scholarly journals Prognostic value of ST2 for MACEs and all-cause mortality in patients with coronary artery disease during a long-term follow up

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Hongbin Liu ◽  
Lei Duan ◽  
Yulun Cai ◽  
Benchuan Hao ◽  
...  

Abstract PurposeST2 has been proved the prognostic value in acute coronary syndrome (ACS), its prognostic value to predict cardiac events in established coronary artery disease (CAD) patients is unknown. The study ought to investigate the prognostic value of ST2 in patients with established coronary artery disease.MethodsA total of 3650 consecutive patients were included in the study. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). The secondary end point was all-cause death. To explore competing risks, cause-specific hazard ratios were obtained using Cox regression models.ResultsDuring a median follow up of 6.4 years, there were 775 patients had the occurrence of MACEs and 275 patients died. Kaplan–Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher level of ST2 (ST2 > 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p<0.001)and all-cause death(log-rank p<0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, multiple COX regression models showed that higher level of ST2 was an independent predictor in developing MACEs(HR 1.31; 95% CI: 1.13–1.52; p<0.001) and all-cause death(HR 1.78; 95% CI: 1.38–2.30; p<0.001). We saw a significant increase of AUC in ROC curve after addition of GDF-15 to a clinical model 0.586 vs 0.619 For MACEs (p<0.001).For long-term all-cause death the increase of AUC 0.766 vs 0.642 (95% CI 0.787–0.846(p<0.001).ConclusionHigher level of ST2 is significantly associated with long-term all-cause death, MACEs and provides incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risks factors.

Author(s):  
Mouaz H Al-Mallah ◽  
Kamal Kassem ◽  
Owais Khawaja ◽  
Thomas Song ◽  
Chad Poopat ◽  
...  

Background: Myocardial bridging (MB) is frequently seen on coronary CT angiography (CCTA). However, there has been conflicting data on the prognostic value of MB. The aim of this analysis is to determine the prognostic value of MB in patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) (<50 diameter stenosis). Methods: We included patients with no known prior coronary artery disease (CAD) who underwent CCTA for various clincial reasons. Patients with obstructive CAD on CCTA were excluded. The study cohort was followed for all cause mortality or myocardial infarction (MI) (median follow-up 1.7 years). Group comparisons were made between patients with patients with or without MB. Results: A total of 715 patients were included in this analysis of which 68 patients had MB (10%). 73% of the bridges were in the mid LAD and 22% had bridging in the distal LAD. 48% of the study cohort had normal coronaries, while 52% had evidence of non obstructive CAD. There were no differences in the baseline characteristics, symptomatic status or prevalence of non obstructive CAD between the two groups (all p>0.5). After a median follow-up duration of 1.7 years, 23 patients died and 10 patients experienced myocardial infarction. There were no statistically significant differences in the rate of death/MI between the two groups (figure). Using multivariable Cox regression, the presence of MB was not associated with increased risk for death/MI (Adjusted HR 0.4, 95% confidence interval 0.1 -2.8, p=0.34) Conclusions: In patients with non-obstructive CAD, MB is not associated with increased risk for all cause death or MI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Lei Duan ◽  
Yulun Cai ◽  
Benchuan Hao ◽  
Jianqiao Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2) is implicated in myocardial overload and has long been recognized as an inflammatory marker related to heart failure and acute coronary syndrome, but data on the prognostic value of sST2 in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remain limited. This study sought to investigate the prognostic value of sST2 in patients with established CAD and its predictive value in CAD patients with and without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods A total of 3641 consecutive patients were included in this prospective cohort study. