scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility assessment using the maximum entropy model in a sector of the Cluj–Napoca Municipality, Romania

2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 130-146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna–Hajnalka KEREKES ◽  
Szilárd Lehel POSZET ◽  
Andrea GÁL
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Maximum Entropy ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Large Degree ◽  
Influential Factors ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Accurate Information ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Entropy Model

The administrative territory of Cluj–Napoca, due to its specific geological and geomorphological characteristics and anthropic activities, has been affected for a long time by landslides. Thus, it becomes necessary to analyse affected areas with different spatial methods, with the aim of generating landslide susceptibility maps. In this research, we studied the most prone area of the city, the Becaș stream watershed, situated in the Southern part of the municipality. The aim of this paper is to generate a valid susceptibility map, to be able to raise awareness about the existing situation: due to human induced activities and rapid urban growth, the peripheral part of Cluj–Napoca becomes more and more prone to mass–movements. We used the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, which was fed with accurate information on the existing landslides and seven landslide–causing factors: slope, aspect, land–use, depth of fragmentation, geology and plan– and profile curvature. The results confirm that the most influential factors are the land use and slope–angle, affected in a large degree by human activities. The accuracy of the generated map was verified using the AUC method, proving a very good performance (0.844) of the applied model.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Different GIS-Based Bivariate Models

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1402 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nohani ◽  
Moharrami ◽  
Sharafi ◽  
Khosravi ◽  
Pradhan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Bivariate Models

Landslides are the most frequent phenomenon in the northern part of Iran, which cause considerable financial and life damages every year. One of the most widely used approaches to reduce these damages is preparing a landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using suitable methods and selecting the proper conditioning factors. The current study is aimed at comparing four bivariate models, namely the frequency ratio (FR), Shannon entropy (SE), weights of evidence (WoE), and evidential belief function (EBF), for a LSM of Klijanrestagh Watershed, Iran. Firstly, 109 locations of landslides were obtained from field surveys and interpretation of aerial photographs. Then, the locations were categorized into two groups of 70% (74 locations) and 30% (35 locations), randomly, for modeling and validation processes, respectively. Then, 10 conditioning factors of slope aspect, curvature, elevation, distance from fault, lithology, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), distance from the river, distance from the road, the slope angle, and land use were determined to construct the spatial database. From the results of multicollinearity, it was concluded that no collinearity existed between the 10 considered conditioning factors in the occurrence of landslides. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used for validation of the four achieved LSMs. The AUC results introduced the success rates of 0.8, 0.86, 0.84, and 0.85 for EBF, WoE, SE, and FR, respectively. Also, they indicated that the rates of prediction were 0.84, 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for WoE, FR, SE, and EBF, respectively. Therefore, the WoE model, having the highest AUC, was the most accurate method among the four implemented methods in identifying the regions at risk of future landslides in the study area. The outcomes of this research are useful and essential for the government, planners, decision makers, researchers, and general land-use planners in the study area.

scholarly journals Landslides susceptibility modelling using Multivariate Logistic Regression Model in the Sahla Watershed in Northern Morocco

2021 ◽  
Vol 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed El-Fengour ◽  
Hanifa El Motaki ◽  
Aissa El Bouzidi
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Potential Hazard ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence

This study aimed to assess landslide susceptibility in the Sahla watershed in northern Morocco. Landslides hazard is the most frequent phenomenon in this part of the state due to its mountainous precarious environment. The abundance of rainfall makes this area suffer mass movements led to a notable adverse impact on the nearby settlements and infrastructures. There were 93 identified landslide scars. Landslide inventories were collected from Google Earth image interpretations. They were prepared out of landslide events in the past, and future landslide occurrence was predicted by correlating landslide predisposing factors. In this paper, landslide inventories are divided into two groups, one for landslide training and the other for validation. The Landslide Susceptibility Map (LSM) is prepared by Logistic Regression (LR) Statistical Method. Lithology, stream density, land use, slope curvature, elevation, topographic wetness index, slope aspect, and slope angle were used as conditioning factors. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) was employed to examine the performance of the model. In the analysis, the LR model results in 96% accuracy in the AUC. The LSM consists of the predicted landslide area. Hence it can be used to reduce the potential hazard linked with the landslides in the Sahla watershed area in Rif Mountains in northern Morocco.

