Efficacy of High-flow Nasal Cannula Oxygen Therapy in Patients with Mild Hypercapnia
Abstract Objectives: To investigate the indications of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) oxygen therapy among patients with mild hypercapnia and to explore the predictors of intubation when HFNC fails.Methods: This retrospective study was conducted based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. Adult patients with mild hypercapnia (45<PaCO2≤60 mmHg) received either HFNC or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) oxygen therapy. Propensity score matching (PSM) was implemented to increase between-group comparability. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate overall survival and cumulative intubation rates, while 28-day mortality, 48-hour and 28-day intubation rates were compared using the Chi-square test. The predictive performances of HR/SpO2 and the ROX index (the ratio of SpO2/FiO2 to respiratory rate) at 4 hours were assessed regarding HFNC failure, which was determined if intubation was given within 48 hours after the initiation of oxygen therapy. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for HR/SpO2 and the ROX index were calculated and compared.Results: A total of 524,520 inpatient hospitalization records were screened, 106 patients in HFNC group and 106 patients in NIV group were successfully matched. No significant difference in 48-hour intubation rate between the HFNC group and the NIV group (14.2% vs. 8.5%, P=0.278); patients receiving HFNC had higher 28-day intubation rate (26.4% vs. 14.2%, P=0.029), higher 28-day mortality (17.9% vs. 8.5%, P=0.043), longer ICU length of stay (4.4 vs. 3.3 days, P=0.019), compared to those of NIV group. The AUC of HR/SpO2 at 4 hours after the initiation of HFNC yielded around 0.660 for predicting 48-hour intubation, greater than that of the ROX index with an AUC of 0.589 (P<0.01).Conclusions: HFNC therapy cannot completely replace NIV for patients with mild hypercapnia. As opposed to the ROX index, a modest, yet improved predictive performance is demonstrated using HR/SpO2 in predicting the failure of HFNC among these patients.