scholarly journals Modelling Present and Future Climate in the Mediterranean Sea: A Focus on Sea-Level Change

Author(s):  
Gianmaria Sannino ◽  
Adriana Carillo ◽  
Roberto Iacono ◽  
Ernesto Napolitano ◽  
Massimiliano Palma ◽  
...  

Abstract We present results of three simulations of the Mediterranean Sea climate: a hindcast, a historical run, and a RCP8.5 scenario simulation reaching the year 2100. The simulations are performed with MED16, a new, tide-including implementation of the MITgcm model, which covers the Mediterranean - Black Sea system with a resolution of 1/16°, further increased at the Gibraltar and Turkish Straits. Validation of the hindcast simulation against observations and numerical reanalyses has given excellent results, proving that the model is also capable of reproducing near-shore sea level variations. Moreover, the spatial structure of the elevation field compares well with altimetric observations, especially in the Western basin, due to the use of improved sea level information at the Atlantic lateral boundary and to the adequate treatment of the complex, hydraulically driven dynamics across the Gibraltar Strait.Under the RCP8.5 future scenario, the temperature is projected to generally increase while the surface salinity decreases in the portion of the Mediterranean affected by the penetration of the Atlantic stream, and increases elsewhere. The warming of sea waters results in the partial inhibition of deep-water formation.The scenario simulation allows for a detailed characterization of the regional patterns of future sea level, arising from ocean dynamics, and indicates a relative sinking of the Mediterranean with respect to the Atlantic more pronounced than the current one. Explicit tidal forcing and an accurate resolution of the Gibraltar Strait are proved to be key features in the designing of numerical simulations for the Mediterranean Sea.

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piero Lionello ◽  
Dario Conte ◽  
Marco Reale

Abstract. Large positive and negative sea level anomalies at the coast of the Mediterranean Sea are linked to intensity and position of cyclones moving along the Mediterranean storm track, with dynamics involving different factors. This analysis is based on a model hindcast and considers nine coastal stations, which are representative of sea level anomalies with different magnitude and characteristics. When a shallow water fetch is present, the wind around the cyclone center is the main cause of sea level positive and negative anomalies, depending on its onshore or offshore direction. The inverse barometer effect produces a positive anomaly at the coast near the cyclone pressure minimum and a negative anomaly at the opposite side of the Mediterranean Sea, because a cross-basin mean sea level pressure gradient is associated to the presence of a cyclone. Further, at some stations, negative sea level anomalies are reinforced by a residual water mass redistribution within the basin, which is associated with a transient response to the atmospheric pressure forcing. Though the link between presence of a cyclone in the Mediterranean has comparable importance for positive and negative anomalies, the relation between cyclone position and intensity is stronger for the magnitude of positive events. Area of cyclogenesis, track of the central minimum and position at the time of the event differ depending on the location where the sea level anomaly occurs and on its sign. The western Mediterranean is the main cyclogenesis area for both positive and negative anomalies, overall. Atlantic cyclones mainly produce positive sea level anomalies in the western basin. At the easternmost stations, positive anomalies are caused by Cyclogenesis in the Eastern Mediterranean. North Africa cyclogeneses are a major source of positive anomalies at the central African coast and negative anomalies at the eastern Mediterranean and North Aegean coast.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (7) ◽  
pp. 1541-1564 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piero Lionello ◽  
Dario Conte ◽  
Marco Reale

Abstract. Large positive and negative sea level anomalies on the coast of the Mediterranean Sea are linked to intensity and position of cyclones moving along the Mediterranean storm track with dynamics involving different factors. This analysis is based on a model hindcast and considers nine coastal stations, which are representative of sea level anomalies with different magnitudes and characteristics. When a shallow water fetch is present, the wind around the cyclone centre is the main cause of positive and negative sea level anomalies, depending on its onshore or offshore direction. The inverse barometer effect produces a positive anomaly on the coast near the cyclone pressure minimum and a negative anomaly at the opposite side of the Mediterranean Sea. The latter is caused by the cross-basin mean sea level pressure gradient that is associated with the presence of a cyclone. This often coincides with the presence of an anticyclone above the station, which causes a local negative inverse barometer effect. Further, at some stations, negative sea level anomalies are reinforced by a residual water mass redistribution within the basin, which is associated with a transient response to the atmospheric pressure forcing. Though the link with the presence of a cyclone in the Mediterranean has comparable importance for positive and negative anomalies, the relation between cyclone position and intensity is stronger for the magnitude of positive events. The area of cyclogenesis, track of the central minimum and position at the time of the event differ depending on the location the sea level anomaly occurs and on its sign. The western Mediterranean is the main cyclogenesis area for both positive and negative anomalies overall. Atlantic cyclones mainly produce positive sea level anomalies in the western basin. At the easternmost stations, positive anomalies are caused by cyclogenesis in the eastern Mediterranean. North African cyclogenesis is a major source of positive anomalies on the central African coast and negative anomalies on the eastern Mediterranean and northern Aegean coasts.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Kontakiotis ◽  
Geanina Butiseaca ◽  
Assimina Antonarakou ◽  
Vasileios Karakitsios ◽  
Stergios D. Zarkogiannis ◽  
...  

