scholarly journals Correlation Dimension and Seismic Quiescence around Northern Sumatra 

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wahyu Triyoso ◽  
Sigit Sukmono
Keyword(s):  
Strain Energy ◽  
Correlation Dimension ◽  
Stress Transfer ◽  
Large Earthquake ◽  
B Value ◽  
Earthquake Precursors ◽  
Seismic Quiescence ◽  
Shallow Earthquake ◽  
Seismic Gaps ◽  
The Difference

Abstract The implementation of the correlation dimension (Dc) analysis is often used to measure the scaling attribute's possible size or grouping of seismotectonic variables. Related to seismicity in certain areas, Dc can suggest the existence of potential seismic gaps to release strain energy in the future. It can be identified that the presence of earthquake precursors can be characterized by changing the pattern of seismicity in space-time correlate strongly with the existence of zones and periods of seismic quiescence before major earthquake events. In this study, the Dc and the difference of Dc (δDc) are evaluated based on previous studies in which Dc is estimated based on the b-value of shallow earthquake data, and δDc is calculated based on the two periods before and during Region Time Length. We found the consistency that the areas filled by large earthquake events are in the zone with relatively high Dc and δDc. Dc tends to have a strong correlation to suggesting the existence of potential seismic gaps to release strain energy. δDc could be correlated with the possible stress transfer that may trigger the next sequence large earthquake.

Seismic quiescence, stress drops, and asperities in the New Hebrides arc

1983 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
pp. 219-236
Author(s):  
M. Wyss ◽  
R. E. Habermann ◽  
Ch. Heiniger
Keyword(s):  
High Stress ◽  
Plate Boundary ◽  
Seismic Quiescence ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Seismicity Rate ◽  
Seismic Gaps ◽  
Main Shocks ◽  
Seismicity Rates ◽  
New Hebrides ◽  
Stress Drops

abstract The rate of occurrence of earthquakes shallower than 100 km during the years 1963 to 1980 was studied as a function of time and space along the New Hebrides island arc. Systematic examination of the seismicity rates for different magnitude bands showed that events with mb < 4.8 were not reported consistently over time. The seismicity rate as defined by mb ≧ 4.8 events was examined quantitatively and systematically in the source volumes of three recent main shocks and within two seismic gaps. A clear case of seismic quiescence could be shown to have existed before one of the large main shocks if a major asperity was excluded from the volume studied. The 1980 Ms = 8 rupture in the northern New Hebrides was preceded by a pattern of 9 to 12 yr of quiescence followed by 5 yr of normal rate. This pattern does not conform to the hypothesis that quiescence lasts up to the mainshock which it precedes. The 1980 rupture also did not fully conform to the gap hypothesis: half of its aftershock area covered part of a great rupture which occurred in 1966. A major asperity seemed to play a critical role in the 1966 and 1980 great ruptures: it stopped the 1966 rupture, and both parts of the 1980 double rupture initiated from it. In addition, this major asperity made itself known by a seismicity rate and stress drops higher than in the surrounding areas. Stress drops of 272 earthquakes were estimated by the MS/mb method. Time dependence of stress drops could not be studied because of changes in the world data set of Ms and mb values. Areas of high stress drops did not correlate in general with areas of high seismicity rate. Instead, outstandingly high average stress drops were observed in two plate boundary segments with average seismicity rate where ocean floor ridges are being subducted. The seismic gaps of the central and northern New Hebrides each contain seismically quiet regions. In the central New Hebrides, the 50 to 100 km of the plate boundary near 18.5°S showed an extremely low seismicity rate during the entire observation period. Low seismicity could be a permanent property of this location. In the northern New Hebrides gap, seismic quiescence started in mid-1972, except in a central volume where high stress drops are observed. This volume is interpreted as an asperity, and the quiescence may be interpreted as part of the preparation process to a future large main shock near 13.5°S.

