La Curva De Rendimientos a Plazo Y Las Expectativas De Tasas De Interes En El Mercado De Renta Fija En Colombia 2002-2007 (Long Run Yield Curve and Fixed-Income Market Expected Interest Rates in Colombia 2002-2007)

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diego Agudelo ◽  
MMnica Andrea Arango Arango
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Long Run

Determinants of Treasury-LIBOR Swap Spreads

2005 ◽  
Vol 08 (04) ◽  
pp. 687-705 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. K. Malhotra ◽  
Vivek Bhargava ◽  
Mukesh Chaudhry
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Swap Spreads

Using data from the Treasury versus London Interbank Offer Swap Rates (LIBOR) for October 1987 to June 1998, this paper examines the determinants of swap spreads in the Treasury-LIBOR interest rate swap market. This study hypothesizes Treasury-LIBOR swap spreads as a function of the Treasury rate of comparable maturity, the slope of the yield curve, the volatility of short-term interest rates, a proxy for default risk, and liquidity in the swap market. The study finds that, in the long-run, swap spreads are negatively related to the yield curve slope and liquidity in the swap market. We also find that swap spreads are positively related to the short-term interest rate volatility. In the short-run, swap market's response to higher default risk seems to be higher spread between the bid and offer rates.

United States Treasury Securities

2019 ◽  
pp. 121-138
Author(s):  
Alan N. Rechtschaffen
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Federal Government ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Fixed Income Securities ◽  
United States Treasury ◽  
Treasury Bills ◽  
Treasury Securities ◽  
Treasury Department ◽  
The U.S

This chapter begins with a discussion of the purpose and goals of treasury securities. Treasury securities are a type of debt instrument providing limited credit risk. U.S. Treasury bills, notes, and bonds are issued by the Treasury Department and represent direct obligations of the U.S. government. Treasury securities are used to meet the needs of investors who wish to “loan” money to the federal government and in return receive a fixed or floating interest rate. The Treasury yield curve is a benchmark for fixed income securities across the spectrum of debt securities. The remainder of the chapter covers types of treasury securities, pricing, bond auctions and their effect on price, interest rates, and STRIPS (separate trading of registered interest and principal securities).

Why bond market couldn’t thrive in Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Seema Rehman ◽  
Jameel Ahmed Khilji
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Fixed Income Securities ◽  
Secondary Markets ◽  
Sovereign Bonds ◽  
Initial Stage ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
To Come

Fixed income market has recently emerged in Pakistan. Onward 1990, prolusion of government securities paved a way for corporates to come forward with their debt papers and long term yield curve came in to existence by introducing FIB’s in 1992 followed by issuance of first Term Finance Certificates (TFC) in 1995. The TFCs’ coupon rate exhibits a wide range of different fixed and floating coupons related to numerous interest rates containing the discount rate, the Karachi Inter-bank Offer Rate (KIBOR) and Pakistan Investment Bond (PIB) rates. The SBP launched electronic trading platform for fixed income securities on 11th January, 2010 with the intention of improving the functioning and profundity of primary and secondary markets of sovereign bonds. The data available reveals that through this platform, the cumulative trading of sovereign securities touched 66% of the overall trading volume till the end of 2010 relative to 58.0% in January, 2010. In its initial stage, the E-bond platform provided the complete trading of sovereign bonds like T-bills, PIBs and Ijarah Sukuk. The other type of fixed income securities like repo, FRAs and swaps facilitated in subsequent phases.

scholarly journals Interest Rates under Falling Stars

2020 ◽  
Vol 110 (5) ◽  
pp. 1316-1354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael D. Bauer ◽  
Glenn D. Rudebusch
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Term Premium ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Bond Returns ◽  
Out Of Sample ◽  
Finance Theory ◽  
Macro Finance

Macro-finance theory implies that trend inflation and the equilibrium real interest rate are fundamental determinants of the yield curve. However, empirical models of the term structure of interest rates generally assume that these fundamentals are constant. We show that accounting for time variation in these underlying long-run trends is crucial for understanding the dynamics of Treasury yields and predicting excess bond returns. We introduce a new arbitrage-free model that captures the key role that long-run trends play in determining interest rates. The model also provides new, more plausible estimates of the term premium and accurate out-of-sample yield forecasts. (JEL E31, E43, E47)

DOES CURVATURE ENHANCE FORECASTING?