<p>During the Late Miocene the Mediterranean Sea experienced severe disruption of its connectivity to the Atlantic Ocean, highlighted by a rapid sea-level drop, culminating to the Messinian Salinity Crisis (MSC; 5.97-5.33 Ma). Such a paleoceanographic change, triggered by the cumulative effect of climate and tectonics, caused high-amplitude fluctuations in the hydrology of the entire basin, and further influenced the geological history of the Mediterranean Sea. Although a consistent pattern of the paleoclimate has started to emerge, we currently lack a continuous sea surface salinity (SSS) record linking the timing of sea surface temperature (SST) variations, sea-level fluctuations, and the overall environmental change, particularly for the pre-evaporitic period. Initial viewpoints of a linear and gradual salinity increase prior to the onset of the MSC have been recently revised and replaced by highly variable salinity-related patterns representative of the stepwise restriction of the Mediterranean Sea. Here we use the combined Tetra Ether (TEX<sub>86</sub>-) and/or alkenone unsaturation ratio (U<sup>K′</sup><sub>37</sub>) based SSTs and oxygen isotopes (δ<sup>18</sup>O) from the cyclic marl-sapropel sedimentary succession of Agios Myron section (north-central Crete, Greece) to assess hydroclimate changes during that time, and we finally present the first record of SSS in the eastern Mediterranean Sea for the earliest Messinian (7.2–6.5 Ma). The relatively stable marine conditions after the Tortonian/Messinian boundary, expressed through a cool and fresh upper water column, significantly changed at ∼6.9 Ma, when an important reversal in the heart of the Messinian cooling trend supplemented by a coherent hypersaline water column took place. The observed SST and SSS patterns provide context for a two-fold evolution of this event (centered at 6.9–6.8 and 6.72 Ma), which finally led to the onset of a brine pool into the eastern Mediterranean basin. The transitional character of the following time interval (6.7–6.5 Ma) marks another important step in the basin restriction with a wider range of salinity fluctuations from highly saline to diluted conditions and enhanced water column stratification prior to the deposition of evaporites. Overall, this evolution supports the concept of a stepwise restriction of the Mediterranean Sea associated with substantial hydroclimate variability and increasing environmental (thermal and salinity) stress, and further confirms its position as a preferred laboratory for developing new conceptual models in paleoceanography, allowing the investigation and scale assessment of a phenomenon with high chances of representing a future analogue scenario.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milena Menna ◽  
Giulio Notarstefano ◽  
Elena Mauri ◽  
Miroslav Gačić ◽  
Giuseppe Civitarese ◽  
...  

<p>The Mediterranean Sea is considered a hot spot of the global warming since it is changing faster than the global ocean, with a strong impact on the marine environment. Recent studies agree on the increase of the sea level, of the Sea Surface Temperature (SST), and of the Sea Surface Salinity (SSS) in the Mediterranean Sea over the last two decade, but no one has yet come to interconnect these and other parameters that contribute to the regulatory effect of the sea on the climate.</p><p>In this study, interannual variability and decadal climatic trends in the upper-layer of the Mediterranean Sea are estimated in the last 26 years using in-situ data (Argo float), satellite (altimetry, SST, wind vorticity, freshwater fluxes, mixed layer depth) and model (SSS) products.</p><p>Spatio-temporal variability is studied performing the Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis on the gridded, monthly, de-seasonalized maps of all satellite and model data. The contribution of the western, central and eastern regions of the Mediterranean Sea to the total trends is assessed. SSS distribution and trends derived from model reanalysis are compared with those derived from Argo float data in the upper layer.</p><p>Possible relationships between the trends in different datasets are delineated and described, i.e. the connection between the sea level rise and the SST, between the freshwater fluxes and the SSS, between the SSS and the ocean dynamics, including Ekman and geostrophic transports as well as vertical entrainment.</p>


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 338-358 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ichiro Fukumori ◽  
Dimitris Menemenlis ◽  
Tong Lee

