scholarly journals Primerjava različnih regresijskih modelov za napovedovanje debelinskega priraščanja jelke

2021 ◽  
Vol 126 ◽  
pp. 61-76
Author(s):  
Andrej Ficko ◽  
Vasilije Trifković

We present seven alternative statistical models for modelling tree diameter increment with data from permanent sampling plots. In addition to the polynomial regression model, we present a regression model with added random noise, a mixed linear model, regression with natural splines, and three models with limited dependent variables: truncated regression, tobit regression and grouped data regression. The models may be used when dealing with truncated or censored variables, biased estimation of the increment due to censoring and rounding down, or when having multilevel data. The parametrization of the models was done using 21,013 fir trees on 4,405 plots in the period 1990–2014 in uneven-aged Dinaric fir-beech forests. All models showed a similar effect of tree diameter, stand basal area, basal area of larger trees, diameter structure diversity, altitude and slope. There were only minor differences in the regression coefficients and fit measures. The highest increment predictions were given by the tobit model. The mixed model fit the data best and, compared to the other models, predicted a slower decrease in the growth of large-diameter trees after growth culmination.

2004 ◽  
Vol 80 (6) ◽  
pp. 694-704 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rongzhou Man ◽  
Ken J Greenway

Meta-analysis was used to summarize the research results on the growth response of understory white spruce to release from overstory aspen from different studies available from published and unpublished sources. The data were screened for the suitability for meta-analysis. Treatment effect sizes were calculated using response ratio from mean cumulative increments of released and control trees since release in height, diameter, and volume and modeled using a polynomial mixed effect regression procedure. Predictor variables include linear, quadratic, and cubic components of three independent variables — initial tree height, number of years after release, and residual basal area at release — and their linear interactions. Models with a reasonable predictive power were developed for height, diameter, and volume response, but no significant model was identified for survival. The models developed in this study can be applied to predict the growth response of understory white spruce to release, based on the growth of unreleased control trees, initial tree height, residual basal area at release, and time since release. The individual tree prediction can be easily scaled up to stand level if residual tree density and distribution is known. Key words: meta-analysis, boreal mixedwood, mixed model, polynomial regression, response ratio, growth, survival


Author(s):  
Sang Nguyen Minh

This study uses the DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis) method to estimate the technical efficiency index of 34 Vietnamese commercial banks in the period 2007-2015, and then it analyzes the impact of income diversification on the operational efficiency of Vietnamese commercial banks through a censored regression model - the Tobit regression model. Research results indicate that income diversification has positive effects on the operational efficiency of Vietnamese commercial banks in the research period. Based on study results, in this research some recommendations forpolicy are given to enhance the operational efficiency of Vietnam’s commercial banking system.


CERNE ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 117-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fábio Venturoli ◽  
Augusto César Franco ◽  
Christopher William Fagg

In the Cerrado biome of Brazil, savannas and dry forests are intimately linked and form mosaics. These forests are composed of species of high commercial value, well accepted in the timber market, which causes intensive deforestation on the remaining vegetation. Thus, the management of these forests is an important alternative to reduce deforestation in the remaining vegetation. The objective of this study was to analyze the response of tree species in relation to silvicultural treatments of competition and liana cutting in a semi-deciduous forest in Central Brazil. The results showed that community basal area increased 24% over 4.8 years and the median periodic annual increment in diameter was about 20% higher in plots with silvicultural treatments: 2.9 mm.yr-1 in the control compared to 3.2 mm.yr-1 to 3.6 mm.yr-1 between treatments. This study demonstrated that it is possible to increase the rates of radial growth through silvicultural techniques.


Author(s):  
Sunil Sapra

While a variety of specification tests are routinely employed to test for misspecification in linear regression model, such tests and their applications to the truncated and censored regression models are uncommon. This paper develops a regression error specification test (RESET) for the truncated regression model as an extension of the popular RESET for the linear regression model (Ramsey (1969)). The two proposed extensions TRESET1 and TRESET2 developed in the paper are applied to labor force participation data from Mroz (1987). The paper studies the empirical size and power properties of the proposed tests via Monte Carlo experiments. Our simulation results suggest that both TRESET tests have reasonably good size and power properties for the truncated regression model in medium to large samples. However, TRESET2 consistently outperforms TRESET1 both in terms of empirical size and power in our experiments.  


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Tang ◽  
Dongchu Zhao ◽  
Chuan Zhang ◽  
Xiaoying Huang ◽  
Dong Liu ◽  
...  

