Destabilizing Stability? Exchange Rate Arrangements and Foreign Currency Debt

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Balazs Csonto
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Foreign Currency Debt

scholarly journals Destabilizing Stability? Exchange Rate Arrangements and Foreign Currency Debt

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (173) ◽  
Author(s):  
Balazs Csonto ◽  
Tryggvi Gudmundsson
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Risk Taking ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Exchange Rate Flexibility ◽  
Macroprudential Policies ◽  
Increase Risk ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Stability Issues ◽  
Foreign Currency Debt

Emerging markets (EMs) often respond to shocks by intervening in foreign exchange (FX) markets and thus preventing full exchange rate adjustment. This response can serve to dampen the effect of shocks and increase monetary policy space but may also incentivize economic participants to increase risk taking and take on more FX debt. This paper empirically analyzes the role of exchange rate flexibility in affecting such risk taking, by using rolling correlations and difference-in-difference estimations. The results suggest that a shift towards greater exchange rate flexibility often coincides with a decline in external FX debt. The findings also highlight the importance of using complementary policies to deal with financial stability issues related to the exchange rate, such as FX-specific macroprudential policies and policies aimed at promoting financial development.

Real Exchange Rate Overvaluation and WTO Dispute Initiation in Developing Countries

2016 ◽  
Vol 70 (4) ◽  
pp. 797-821 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timm Betz ◽  
Andrew Kerner
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Trade Policy ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Trade Disputes ◽  
Trade Dispute ◽  
Competitive Disadvantage ◽  
Dispute Initiation ◽  
Foreign Currency Debt

AbstractWhy and when do developing countries file trade disputes at the World Trade Organization (WTO)? Although financial conditions have long been considered an important driver of trade policy, they have been largely absent from the literature on trade disputes. We argue that developing country governments bring more trade dispute to the WTO when overvalued real exchange rates put exporters at a competitive disadvantage. This dynamic is most prevalent in countries where large foreign currency debt burdens discourage nominal currency devaluations that would otherwise serve exporters’ interests. Our findings provide an explanation for differences in dispute participation rates among developing countries, and also suggest a new link between exchange rate regimes and trade policy.

scholarly journals The Predominance of Balance Sheet Effect versus Competitiveness Effect of Exchange Rate on Brazilian Companies

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 107
Author(s):  
Maria Paula Vieira Cicogna ◽  
Rudinei Toneto Jr ◽  
Mauricio Ribeiro do Valle ◽  
Wilson Tarantin Junior
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
International Market ◽  
Descriptive Statistics ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Econometric Tests ◽  
Foreign Currency Debt ◽  
Exchange Rate Depreciation

The present research argues that the depreciation of the exchange rate has a negative effect on the balance sheet of Brazilian companies with debt in foreign currency. This effect is mainly on commodity exporters, since it is the class of companies with the highest indebtedness in the international market, as showed by the results. At the same time, companies with foreign currency debt showed a reduction in their investments in moments of depreciation of the exchange rate, which indicates the predominance of the balance sheet effect. The conclusions of the study were obtained through descriptive statistics and econometric tests (panel data) to analyze the effect of foreign currency debt and the exchange rate on investment rate. It was verified that the balance sheet effect generated by the exchange rate depreciation is predominant when compared to the competitiveness effect from 2003 to 2015.

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (283) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilhyock Shim ◽  
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan ◽  
Xiaoxi Liu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Balance Sheets ◽  
Net Worth ◽  
Exchange Rate Fluctuations ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Firm Leverage ◽  
Foreign Currency Debt

We quantify the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on firm leverage. When home currency appreciates, firms who hold foreign currency debt and local currency assets observe higher net worth as appreciation lowers the value of their foreign currency debt. These firms can borrow more as a result and increase their leverage. When home currency depreciates, the reverse happens as firms have to de-lever with a negative shock to their balance sheets. Using firm-level data for leverage from 10 emerging market economies during the period from 2002 to 2015, we show that firms operating in countries whose non-financial sectors hold more of the debt in foreign currency, increase (decrease) their leverage relatively more after home currency appreciations (depreciations). Combining the leverage data with firm-level FX debt data for 4 emerging market countries, we further show that our results hold at the most granular level. Our quantitative results are asymmetric: the effects of depre-ciations, that are generally associated with sudden stops, are quantitatively larger than those of appreciations, which take place at a slower pace over time during capital inflow episodes. As our exercise compares depreciations and appreciations of similar size, these results are suggestive of financial frictions being more binding during depreciations than a possible relaxation of such frictions during appreciations.

Foreign-currency debt and the exchange rate pass-through

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (8) ◽  
pp. 657-666 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salih Fendoğlu ◽  
Mehmet Selman Çolak ◽  
Yavuz Selim Hacıhasanoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
Exchange Rate Pass Through ◽  
Foreign Currency Debt

Fear of Free Floating or Forced Exchange Rate Fixing

2004 ◽  
pp. 112-122
Author(s):  
O. Osipova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Float Exchange Rate ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Pass Through

After the financial crisis at the end of the 1990 s many countries rejected fixed exchange rate policy. However actually they failed to proceed to announced "independent float" exchange rate arrangement. This might be due to the "fear of floating" or an irreversible result of inflation targeting central bank policy. In the article advantages and drawbacks of fixed and floating exchange rate arrangements are systematized. Features of new returning to exchange rates stabilization and possible risks of such policy for Russia are considered. Special attention is paid to the issue of choice of a "target" currency composite which can minimize external inflation pass-through.

Features of payments in foreign currency in budgetary institutions

2020 ◽  
pp. 19-28
Author(s):  
Larisa Gerasimova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Fair Value ◽  
Budgetary Institutions ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Monetary Assets ◽  
Made In

The article discusses the procedure for accounting for objects in a foreign currency. It is shown that foreign currency assets, liabilities, and other items are recorded simultaneously in foreign currency and in rubles. Analyzed the accounting treatment of exchange rate differences, it is shown that their records depend on the period. Examples of currency monetary and non-monetary accounting items and the specifics of their reflection in accounting transactions are given. Monetary assets and liabilities are recorded at the exchange rate at the date of recognition. The option of recognition at the reporting date is possible. Non-monetary assets and liabilities are recognized at the date of recognition and are no longer restated. An example of accounting for non-monetary assets accepted by an institution at fair value as an exception to their rules is given. The article reflects that the revaluation of such assets at the new exchange rate is made in cases when the fair value of the object changes. It shows the mechanisms for accounting for the return of advances in foreign currency and options when such debt is recalculated or not recalculated after being accepted for accounting.

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