Abstract A new basin-wide oscillation of the Mediterranean Sea is identified and analyzed using sea level observations from the Ocean Topography Experiment (TOPEX)/Poseidon satellite altimeter and a numerical ocean circulation model. More than 50% of the large-scale, nontidal, and non-pressure-driven variance of sea level can be attributed to this oscillation, which is nearly uniform in phase and amplitude across the entire basin. The oscillation has periods ranging from 10 days to several years and has a magnitude as large as 10 cm. The model suggests that the fluctuations are driven by winds at the Strait of Gibraltar and its neighboring region, including the Alboran Sea and a part of the Atlantic Ocean immediately to the west of the strait. Winds in this region force a net mass flux through the Strait of Gibraltar to which the Mediterranean Sea adjusts almost uniformly across its entire basin with depth-independent pressure perturbations. The wind-driven response can be explained in part by wind setup; a near-stationary balance is established between the along-strait wind in this forcing region and the sea level difference between the Mediterranean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean. The amplitude of this basin-wide wind-driven sea level fluctuation is inversely proportional to the setup region’s depth but is insensitive to its width including that of Gibraltar Strait. The wind-driven fluctuation is coherent with atmospheric pressure over the basin and contributes to the apparent deviation of the Mediterranean Sea from an inverse barometer response.


2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 973-985 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Lamy ◽  
C. Jeanthon ◽  
M. T. Cottrell ◽  
D. L. Kirchman ◽  
F. Van Wambeke ◽  
...  

Abstract. Aerobic anoxygenic phototrophic (AAP) bacteria are photoheterotrophic prokaryotes able to use both light and organic substrates for energy production. They are widely distributed in coastal and oceanic environments and may contribute significantly to the carbon cycle in the upper ocean. To better understand questions regarding links between the ecology of these photoheterotrophic bacteria and the trophic status of water masses, we examined their horizontal and vertical distribution and the effects of nutrient additions on their growth along an oligotrophic gradient in the Mediterranean Sea. Concentrations of bacteriochlorophyll-a (BChl-a) and AAP bacterial abundance decreased from the western to the eastern basin of the Mediterranean Sea and were linked with concentrations of chlorophyll-a, nutrient and dissolved organic carbon. Inorganic nutrient and glucose additions to surface seawater samples along the oligotrophic gradient revealed that AAP bacteria were nitrogen- and carbon-limited in the ultraoligotrophic eastern basin. The intensity of the AAP bacterial growth response generally differed from that of the total bacterial growth response. BChl-a quota of AAP bacterial communities was significantly higher in the eastern basin than in the western basin, suggesting that reliance on phototrophy varied along the oligotrophic gradient and that nutrient and/or carbon limitation favors BChl-a synthesis.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valeria Vaccher ◽  
Stefano Furlani ◽  
Sara Biolchi ◽  
Chiara Boccali ◽  
Alice Busetti ◽  
...  

<p>The Mediterranean basin displays a variety of neotectonics scenarios leading to positive or negative vertical displacement, which change the vertical position of former coastlines. As a result, the best locations to evaluate former sea levels and validate sea-level models are tectonically stable areas. There are a number of coastal areas considered to be stable based on the elevation of paleo sea-level markers, the absence of historical seismicity, and by their position far from major Mediterranean faults. We report here the results of swim surveys carried out at such locations following the Geoswim approach described by Furlani (2020) in nine coastal sectors of the central Mediterranean Sea (Egadi Island - Marettimo, Favignana, Levanzo, Gaeta Promontory, Circeo Promontory, North Sardinia - Razzoli, Budelli, Santa Maria, NW Sardinia – Capocaccia, Maddalena Archipelago, Tavolara Island, East of Malta - Ahrax Point, Bugibba-Qawra, Delimara, Addura, Palermo, Ansedonia Promontory). All the sites are considered to be tectonically stable, as validated by the elevation of sea-level indicators. In fact, modern and MIS5.5 (last interglacial) m.s.l. altitudes fit well with accepted figures based upon field data and model projections. Starting from precise morphometric parameters such as the size of tidal notches and indicative landforms and biological structures, we have developed a procedure that integrates multiple geomorphological and biological descriptors applicable to the vast spectrum of locally diverse coastal situations occurring in the Mediterranean Sea. We took detailed measurements of features such as modern and MIS5.5 tidal notches at 146 sites in all the areas, the absence of modern tidal notch at Circeo promontory, shore platforms, and MIS5.5 marine terraces at Egadi islands, Malta, and Palermo. Biological structures were also measured. In particular, vermetid platforms at Egadi, Palermo and Malta. The morphometric characteristics of these indicators depend on 1) local geological and structural constraints, 2) local geomorphotypes, 3) climate, sea, and weather conditions that affect geomorphic and biological processes, and 4) the sea level change history.</p>


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