2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (08) ◽  
pp. 1171-1196 ◽  
Author(s):  
CAIO ALMEIDA ◽  
ROMEU GOMES ◽  
ANDRÉ LEITE ◽  
AXEL SIMONSEN ◽  
JOSÉ VICENTE
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Curvature Term ◽  
Income Data ◽  
Mean Square Errors ◽  
Three Factor

In this paper, we analyze the importance of curvature term structure movements on forecasts of interest rates. An extension of the exponential three-factor Diebold and Li (2006) model is proposed, where a fourth factor captures a second type of curvature. The new factor increases model ability to generate volatility and to capture nonlinearities in the yield curve, leading to a significant improvement of forecasting ability. The model is tested against the original Diebold and Li model and some other benchmarks. Based on a forecasting experiment with Brazilian fixed income data, it obtains significantly lower bias and root mean square errors for most examined maturities, and under three different forecasting horizons. Robustness tests based on two sub-sample analyses partially confirm the favorable results.

scholarly journals Modelando a Estrutura a Termo da Taxa de Juros: Dinâmica e Avaliação de Contratos Derivativos

2005 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Cícero Augusto Vieira Neto ◽  
Pedro L. Valls Pereira
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Stochastic Calculus ◽  
Fixed Income ◽  
Bond Price ◽  
Operational Strategies ◽  
Multifactorial Model

This article deals with a model for the term structure of interest rates and the valuation of derivative contracts directly dependent on it. The work is of a theoretical nature and deals, exclusively, with continuous time models, making ample use of stochastic calculus results and presents original contributions that we consider relevant to the development of the fixed income market modeling. We develop a new multifactorial model of the term structure of interest rates. The model is based on the decomposition of the yield curve into the factors level, slope, curvature, and the treatment of their collective dynamics. We show that this model may be applied to serve various objectives: analysis of bond price dynamics, valuation of derivative contracts and also market risk management and formulation of operational strategies which is presented in another article.

scholarly journals Mobile Money Use: The Impact of Macroeconomic Policy and Regulation

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Lorna Katusiime
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Innovation ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
Mobile Money ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Distributed Lag Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the effects of macroeconomic policy and regulatory environment on mobile money usage. Specifically, we develop an autoregressive distributed lag model to investigate the effect of key macroeconomic variables and mobile money tax on mobile money usage in Uganda. Using monthly data spanning the period March 2009 to September 2020, we find that in the short run, mobile money usage is positively affected by inflation while financial innovation, exchange rate, interest rates and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage in Uganda. In the long run, mobile money usage is positively affected by economic activity, inflation and the COVID-19 pandemic crisis while mobile money customer balances, interest rate, exchange rate, financial innovation and mobile money tax negatively affect mobile money usage.

scholarly journals Was the Gibson Paradox for real? A Wicksellian study of the relationship between interest rates and prices

2014 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jagjit S. Chadha ◽  
Morris Perlman
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Formal Model ◽  
Natural Rate ◽  
Market Rate ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Gibson Paradox ◽  
The Relationship

We examine the relationship between prices and interest rates for seven advanced economies in the period up to 1913, emphasising the UK. There is a significant long-run positive relationship between prices and interest rates for the core commodity standard countries. Keynes ([1930] 1971) labelled this positive relationship the ‘Gibson Paradox’. A number of theories have been put forward as possible explanations of the paradox but they do not fit the long-run pattern of the relationship. We find that a formal model in the spirit of Wicksell (1907) and Keynes ([1930] 1971) offers an explanation for the paradox: where the need to stabilise the banking sector's reserve ratio, in the presence of an uncertain ‘natural’ rate, can lead to persistent deviations of the market rate of interest from its ‘natural’ level and consequently long-run swings in the price level.

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