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). The secondary end point was all-cause death. The association between sST2 and outcomes was investigated using multivariable Cox regression. Results During a median follow-up of 6.4 years, MACEs occurred in 775 patients, and 275 patients died. Multiple Cox regression models showed that a higher level of sST2 was an independent predictor of MACEs development (HR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.17–1.56, p < 0.001) and all-cause death (HR = 2.01, 95% CI 1.56–2.59, p < 0.001). The addition of sST2 to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of the composite outcome of MACEs and all-cause death (C-index, net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p < 0.05). In subgroup analysis depending on diabetes status, the diabetes group had a significantly higher level of sST2, which remained a significant predictor of MACEs and all-cause death in patients with and without T2DM in multivariable models. The area under the curve (AUC) of CAD patients with diabetes mellitus was significantly higher than that of those without T2DM. For MACEs, the AUC was 0.737 (patients with T2DM) vs 0.620 (patients without T2DM). For all-cause death, the AUC was 0.923 (patients with T2DM) vs 0.789 (patients without T2DM). Conclusions A higher level of sST2 is significantly associated with long-term MACEs and all-cause death in CAD patients with and without T2DM. sST2 has strong predictive value for cardiovascular adverse events in CAD patients with T2DM, and these results provide new evidence for the role of sST2.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Lei Duan ◽  
Yulun Cai ◽  
Benchuan Hao ◽  
Jianqiao Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Suppression of tumorigenesis-2 is implicated in the myocardial overload and it was long been recognized as an inflammation marker related to heart failure and acute coronary syndromes, but the data on prognostic value of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 on patients with coronary artery disease remains limited. The study ought to investigate the prognostic value of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 in patients with established coronary artery disease.Methods: In this prospective cohort study, a total of 3641 consecutive patients were included. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of ST2 (ST2> 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p<0.001) and all-cause death (log-rank p<0.001). The secondary end point was all-cause death. The association between suppression of tumorigenesis-2 and outcomes was investigated using multivariable COX regression.Results: During a median follow up of 6.4 years, there were 775 patients had the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events and 275 patients died. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of ST2 (ST2> 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p<0.001) and all-cause death (log-rank p<0.001). Multiple COX regression models showed that higher level of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 was an independent predictor in developing major adverse cardiovascular events (HR=1.36, 95% CI 1.17-1.56, p<0.001) and all-cause death (HR=2.01, 95%CI 1.56-2.59, p<0.001). The addition of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of the composite outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events and all-cause death (c-statistic, net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p<0.05).Conclusions: Higher level of suppression of tumorigenesis-2 is significantly associated with long-term all-cause death and major adverse cardiovascular events. Suppression of tumorigenesis-2 may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risk factors.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Li ◽  
Lei Duan ◽  
Yulun Cai ◽  
Benchuan Hao ◽  
Jianqiao Chen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (ST2) is implicated in myocardial overload and has long been recognized as an inflammation marker related to heart failure and acute coronary syndromes, but data on the prognostic value of ST2 in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) remain limited. This study sought to investigate the prognostic value of ST2 in patients with established coronary artery disease and its predictive value in CAD patients with or without type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).Methods: A total of 3641 consecutive patients were included in this prospective cohort study. The primary end point was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). The secondary end point was all-cause death. The association between ST2 and outcomes was investigated using multivariable Cox regression.Results: During a median follow-up of 6.4 years, 775 patients had the occurrence of MACEs and 275 patients died. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates indicated that the patients with higher levels of ST2 (ST2> 19 ng/ml) had a significantly increased risk of MACEs (log-rank p<0.001) and all-cause death (log-rank p<0.001). Multiple Cox regression models showed that higher level of ST2 was an independent predictor for MACEs developments (HR=1.36, 95% CI 1.17-1.56, p<0.001) and all-cause death (HR=2.01, 95% CI 1.56-2.59, p<0.001). The addition of ST2 to established risk factors significantly improved risk prediction of the composite outcome of MACEs and all-cause death (C-statistic, net reclassification index, and integrated discrimination improvement, all p<0.05). Subgroup analyses showed that ST2 remained a significant predictor of MACEs and all-cause death in patients with and without T2DM in multivariable models.Conclusions: A higher level of ST2 is significantly associated with long-term MACEs and all-cause death in CAD patients with and without T2DM. ST2 may provide incremental prognostic value beyond traditional risk factors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
B Balcer ◽  
I Dykun ◽  
S Hendricks ◽  
F Al-Rashid ◽  
M Totzeck ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anemia is a frequent comorbidity in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). Besides a complemental effect on myocardial oxygen undersupply of CAD and anemia, available data suggests that it may independently impact the prognosis in CAD patients. We aimed to determine the association of anemia with long-term survival in a longitudinal registry of patients undergoing conventional coronary angiography. Methods The present analysis is based on the ECAD registry of patients undergoing conventional coronary angiography at the Department of Cardiology and Vascular Medicine at the University Clinic Essen between 2004 and 2019. For this analysis, we excluded all patients with missing hemoglobin levels at baseline admission or missing follow-up information. Anemia was defined as a hemoglobin level of &lt;13.0g/dl for male and &lt;12.0g/dl for female patients according to the world health organization's definition. Cox regression analysis was used to determine the association of anemia with morality, stratifying by clinical presentation of patients. Hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval are depicted for presence vs. absence of anemia. Results Overall, data from 28,917 patient admissions (mean age: 65.3±13.2 years, 69% male) were included in our analysis (22,570 patients without and 6,347 patients with anemia). Prevalence of anemia increased by age group (age &lt;50 years: 16.0%, age ≥80 years: 27.7%). During a mean follow-up of 3.2±3.4 years, 4,792 deaths of any cause occurred (16.6%). In patients with anemia, mortality was relevantly higher as compared to patients without anemia (13.4% vs. 28.0% for patients without and with anemia, respectively, p&lt;0.0001, figure 1). In univariate regression analysis, anemia was associated with 2.4-fold increased mortality risk (2.27–2.55, p&lt;0.0001). Effect sizes remained stable upon adjustment for traditional risk factors (2.38 [2.18–2.61], p&lt;0.0001). Mortality risk accountable to anemia was significantly higher for patients receiving coronary interventions (2.62 [2.35–2.92], p&lt;0.0001) as compared to purely diagnostic coronary angiography examinations (2.31 [2.15–2.47], p&lt;0.0001). Likewise, survival probability was slightly worse for patients with anemia in acute coronary syndrome (2.70 [2.29–3.12], p&lt;0.0001) compared to chronic coronary syndrome (2.60 [2.17–3.12], p&lt;0.0001). Interestingly, within the ACS entity, association of anemia with mortality was relevantly lower in STEMI patients (1.64 [1.10–2.44], p=0.014) as compared to NSTEMI and IAP (NSTEMI: 2.68 [2.09–3.44], p&lt;0.0001; IAP: 2.67 [2.06–3.47], p&lt;0.0001). Conclusion In this large registry of patients undergoing conventional coronary angiography, anemia was a frequent comorbidity. Anemia relevantly influences log-term survival, especially in patients receiving percutaneous coronary interventions. Our results confirm the important role of anemia for prognosis in patients with coronary artery disease, demonstrating the need for specific treatment options. Figure 1. Kaplan Meier analysis Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Hendricks ◽  
I Dykun ◽  
B Balcer ◽  
F Al-Rashid ◽  
