firms, finds that both the direct and indirect methods improve the forecast of future cash flows. However, the indirect method of reporting cash flows from operations is more relevant than the direct method in predicting future cash flows. Evidence from the industry-level analysis overall reinforces the main results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-68
Author(s):  
MUHAMMAD REZA FAHLEVI ◽  
AAN MARLINAH

Financial distress is a complicated phase and multidimensional problem facing by the company. Since it leads the company on the possibility of bankruptcy, this situation needs immediately to be recovered. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the company's financial distress. There are ten variables in this study which are classified into four categories: liquidity, capital structure, profitability and cash flows. This study used financial statement data of manufacturing company which is listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange during the threeyear study period from 2011 to 2013. There are some criteria in choosing the representative sample so that the sum of the companies are 90 companies or equal to 270 financial statements data. The empirical findings show that there are only three variables that influence the company’s financial distress. The significant variables are current ratio (liquidity), return on assets (profitability) and cash flow ratio (cash flow).


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