Abstract BackgroundAbdominal wall tension (AWT) plays an important role in the pathogenesis of abdominal compliance (AC). This study uses a polynomial regression model to analyze the correlation between intra-vesical pressure(IVP) and AWT in critically ill patients and provides new ideas for the diagnosis and treatment of critically ill patients with intra-abdominal hypertension(IAH).MethodsA retrospective analysis was conducted in critically ill patients who met the inclusion criteria and were admitted to the Department of intensive care unit of Daping Hospital of Army Medical University from March 14, 2019, to May 23, 2020. According to the IVP on the first day of ICU admission and death within 28 days, the patients were divided into the IAH group (IVP ≥12 mmHg), the non-IAH group, the survival group and the nonsurvival group. The demographic and clinical data, prognostic indicators, AWT and IVP on days 1-7 after entering the ICU, IAH risk factors, and 28-day death risk factors were collected.ResultsA total of 100 patients were enrolled, with an average age of 45.59±11.4 years. There were 55 males (55%), 30 patients from departments of internal medicine (30%), 43 patients from surgery departments (43%), and 27 trauma patients (27%). In the IAH group, there were 50 patients (29 males, 58%), with an average age of 45.28±12.27 years; there were 50 patients (26 males, 52%) in the non-IAH group, with an average age of 45.90±10.58 years. The IVP on the 1st day and the average IVP within 7 days of the IAH group was 18.99(17.52,20.77)mmHg and 19.43(16.87,22.25)mmHg, respectively, which was higher than that of the non-IAH group [ 6.14(3.48,8.70)mmHg, 6.66(2.74,9.08)mmHg], p<0.001. The AWT on the 1st day and the average AWT within 7 days of the IAH group was 2.89±0.32 N/mm and 2.82±0.46 N/mm, respectively, which was higher than that of the non-IAH group [(2.45±0.29)N/mm,(2.43±0.39)N/mm],p<0.001.The polynomial regression models showed that the average AWT and IVP on the 1st day and within 7 days were AWTday1 = -2.450×10-3IVP2+9.695×10-2 IVP+2.046,r=0.667(p<0.0001),and AWTmean = -2.293×10-3IVP2+9.273×10-2 IVP+2.081, respectively. The logistic regression analysis showed that AWTday1 of 2.73-2.97 N/mm increased the patient's 28-day mortality risk (OR: 6.834; 95%: 1.105-42.266, p=0.010).ConclusionsThere is a nonlinear correlation between AWT and IVP in critically ill patients, and a high AWT may indicate poor prognosis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Malika Rached Kanouni ◽  
Insaf Hani ◽  
Ratiba BOUSBA ◽  
Amina Beldjazia ◽  
Hichem KHAMAR

Abstract. Rached-Kanouni M, Hani I, Bousba R, Beldjazia A, Khammar H. 2020. Structural variability of Aleppo pine stands in two forests in northeastern Algeria. Biodiversitas 21: 2848-2853. The layout of the stand can be described as the width of the trees, their reciprocal locations, diametric distinction and height. The goal of this study is to recognize changes in the Pinus halepensis spatial and demographic systems in two Beni Oudjana and Chettaba Forests, located in northeast Algeria. An inventory of trees in these forest formations with P. halepensis dominance was carried out based on dendrometric parameters such as total height, tree diameter at dbh ≥ 5 cm, basal area, total volume, etc., as well as the number of trees in the forest. Tree diameter and height measurements were made on 12 rectangular plots (20 m × 20 m), located in both forests. The results obtained show that the mean stand density, mean diameter, basal area and total volume are higher in Chettaba Forest, the values attributed to these parameters are respectively (422 trees/ha, 27.07 cm, 26, 86 m2, 251.63 m3); while the total height and regeneration rate show significantly higher values in Beni Oudjana Forest (18.97 m, 607 individuals/ha). The structure in diameter and height of the species is bell-shaped to asymmetrically positive with a predominance of small diameter individuals in the Chettaba forest. On the other hand, in the Beni Oudjana Forest, the structure is ‘L’ shaped, showing a predominance of very small diameter individuals. These results indicate that the low regeneration rate of P. halepensis in the Chettaba Forest is due to anthropogenic pressures that favor the degradation of this forest.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed LOUNIS ◽  
Babu Malavika

Abstract The novel Coronavirus respiratory disease 2019 (COVID-19) is still expanding through the world since it started in Wuhan (China) on December 2019 reporting a number of more than 84.4 millions cases and 1.8 millions deaths on January 3rd 2021.In this work and to forecast the COVID-19 cases in Algeria, we used two models: the logistic growth model and the polynomial regression model using data of COVID-19 cases reported by the Algerian ministry of health from February 25th to December 2nd, 2020. Results showed that the polynomial regression model fitted better the data of COVID-19 in Algeria the Logistic model. The first model estimated the number of cases on January, 19th 2021 at 387673 cases. This model could help the Algerian authorities in the fighting against this disease.


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