P Luedike ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Natriuretic peptides (BNP/NT-proBNP) are routinely used for the diagnosis of heart failure and predicts outcome in patients with both heart failure with preserved and reduced ejection fraction. In addition, natriuretic peptides are associated with incident cardiovascular disease manifestation in primary prevention cohorts. Whether the assessment of BNP/NT-proBNP is of value in patients with coronary artery disease but without heart failure has not been investigated in detail. We here evaluate the association of BNP/NT-pro BNP with mortality patients with coronary artery disease but without known chronic heart failure. Methods The present analysis is based on the ECAD registry of patients undergoing conventional coronary angiography at the Department of Cardiology and Vascular Medicine between 2004 and 2019. For this analysis, we excluded all patients with a diagnosis of heart failure or with elevated BNP/NT-proBNP values at baseline (&gt;100pg/nl for BNP, &gt;400pg/nl for NTproBNP). Moreover, patients with missing follow-up information or without BNP/NT-proBNP levels at admission were excluded. As either BNP or NT-proBNP was available for singular patients, we standardized BNP and NT pro BNP levels based on percentile rank in levels from 0 to 99. Cox regression analysis was used to determine the association of BNP/NT-proBNP with morality in unadjusted and risk factor adjusted models with effect sizes depicted per one standard deviation change in BNP/NT-proBNP rank. Results Overall, 3738 patients (mean age: 62.8±12.6 years, 71% male) were included in our analysis. During a mean follow-up of 2.6±3.5 years, 172 deaths of any cause occurred. Patients without fatal events had significantly lower BNP/NT-prBNP values compared to patients who died (48.4±28.8 vs. 58.4±27.5, p&lt;0.0001). In unadjusted cox regression analysis, BNP/NT-proBNP increase by one standard deviation was associated with a 47% increased risk of morality (HR (95% CI): 1.47 (1.25–1.72), p&lt;0.0001). Upon adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, the significant link between BNP/NT-proBNP levels and morality remained (HR (95% CI): 1.38 (1.14–1.66). Effect sizes were similar for patients receiving coronary revascularization therapy as part of the coronary angiography (1.32 [1.03–1.70], p=0.03) as well as for patients with purely diagnostic procedures (1.58 [1.28–1.94], p&lt;0.0001). Conclusion In patients without heart failure undergoing coronary angiography, BNP/NT-proBNP levels stratify mortality risk independently of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Our results support the routine assessment of natriuretic peptides also in patients without heart failure to identify patients at increased risk. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 2876
Author(s):  
O. V. Kamenskaya ◽  
A. S. Klinkova ◽  
I. Yu. Loginova ◽  
V. N. Lomivorotov ◽  
A. M. Chernyavskiy ◽  
...  

Aim. To assess the short- and long-term outcomes of myocardial re- vascularization (MR) in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in the context of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.Material and methods. In the period from April to August 2020, 550 patients with CAD and ACS were included in the register. Emergency percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (n=499) and on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) (n=51) were performed. The follow-up period lasted 6 months. The pattern of complications after MR and effects of COVID-19 were analyzed.Results. The studied cohort is represented by patients with CAD >65 years old. ST segment elevation ACS was detected in 23%, acute myocardial infarction — in 59,1%, in other cases — unstable angina. During hospitalization after MR, atrial fibrillation prevailed among cardiovascular complications (4,7%). During this period, 29 (5,3%) patients was diagnosed with COVID-19. In the short-term period after MR, 3 (0,5%) people died due to COVID-19 complications-. In the long-term period after MR, 4 (0,7%) cases of non-fatal stroke were registered, while repeated MR — in 7,1%. The all-cause mortality rate was 1,3% (n=7), of which 57,1% of patients died due to COVID-19 complications. In the subgroup of patients who underwent CABG, the greatest number of in-hospital complications was noted, where exudative pleurisy, atrial fibrillation and anemia prevailed. Of the patients with COVID-19, pneumonia in the short-and long-term posto perative periods was recorded in 48,3 and 61,3%, respectively. Pneumonia is associated with respiratory failure, cardiac dysfunction, and anemia. The risk of COVID-19 pneumonia during the entire follow-up period was higher in patients with ACS who underwent CABG (odds ratio, 19,4; confidence interval: 13,3-26,1; p<0,001). The overall survival rate was 98,7%.Conclusion. COVID-19 infection in patients with ACS after MR effects pattern of postoperative complications. The proportion of COVID-19 pneumonia in patients with ACS in hospital, short-  and long-term postoperative periods after MR significantly exceeds that in the general population. The leading factor associated with COVID-19 pneumonia in patients with ACS is on-pump CABG.


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