scholarly journals The Future of Health Care: Protocol for Measuring the Potential of Task Automation Grounded in the National Health Service Primary Care System (Preprint)

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew Willis ◽  
Paul Duckworth ◽  
Angela Coulter ◽  
Eric T Meyer ◽  
Michael Osborne

BACKGROUND Recent advances in technology have reopened an old debate on which sectors will be most affected by automation. This debate is ill served by the current lack of detailed data on the exact capabilities of new machines and how they are influencing work. Although recent debates about the future of jobs have focused on whether they are at risk of automation, our research focuses on a more fine-grained and transparent method to model task automation and specifically focus on the domain of primary health care. OBJECTIVE This protocol describes a new wave of intelligent automation, focusing on the specific pressures faced by primary care within the National Health Service (NHS) in England. These pressures include staff shortages, increased service demand, and reduced budgets. A critical part of the problem we propose to address is a formal framework for measuring automation, which is lacking in the literature. The health care domain offers a further challenge in measuring automation because of a general lack of detailed, health care–specific occupation and task observational data to provide good insights on this misunderstood topic. METHODS This project utilizes a multimethod research design comprising two phases: a qualitative observational phase and a quantitative data analysis phase; each phase addresses one of the two project aims. Our first aim is to address the lack of task data by collecting high-quality, detailed task-specific data from UK primary health care practices. This phase employs ethnography, observation, interviews, document collection, and focus groups. The second aim is to propose a formal machine learning approach for probabilistic inference of task- and occupation-level automation to gain valuable insights. Sensitivity analysis is then used to present the occupational attributes that increase/decrease automatability most, which is vital for establishing effective training and staffing policy. RESULTS Our detailed fieldwork includes observing and documenting 16 unique occupations and performing over 130 tasks across six primary care centers. Preliminary results on the current state of automation and the potential for further automation in primary care are discussed. Our initial findings are that tasks are often shared amongst staff and can include convoluted workflows that often vary between practices. The single most used technology in primary health care is the desktop computer. In addition, we have conducted a large-scale survey of over 156 machine learning and robotics experts to assess what tasks are susceptible to automation, given the state-of-the-art technology available today. Further results and detailed analysis will be published toward the end of the project in early 2019. CONCLUSIONS We believe our analysis will identify many tasks currently performed manually within primary care that can be automated using currently available technology. Given the proper implementation of such automating technologies, we expect considerable staff resources to be saved, alleviating some pressures on the NHS primary care staff. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPOR DERR1-10.2196/11232

Author(s):  
Erno Harzheim ◽  
Luiz F. Pinto ◽  
Otávio P. D'Avila ◽  
Lisiane Hauser

Background: South Africa started to lead the cross-culturally validation and use of the Primary Care Assessment Tool (PCAT) in Africa, when Professor Bresick filled a gap, as this continent was until then the only one that had never used it in evaluation of primary health care facilities until 2015.Aim: The authors aim to demonstrate that after the consolidation of Bresick’s team to an African version of PCAT, it had been adapted to household survey in Brazil.Methods: In this letter, authors reflect on how Brazil had adapted PCAT to a national random household survey with Brazilian National Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) – the Brazilian Census Bureau.Results: In the the beginning of 2019, Brazilian Ministry of Health brought back the PCAT as the official national primary health care assessment tool. Brazilian National Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) included a new module (set of questions) in its National Health Survey (PNS-2019) and collected more than 100 000 households interviews in about 40% of the country’s municipalities. This module had 25 questions of the Brazilian validated version of the adult reduced PCAT.Conclusion: We believe that IBGE innovation with the Ministry of Health can encourage South Africa to establish a similar partnership with its National Institute of Statistics (Statistics South Africa) for the country to establish a baseline for future planning of primary health care, for decision-making based on scientific evidence.


2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
FA Gomes

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic has had an impact on the Portuguese Health Care System. During the first months of the pandemic, there was a great reduction in the number of health rendering services. (1) The aim of this study is to analyse the evolution of Primary Health Care appointments in mainland Portugal, during the whole year of 2020 and to compare it to the period of 2015-2019. The type of appointment and the number of users will also be characterized. Methods An observational, descriptive-retrospective, longitudinal, quantitative study was performed. ‘Portal da Transparência' was used as the source of free access data about the Portuguese National Health Service. Results The results which are here presented are comparing the year 2020 to the average of 2015-2019. In mainland Portugal, in 2020, there were 7% more Primary Health Care appointments (PHCA). Although there were less PHCA during the first five months of 2020, there was a rise in the number of PHCA since June 2020. In 2020, 59% were distance PHCA, a rise of 113% compared to the average of 2015-2019. There was a fall of 38% on presential PHCA in 2020. The number of presential PHCA was inferior in each month of 2020, in comparison to the homologous month of the average of 2015-2019. The month with less presential PHCA was April 2020 (less 72% than the average of 2015-2019). Regarding domiciliary PHCA, there was a 36% reduction.In mainland Portugal, the number of Primary Health Care users with, at least, one face-to-face or distance PHCA, in 2020 was 6,661,927, 3% less than the average of 2015-2019. Conclusions The transition from presential PHCA to distance PHCA that occurred in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic allowed the follow-up of most of the patients. However, there is a need to assess if distance PHCA are as effective as presential PHCA and which are its effects in communities' health. (1) Vieira A et al. Excesso de mortalidade, mortalidade colateral e resposta dos serviços de saúde em Portugal em tempos de COVID-19 Key messages In 2020, in mainland Portugal, there was an increase on distance Primary Health Care appointments and a decrease on presential ones. Its impact on population’s health should be assessed.


1997 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 92
Author(s):  
Debra Smith

The importance of outcomes in evaluating and judging health care programs is increasing, particularly in New South Wales. A review of the literature suggests the relevance of outcomes to primary health care might be limited. A small survey of primary care staff working out of Community Health Centres in rural New South Wales (NSW) revealed that staff believe they are often involved in population focus work, while health education and promotion are carried out by staff working with individuals. The identification of the use of primary care strategies is not high unless staff have had experience in a particular area, and the NSW Health Improvement Program is not particularly well understood.


2014 ◽  
Vol 16 (03) ◽  
pp. 289-303 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Petsoulas ◽  
Stephen Peckham ◽  
Jane Smiddy ◽  
Patricia Wilson

BackgroundPatient and Public involvement (PPI) in health care occupies a central place in Western democracies. In England, this theme has been continuously prominent since the introduction of market reforms in the early 1990s. The health care reforms implemented by the current Coalition Government are making primary care practitioners the main commissioners of health care services in the National Health Service, and a duty is placed on them to involve the public in commissioning decisions and strategies. Since implementation of PPI initiatives in primary care commissioning is not new, we asked how likely it is that the new reforms will make a difference. We scanned the main literature related to primary care-led commissioning and found little evidence of effective PPI thus far. We suggest that unless the scope and intended objectives of PPI are clarified and appropriate resources are devoted to it, PPI will continue to remain empty rhetoric and box ticking.AimTo examine the effect of previous PPI initiatives on health care commissioning and draw lessons for future development.MethodWe scanned the literature reporting on previous PPI initiatives in primary care-led commissioning since the introduction of the internal market in 1991. In particular, we looked for specific contexts, methods and outcomes of such initiatives.Findings1. PPI in commissioning has been constantly encouraged by policy makers in England. 2. Research shows limited evidence of effective methods and outcomes so far. 3. Constant reconfiguration of health care structures has had a negative impact on PPI. 4. The new structures look hardly better poised to bring about effective public and patient involvement.


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