Production of Landslide Susceptibility Map using Bayesian Probability Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 16-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halil Akıncı ◽  
Ayşe Yavuz Özalp ◽  
Mehmet Özalp ◽  
Sebahat Temuçin Kılıçer ◽  
Cem Kılıçoğlu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Probability Model ◽  
Bayesian Probability ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map

Artvin is one of the provinces in Turkey where landslides occur most frequently. There have been numerous landslides characterized as natural disaster recorded across the province. The areas sensitive to landslides across the province should be identified in order to ensure people's safety, to take the necessary measures for reducing any devastating effects of landslides and to make the right decisions in respect to land use planning. In this study, the landslide susceptibility map of the Central district of Artvin was produced by using Bayesian probability model. Parameters including lithology, altitude, slope, aspect, plan and profile curvatures, soil depth, topographic wetness index, land cover, and proximity to the road and stream were used in landslide susceptibility analysis. The landslide susceptibility map produced in this study was validated using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) based on area under curve (AUC) analysis. In addition, control landslide locations were used to validate the results of the landslide susceptibility map and the validation analysis resulted in 94.30% accuracy, a reliable outcome for this map that can be useful for general land use planning in Artvin.

scholarly journals Assessing the spatial variability of coefficients of landslide predictors in different regions of Romania using logistic regression

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 3339-3355 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. C. Mărgărint ◽  
A. Grozavu ◽  
C. V. Patriche
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Hazard Mapping ◽  
Correct Identification

Abstract. In landslide susceptibility assessment, an important issue is the correct identification of significant contributing factors, which leads to the improvement of predictions regarding this type of geomorphologic processes. In the scientific literature, different weightings are assigned to these factors, but contain large variations. This study aims to identify the spatial variability and range of variation for the coefficients of landslide predictors in different geographical conditions. Four sectors of 15 km × 15 km (225 km2) were selected for analysis from representative regions in Romania in terms of spatial extent of landslides, situated both on the hilly areas (the Transylvanian Plateau and Moldavian Plateau) and lower mountain region (Subcarpathians). The following factors were taken into consideration: elevation, slope angle, slope height, terrain curvature (mean, plan and profile), distance from drainage network, slope aspect, land use, and lithology. For each sector, landslide inventory, digital elevation model and thematic layers of the mentioned predictors were achieved and integrated in a georeferenced environment. The logistic regression was applied separately for the four study sectors as the statistical method for assessing terrain landsliding susceptibility. Maps of landslide susceptibility were produced, the values of which were classified by using the natural breaks method (Jenks). The accuracy of the logistic regression outcomes was evaluated using the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve and AUC (area under the curve) parameter, which show values between 0.852 and 0.922 for training samples, and between 0.851 and 0.940 for validation samples. The values of coefficients are generally confined within the limits specified by the scientific literature. In each sector, landslide susceptibility is essentially related to some specific predictors, such as the slope angle, land use, slope height, and lithology. The study points out that the coefficients assigned to the landslide predictors through logistic regression are capable to reveal some important characteristics in landslide manifestation. The study also shows that the logistic regression could be an alternative method to the current Romanian methodology for landslide susceptibility and hazard mapping.

scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping using Bivariate Statistical Models and GIS in Chattagram District, Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Sharafat Chowdhury ◽  
Bibi Hafsa
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Models ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Weight Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Topographic Wetness Index ◽  
Conditioning Factors

Abstract This study attempts to produce Landslide Susceptibility Map for Chattagram District of Bangladesh by using five GIS based bivariate statistical models, namely the Frequency Ratio (FR), Shanon’s Entropy (SE), Weight of Evidence (WofE), Information Value (IV) and Certainty Factor (CF). A secondary landslide inventory database was used to correlate the previous landslides with the landslide conditioning factors. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors of Slope Aspect, Slope Angle, Geology, Elevation, Plan Curvature, Profile Curvature, General Curvature, Topographic Wetness Index, Stream Power Index, Sediment Transport Index, Topographic Roughness Index, Distance to Stream, Distance to Anticline, Distance to Fault, Distance to Road and NDVI were used. The Area Under Curve (AUC) was used for validation of the LSMs. The predictive rate of AUC for FR, SE, WofE, IV and CF were 76.11%, 70.11%, 78.93%, 76.57% and 80.43% respectively. CF model indicates 15.04% of areas are highly susceptible to landslide. All the models showed that the high elevated areas are more susceptible to landslide where the low-lying river basin areas have a low probability of landslide occurrence. The findings of this research will contribute to land use planning, management and hazard mitigation of the CHT region.