The Elastostatic Axisymmetric Problem of a Cracked Sphere Embedded in a Dissimilar Matrix

1980 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 545-550 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Kant ◽  
D. B. Bogy
Keyword(s):  
Elastic Strain ◽  
Strain Energy ◽  
Elastic Strain Energy ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
Infinite Medium ◽  
Applied Mechanics ◽  
Axisymmetric Solution ◽  
Material Parameters ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Elastostatic Problem

The axisymmetric elastostatic problem of a cracked sphere embedded in a dissimilar matrix is solved by using the solution for a spherical cavity in an infinite medium together with the axisymmetric solution for a cracked sphere given in the companion paper in this issue of the Journal of Applied Mechanics, Pages 538-544. Numerical results are presented for (a) interface stress for various composites (b) dependence of the stress-intensity factor on the material parameters and ratios of crack to sphere radii, (c) the difference in the elastic strain energy for a cracked and uncracked composite.

A Retrospective Analysis of b-Value Changes Preceding Strong Earthquakes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas D. DeSalvio ◽  
Maxwell L. Rudolph
Keyword(s):  
B Value ◽  
Earthquake Precursors ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Traffic Light ◽  
Magnitude Distribution ◽  
Parameter Combination ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Value Changes ◽  
Frequency Magnitude Distribution ◽  
Optimal Set

Abstract Earthquake precursors have long been sought as a means to predict earthquakes with very limited success. Recently, it has been suggested that a decrease in the Gutenberg–Richter b-value after a magnitude 6 earthquake is predictive of an imminent mainshock of larger magnitude, and a three-level traffic-light system has been proposed. However, this method is dependent on parameters that must be chosen by an expert. We systematically explore the parameter space to find an optimal set of parameters based on the Matthews correlation coefficient. For each parameter combination, we analyze the temporal changes in the frequency–magnitude distribution for every M ≥ 6 earthquake sequence in the U.S. Geological Survey Comprehensive Earthquake Catalog for western North America. We then consider smaller events, those with a foreshock magnitude as small as 5, and repeat the analysis to assess its performance for events that modify stresses over smaller spatial regions. We analyze 25 M ≥ 6 events and 88 M 5–6 events. We find that no perfect parameter combination exists. Although the method generates correct retrodictions for some M 5 events, the predictions are dependent on the retrospectively selected parameters. About 80%–95% of magnitude 5–6 events have too little data to generate a result. Predictions are time dependent and have large uncertainties. Without a precise definition of precursory b-value changes, this and similar prediction schemes are incompatible with the IASPEI criteria for evaluating earthquake precursors. If limitations on measuring precursory changes in seismicity and relating them to the state of stress in the crust can be overcome, real-time forecasting of mainshocks could reduce the loss of lives.

Seismicity associated with 2018 and 2020 hydraulic stimulations at EGS in Helsinki, Finland, shows limited earthquake interaction: Implication for seismic hazard assessment

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grzegorz Kwiatek ◽  
Maria Leonhardt ◽  
Patricia Martínez-Garzón ◽  
Matti Pentti ◽  
Marco Bohnhoff ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Hazard ◽  
Hazard Assessment ◽  
Energy Input ◽  
Stress Transfer ◽  
Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
B Value ◽  
Temporal Distance ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment ◽  
Interevent Time ◽  
Spatio Temporal

<p>In this study we investigate the statistical spatio-temporal characteristics induced seismicity associated with two stimulation campaigns performed in 2018 and 2020 in a 6.1 km deep geothermal well near Helsinki, Finland as part of the St1 Deep Heat project. We aim to find out whether the seismic activity is passively responding to injection operations, or whether we observe signatures of significant stress transfer and strong interactions between events. The former suggests stable relaxation of seismic energy proportional to hydraulic energy input, while the latter includes stress transfer as an additional source of stress perturbation, hence implying larger seismic hazard.</p><p>The selected catalogs from 2018 and 2020 stimulation contained in total 60,814 and 4,368 seismic events, respectively, recorded during and after stimulation campaigns and above the local magnitude of M -1.5. The analyzed parameters include magnitude-frequency b-value, correlation integral (c-value), fractal dimension (D-value), interevent time statistics, magnitude correlation, interevent time ratio and generalized spatio-temporal distance between earthquakes. The initial observations suggest significant time-invariance of the magnitude-frequency b-value, and increased D and c-values only at high injection rates, the latter also guiding the rate of seismicity. The seismicity covering the stimulation period neither provide signatures of magnitude correlations, nor temporal clustering or anticlustering. The interevent time statistics are generally characterized with Gamma distribution (close to Poissonian distribution), and the generalized spatio-temporal distance suggest very limited triggering (90% of the catalog was classified as background seismicity). The observable parameters suggest the seismicity passively respond to hydraulic energy input rate with little to no time delay, and the total seismic moment is proportional to total hydraulic energy input. The performed study provides the base for implementation of time-dependent probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for the site.</p>

