scholarly journals Glasgow Aneursym Score: A Predictor of Long-Term Mortality Following Endovascular Repair of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm?

Author(s):  
Anıl Özen ◽  
Metin Yılmaz ◽  
Görkem Yiğit ◽  
İsa Civelek ◽  
Mehmet Ali Türkçü ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To evaluate the value of Glasgow Aneurysm Score (GAS) in predicting long-term mortality and survival in patients who have undergone endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Methods A retrospective single-center study of 257 patients with non-ruptured AAA undergoing EVAR between January 2013 and 2021. GAS scores were compared between the survivors and the long term mortality groups. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to determine the optimum cut-off values of GAS values to determine the effect on late-mortality. Results 257 patients with a mean age of 69.75 ± 7.75 (46–92) underwent EVAR due to AAA. Forty-nine mortalities were observed, 4 (1.5%) were in-hospital mortalities. Fourty-five (17.8%) of the mortalities occured during the long-term follow-up. The average follow up period was 18.98 ± 22.84 months (0–88). GAS values were higher in the long-term mortality group compared to the survivors group (81.02 ± 10.33 vs 73.73 ± 10.46; p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for GAS was 0.682 and for a 56% sensitivity rate, the cut-off value for GAS was 77.5 with a specificity of 64% (p < 0.001). The number of patients with GAS values < 77.5 was 155, whilst 98 had GAS values > 77.5. The mortality rates in patients with GAS < 77.5 and GAS > 77.5 were: 12.8% (n = 20) and 24.8% (n = 25), respectively (p = 0.014). Every 1 point increase in GAS score resulted in a 1.06 fold increase in risk of late mortality (OR: 1.06, 95% CI, 1.03–1.09; p < 0.001). Moreover, every 10 point increase in GAS score resulted in almost a 2 fold increase in risk of long-term mortality (OR: 1.8, 95% CI, 1.3–2.5; p < 0.001). The mean survival rate of the patients during the follow up period was 90.6% for the 1st year, 82.6% for the 3rd year and 70.0% for the 5th year. Five year survival rates in patients with GAS < 77.5 and > 77.5 were 75.7% and 61.7%, respectively (p = 0.013). Conclusion Every 10 point increase in GAS score resulted in almost a 2 fold increase in risk of long-term mortality. Moreover, the mortality rates in patients above the GAS cut off value almost doubled compared to those below. Five year survival rates were 14% higher in those with GAS below the cut off value when compared to those above.

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anıl Özen ◽  
Metin Yılmaz ◽  
Görkem Yiğit ◽  
İsa Civelek ◽  
Mehmet Ali Türkçü ◽  
...  

Abstract Background To evaluate the value of Glasgow Aneurysm Score (GAS) in predicting long-term mortality and survival in patients who have undergone endovascular aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR) for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). Methods A retrospective single-center study of 257 patients with non-ruptured AAA undergoing EVAR between January 2013 and 2021. GAS scores were compared between the survivors (group 1) and the long-term mortality (group 2) groups. Cox regression analysis was used to determine independent predictors of late mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was used to determine the optimum cut-off values of GAS values to determine the effect on late-mortality. Survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier. Results The study included 257 patients with a mean age of 69.75 ± 7.75 (46–92), who underwent EVAR due to AAA. Average follow up period was 18.98 ± 22.84 months (0–88). Fourty-five (17.8%) mortalities occured during long-term follow-up. A past medical history of cancer resulted in a 2.5 fold increase in risk of long-term mortality (OR: 2.52, 95% CI 1.10–5.76; p = 0.029). GAS values were higher in group 2 compared to group 1 (81.02 ± 10.33 vs. 73.73 ± 10.46; p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve for GAS was 0.682 and the GAS cut-off value was 77.5 (specificity 64%, p < 0.001). The mortality rates in patients with GAS < 77.5 and GAS > 77.5 were: 12.8% and 24.8% respectively (p = 0.014). Every 10 point increase in GAS resulted in approximately a 2 fold increase in risk of long-term mortality (OR: 1.8, 95% CI 1.3–2.5; p < 0.001). Five year survival rates in patients with GAS < 77.5 and > 77.5 were 75.7% and 61.7%, respectively (p = 0.013). Conclusions The findings of our study suggests that an increase in GAS score may predict long-term mortality. In addition, the mortality rates in patients above the GAS cut-off value almost doubled compared to those below. Furthermore, the presence of a past history of cancer resulted in a 2.5 fold increase in long-term mortality risk. Addition of cancer to the GAS scoring system may be considered in future studies. Further studies are necessary to consolidate these findings.


2022 ◽  
pp. 152660282110687
Author(s):  
Hsien-Wei Tseng ◽  
Po-Ya Chang ◽  
Chin-Hao Chang ◽  
I-Hui Wu ◽  
Ron-Bin Hsu ◽  
...  