scholarly journals A new approach in the development and analysis of the landslide susceptibility map of the hillslopes of Bujumbura, Burundi

2021 ◽  
pp. 26-34
Author(s):  
Desire Kubwimana ◽  
Lahsen Ait Brahim ◽  
Abdellah Abdelouafi
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Aerial Photos ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Tropical Environments

As in other hilly and mountainous regions of the world, the hillslopes of Bujumbura are prone to landslides. In this area, landslides impact human lives and infrastructures. Despite the high landslide-induced damages, slope instabilities are less investigated. The aim of this research is to assess the landslide susceptibility using a probabilistic/statistical data modeling approach for predicting the initiation of future landslides. A spatial landslide inventory with their physical characteristics through interpretation of high-resolution optic imageries/aerial photos and intensive fieldwork are carried out. Base on in-depth field knowledge and green literature, let’s select potential landslide conditioning factors. A landslide inventory map with 568 landslides is produced. Out of the total of 568 landslide sites, 50 % of the data taken before the 2000s is used for training and the remaining 50 % (post-2000 events) were used for validation purposes. A landslide susceptibility map with an efficiency of 76 % to predict future slope failures is generated. The main landslides controlling factors in ascendant order are the density of drainage networks, the land use/cover, the lithology, the fault density, the slope angle, the curvature, the elevation, and the slope aspect. The causes of landslides support former regional studies which state that in the region, landslides are related to the geology with the high rapid weathering process in tropical environments, topography, and geodynamics. The susceptibility map will be a powerful decision-making tool for drawing up appropriate development plans in the hillslopes of Bujumbura with high demographic exposure. Such an approach will make it possible to mitigate the socio-economic impacts due to these land instabilities

scholarly journals Assessing the spatial variability of weights of landslide causal factors in different regions from Romania using logistic regression

2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 1749-1774 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. C. Mărgărint ◽  
A. Grozavu ◽  
C. V. Patriche
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Spatial Variability ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Scientific Literature ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Correct Identification ◽  
Channel Network ◽  
Causal Factors

Abstract. In landslide susceptibility assessment, an important issue is the correct identification of significant causal factors, which leads to the improvement of predictions regarding this type of geomorphological processes. In the scientific literature, different weightings are assigned to these factors, but with large variations. This study aims to identify the spatial variability and range of variation of landslide causal factors in different geographical conditions. Four square sectors of 15 km × 15 km (225 km2) were selected for analysis from representative regions in Romania in terms of spatial extent of landslides, situated both in hilly areas (Transylvanian Plateau and Moldavian Plateau) and lower mountain region (Subcarpathians). The following factors were taken into consideration: elevation, slope angle, slope height, terrain curvature (mean, plan and profile), distance from drainage network, slope aspect, surface lithology and land use. For each sector, landslide inventory, digital elevation model and thematic layers of the mentioned predictors were achieved and integrated in georeferenced environment. The logistic regression was applied separately for the four study sectors, as statistical method for assessing terrain landsliding susceptibility. Maps of landslide susceptibility were achieved, the values of which were classified using the natural breaks method (Jenks). The accuracy of logistic regression outcomes was evaluated using the ROC curve and AUC parameter, which show values between 0.852 and 0.922. The values of factor weights are generally placed within the limits specified by the scientific literature. For all study sectors, the prevailing factors for landslide susceptibility are slope angle, land use and slope height above channel network. The study points out that the weights assigned to the causal factors through logistic regression are capable to reveal some important regional characteristics in landslides manifestation.

scholarly journals Evaluating landslide susceptibility using environmental factors, fuzzy membership functions and GIS

