scholarly journals Improving groundwater level forecasting with a feedforward neural network and linearly regressed projected precipitation

2008 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 317-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ioannis K. Tsanis ◽  
Paulin Coulibaly ◽  
Ioannis N. Daliakopoulos

A module that uses neural networks was developed for forecasting the groundwater changes in an aquifer. A modified standard Feedforward Neural Network (FNN), trained with the Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithm with five input variables (precipitation, temperature, runoff, groundwater level and specific yield) with a deterministic component, is used. The deterministic component links precipitation with the seasonal recharge of the aquifer and projects the seasonal average precipitations. A new algorithm is applied to forecast the groundwater level changes in Messara Valley, Crete, Greece, where groundwater level has been steadily decreasing due to overexploitation during the last 20 years. Results from the new algorithm show that the introduction of specific yield improved the groundwater level forecasting marginally but the linearly projected precipitation component drastically increased the window of forecasting up to 30 months, equivalent to five biannual time-steps.

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (17) ◽  
pp. 2176
Author(s):  
Zhiqi Yan ◽  
Shisheng Zhong ◽  
Lin Lin ◽  
Zhiquan Cui

Engineering data are often highly nonlinear and contain high-frequency noise, so the Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithm may not converge when a neural network optimized by the algorithm is trained with engineering data. In this work, we analyzed the reasons for the LM neural network’s poor convergence commonly associated with the LM algorithm. Specifically, the effects of different activation functions such as Sigmoid, Tanh, Rectified Linear Unit (RELU) and Parametric Rectified Linear Unit (PRLU) were evaluated on the general performance of LM neural networks, and special values of LM neural network parameters were found that could make the LM algorithm converge poorly. We proposed an adaptive LM (AdaLM) algorithm to solve the problem of the LM algorithm. The algorithm coordinates the descent direction and the descent step by the iteration number, which can prevent falling into the local minimum value and avoid the influence of the parameter state of LM neural networks. We compared the AdaLM algorithm with the traditional LM algorithm and its variants in terms of accuracy and speed in the context of testing common datasets and aero-engine data, and the results verified the effectiveness of the AdaLM algorithm.


1992 ◽  
Vol 26 (9-11) ◽  
pp. 2461-2464 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. D. Tyagi ◽  
Y. G. Du

A steady-statemathematical model of an activated sludgeprocess with a secondary settler was developed. With a limited number of training data samples obtained from the simulation at steady state, a feedforward neural network was established which exhibits an excellent capability for the operational prediction and determination.


2010 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 120-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ladislav Zjavka

Generalization of Patterns by Identification with Polynomial Neural Network Artificial neural networks (ANN) in general classify patterns according to their relationship, they are responding to related patterns with a similar output. Polynomial neural networks (PNN) are capable of organizing themselves in response to some features (relations) of the data. Polynomial neural network for dependence of variables identification (D-PNN) describes a functional dependence of input variables (not entire patterns). It approximates a hyper-surface of this function with multi-parametric particular polynomials forming its functional output as a generalization of input patterns. This new type of neural network is based on GMDH polynomial neural network and was designed by author. D-PNN operates in a way closer to the brain learning as the ANN does. The ANN is in principle a simplified form of the PNN, where the combinations of input variables are missing.


2011 ◽  
Vol 403-408 ◽  
pp. 3081-3085 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Ying Miao ◽  
Jin Kui Chu ◽  
Jing Qiao ◽  
Ling Han Zhang

Measurements of seepage are fundamental for earth dam surveillance. However, it is difficult to establish an effective and practical dam seepage prediction model due to the nonlinearity between seepage and its influencing factors. Genetic Algorithm for Levenberg-Marquardt(GA-LM), a new neural network(NN) model has been developed for predicting the seepage of an earth dam in China using 381 databases of field data (of which 366 in 2008 were used for training and 15 in 2009 for testing). Genetic algorithm(GA) is an ecological system algorithm, which was adopted to optimize the NN structure. Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm was originally designed to serve as an intermediate optimization algorithm between the Gauss-Newton(GN) method and the gradient descent algorithm, which was used to train NN. The predicted seepage values using GA-LM model are in good agreement with the field data. It is demonstrated here that the model is capable of predicting the seepage of earth dams accurately. The performance of GA-LM has been compared with that of conventional Back-Propagation(BP) algorithm and LM algorithm with trial-and-error approach. The comparison indicates that the GA-LM model can offer stronger and better performance than conventional NNs when used as a quick interpolation and extrapolation tool.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhisheng Zhang ◽  
Wenjie Gong

Short-term load forecasting model based on quantum Elman neural networks was constructed in this paper. The quantum computation and Elman feedback mechanism were integrated into quantum Elman neural networks. Quantum computation can effectively improve the approximation capability and the information processing ability of the neural networks. Quantum Elman neural networks have not only the feedforward connection but also the feedback connection. The feedback connection between the hidden nodes and the context nodes belongs to the state feedback in the internal system, which has formed specific dynamic memory performance. Phase space reconstruction theory is the theoretical basis of constructing the forecasting model. The training samples are formed by means ofK-nearest neighbor approach. Through the example simulation, the testing results show that the model based on quantum Elman neural networks is better than the model based on the quantum feedforward neural network, the model based on the conventional Elman neural network, and the model based on the conventional feedforward neural network. So the proposed model can effectively improve the prediction accuracy. The research in the paper makes a theoretical foundation for the practical engineering application of the short-term load forecasting model based on quantum Elman neural networks.


1997 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 185-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rudy Setiono

This article proposes the use of a penalty function for pruning feedforward neural network by weight elimination. The penalty function proposed consists of two terms. The first term is to discourage the use of unnecessary connections, and the second term is to prevent the weights of the connections from taking excessively large values. Simple criteria for eliminating weights from the network are also given. The effectiveness of this penalty function is tested on three well-known problems: the contiguity problem, the parity problems, and the monks problems. The resulting pruned networks obtained for many of these problems have fewer connections than previously reported in the literature.


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