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the change in the diameter of infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) sacs after endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) in Taiwanese patients and to depict its association with clinical outcomes. Materials and Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients who underwent EVAR for infrarenal AAA between January 2011 and December 2016. All preoperative and follow-up computed tomography (CT) images were reviewed. Postoperative CT angiography was arranged after 1 month and annually thereafter. The maximal diameter on the axial plane and the maximal diameter perpendicular to the centerline on the coronal and sagittal planes were measured. The study examined post-EVAR sac diameter change over time and compared the differences in adverse events (AEs) among groups. Results: The survey included a total of 191 patients with a median follow-up duration of 2.5 (interquartile range: 1.1–2.9) years. Overall survival rates at 1, 2, and 5 years were 92%, 81%, and 76%, respectively. According to their last CT scans, the patients were categorized into 3 groups as follows: shrinkage, stationary, and enlargement, which comprised 58 (30.4%), 118 (61.8%), and 15 (7.9%) patients, respectively. Pre-EVAR characteristics and sac diameters were similar among the groups. Sac shrinkage was exclusively observed in the first 2 years, whereas sac enlargement developed at all follow-up periods. Patients with sac enlargement had higher incidence rates of endoleaks, complications, and reintervention than the other groups. Conclusion: Based on our observations, post-EVAR sac shrinkage only occurs in the first 2 years; however, post-EVAR sacs may enlarge at any point and even after 5 years. In our study, patients with sac enlargement had higher rates of adverse events and reintervention.


Angiology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (7) ◽  
pp. 641-649
Author(s):  
Rebecka Hultgren ◽  
K. Miriam Elfström ◽  
Daniel Öhman ◽  
Anneli Linné

A screening program for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), inviting 65-year-old men, was started in Stockholm in 2010 (2.3 million inhabitants). The aim was to present a long-term follow-up of men participating in screening, as well as AAA repair and ruptures among nonparticipants. Demographics were collected for men with screening detected with AAA 2010 to 2016 (n = 672) and a control group with normal aortas at screening (controls, n = 237). Medical charts and regional Swedvasc (Swedish Vascular registry) data were analyzed for aortic repair for men born 1945 to 1951. Ultrasound maximum aortic diameter (AD) as well as Aortic Size Index (ASI) was recorded. Participation was 78% and prevalence of AAA was 1.2% (n = 672). Aortic repair rates correlated with high ASI and AD. During the study period, 22% of the AAA patients were treated with the elective repair; 35 men in surveillance died (5.2%), non-AAA-related causes (82.9%) dominated, followed by unknown causes among 4 (11.4%), and 2 (5.7%) possibly AAA-related deaths. Abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture rate was higher among nonparticipants (0.096% vs 0.0036%, P < .001). The low dropout rate confirms acceptability of follow-up after screening. The efficacy is shown by the much higher rupture rate among the nonparticipating men.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. e1921240 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niveditta Ramkumar ◽  
Bjoern D. Suckow ◽  
Shipra Arya ◽  
Art Sedrakyan ◽  
Todd A. Mackenzie ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L Kalinczuk ◽  
Z Chmielak ◽  
K Zielinski ◽  
G S Mintz ◽  
M Dabrowski ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Posterior location of a paravalvular leak (PVL) affects left ventricle fluid dynamics in a more unfavorable way than leaks of the other locations. Purpose To assess impact of the PVL location and its grade on subsequent long term mortality after successful TAVR. Methods Out of 445 consecutive patients treated between 8/2009 and 10/2017 within the single-center, prospective TAVR Registry, there were 432 pts [median 83.0 years of age, 63.4% female] with device success (97.1%) as per VARC-2. Post-procedural TTE studies done within 7 days post-TAVR were analyzed for PVL location (anterior vs posterior vs medial vs lateral) and grade (none/trace/mild vs moderate). Long-term mortality was assessed. Results Median follow-up was 29.3 (15.8–53.1) months with 1-year follow-up in all pts. The 30-day and 1-year mortality rates were 3.0% (n=13) and 13.4% (n=58) with an estimated 4-year mortality of 35.5%. Moderate PVL was reported in 28.5% (n=123) of pts, with 12.0% (n=52) having multiple locations (>1 PVL). Among moderate PVLs (n=184), most were of anterior (33.2%), 29.3% were posterior, 25.2% were lateral, and the least common location was medial (12.0%). Whereas moderate PVL alone was not associated with worse long-term outcome, the 1-year mortality rates tended to be higher for pts with PVL found at multiple or posterior locations (19.2% vs 12.6% among the rest of the subjects, p=0.20, and 18.5% vs 12.7%, p=0.28, respectively). The KM curves suggest mid-term clinical importance of multiple or posterior PVLs (Fig 1A and 1B). Figure 1 Conclusions Moderate PVL found in multiple locations or recognized in the posterior location tend to be associated with worse midterm (1–2 years) prognosis after successful TAVR.


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