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 28-40
Keyword(s):  
Factor Analysis ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Fuzzy Membership ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Membership Functions ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Fuzzy Membership Functions

A methodology for landslide susceptibility assessment to delineate landslide prone areas is presented using factor analysis and fuzzy membership functions and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). A landslide inventory of 51 landslides was created in the mountainous part of Xanthi prefecture (North Greece) and the associated conditioning factors were determined for each landslide by field work. Six conditioning factors were evaluated: slope angle, slope aspect, land use, geology, distance to faults and topographical elevation. Fuzzy membership functions were defined for each factor using the landslide frequency data. Factor analysis provided weights (i.e., importance for landslide occurrences) for each one of the above conditioning factors, indicating the most important factors as geology and slope angle. An overlay and index method was adopted to produce the landslide susceptibility map. In this map 96% of the observed landslides are located in very high and high susceptibility zones, indicating a suitable approach for landslide susceptibility mapping.

Assessing landslide vulnerability using bivariate statistical analysis and the frequency ratio model. Case study: Transylvanian Plain (Romania)

2016 ◽  
Vol 60 (4) ◽  
pp. 359-371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gheorghe Roşian ◽  
Horváth Csaba ◽  
Réti Kinga-Olga ◽  
Cristian-Nicolae Boţan ◽  
Ionela Georgiana Gavrilă
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Predisposing Factors ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Ratio Model ◽  
Statistical Index ◽  
Model Case ◽  
Frequency Ratio Model

Landslides are among the most destructive natural hazards in several regions. Here we summarize our findings regarding this phenomenon in the Transylvanian Plain (Romania) using two susceptibility models: the statistical index and the frequency ratio model. Using Esri's ArcGIS Raster Calculator tool we generated susceptibility maps by summarizing the following twelve landslide predisposition factors: lithology, soil type, fault distance, drainage network distance, roads distance, land use (Corrine Land Cover and NDVI), slope angle, aspect, elevation, plan curvature and soil erosion (RUSLE). The landslide susceptibility has been assessed by computing the values for each class of the predisposing factors and thus evaluating the distribution of the landslide zones within each factor, using Esri's Tabulate Area Tool. The extracted predisposing factors maps have then been re-classified on the basis of the computed values in a raster format. Finally, the landslide susceptibility map has been reclassified into five classes using Natural Breaks (Jenks) classification method. The model performance was assessed with Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the R-index. The models with high number of factors had the lowest accuracy (AUC values being <0.8). The best frequency ratio model (AUC = 0.884) contained only three factors (slope, aspect, elevation) while in the case of the statistical index model the best model (AUC = 0.879) contained four factors (slope, aspect, elevation and NDVI). A significant part (33%) of the study area is characterized by a high to very high degree of susceptibility for landslides.

scholarly journals Land use and land cover geoinformation properties and its influence on the landslide susceptibility zonation of road network

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno M. Meneses ◽  
Susana Pereira ◽  
Eusébio Reis
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Road Network ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
The Road ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Zonation ◽  
On The Road

Abstract. This paper evaluates the influence of land use and land cover (LUC) geoinformation with different properties on landslide susceptibility zonation of the road network in Zêzere watershed (Portugal). The Information Value method was used to assess landslide susceptibility using two models: one including detailed LUC geoinformation (Portuguese Land Cover Map – COS) and other including more generalized LUC geoinformation (Corine Land Cover – CLC). A set of six fixed independent layers were considered as landslide predisposing factors (slope angle, slope aspect, slope curvature, slope over area ratio, soil, and lithology), while COS and CLC were used to find the differences in the landslide susceptibility zonation. A landslide inventory was used as dependent layer, including 259 shallow landslides obtained from photo-interpretation of orthophotos of 2005 and further validated in three sample areas (128 landslides). The landslide susceptibility maps were merged into road network geoinformation, and resulted in two landslide susceptibility road network maps. Models performance was evaluated with success rate curves and area under the curve. Landslide susceptibility results obtained in the two models are very good, but in comparison the model obtained with more detailed LUC geoinformation (COS) produces better results in the landslide susceptibility zonation and on the road network detection with the highest landslide susceptibility. This last map also provides more detailed information about the locals where the next landslides will probably occur with possible road network disturbances.

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