Focal depths and source parameters of the Rocky Mountain House earthquake swarm from digital data at Edmonton

1984 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 1105-1113 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. J. Rebollar ◽  
E. R. Kanasewich ◽  
E. Nyland
Keyword(s):  
Epicentral Distance ◽  
Source Parameters ◽  
Earthquake Swarm ◽  
Focal Depth ◽  
Rocky Mountain ◽  
Small Variation ◽  
B Value ◽  
Digital Data ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Stress Drops

Seismic records at Edmonton (EDM) and Suffield (SES) between January 1976 and February 1980 show 220 events with magnitudes less than 4 originating near Rocky Mountain House. Many of these events show well defined Sn, Sg, and Pg phases and a small variation in the difference of Sg − Sn and Sg − Pg. Analysis of the theoretical travel times using a structure determined for central Alberta yields an average focal depth of 20 ± 5 km and an average epicentral distance of 175 ± 5 km southwest of Edmonton for 40 of these events. Because Sn was not clear on the remainder, it was not possible to get focal depths for all the events.Seismic moments of 80 events with local magnitudes from 1.6 to 3.5 were found to be in the range of 6.6 ± 2 × 1018 to 7.9 ± 2 × 1020 dyn∙cm (6.6 ± 2 × 1013 to 7.9 ± 2 × 1015 N∙cm). A relationship between local magnitude and seismic moment was log (M0) = 1.3ML + 16.6. This is similar to that determined for California. Source radii, where they could be determined, were 500 ± 50 m and stress drops were 0.75 ± 0.75 bar (75 ± 75 kPa).The energy release of 263 events recorded at EDM from the Rocky Mountain House area was 5.6 × 1017 erg (5.6 × 1010 J). The b value for this earthquake swarm was 0.8, similar to that observed in other parts of western Canada.The depths of focus, the low stress drops, and the statistical similarity to other natural earthquake sequences suggest that at least part of the swarm is of a natural origin.

Filament Fragmentation Phenomena

1989 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan C. Figueroa ◽  
Linda S. Schadler ◽  
Campbell Laird
Keyword(s):  
Strain Energy ◽  
Stress Transfer ◽  
Fiber Surface ◽  
Yield Information ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
Two Parameters ◽  
The Relationship

AbstractThe effect of fiber surface treatments on the relationship between the tensile strength of a filament and the shear strength of its interphase is one of the central issues facing composite materials technologists today. We demonstrate here that analysis of fragmentation phenomena in monofilament composites can simultaneously yield information about these two parameters. Characterization of shear stress transfer zones in non-critical fragments has led us to the determination of interphase strength.A phenomenological treatment that highlights the role of the matrix in the fragmentation process is presented here. This analysis considers issues such as the strain energy exchange between a failing fiber and the matrix, as well as interphase relaxation due to the viscoelastic nature of the matrix. Our observations of the fragmentation phenomena in AU4/polycarbonate monofilament composites indicate that the fiber/matrix interaction in this system is governed by micromechanical locking.

scholarly journals Significance of fractal correlation dimension and seismic b-value variation due to 15th July 2009, New Zealand earthquake of Mw 7.8

2019 ◽  
Vol 62 (Vol 62 (2019)) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saroj Mondal ◽  
Paresh SinghaRoy ◽  
Joshi Catherine ◽  
Auchitya Pandey
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Correlation Dimension ◽  
B Value ◽  
Fractal Correlation Dimension
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