scholarly journals The role of personal income tax reforms in the transition to a democratic and egalitarian Egypt

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 74-88
Author(s):  
Monal Abdel-Baki ◽  
Nirmala Dorasamy
Keyword(s):  
Income Tax ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Important Lesson ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregressive Model

The efficacy of the 2005-Personal Income Tax (PIT) reform in enhancing the macroeconomic performance in Egypt is tested using a structural vector autoregressive model. The results reveal that PIT reforms have successfully generated jobs and accelerated GDP growth. The reforms may cause mild inflation in the short-run, but their long-term effects are non-inflationary. This is the first effort to assess the PIT reforms in Egypt, with the aim of helping the new government to assess preceding policies and pursue the successful ones. The research is also an important lesson for the leaders of emerging economies encountering similar circumstances to enact reforms and to perpetuate economic growth and sociopolitical stability.

scholarly journals The role of personal income tax reforms in the transition to a democratic and egalitarian Egypt

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 385-399
Author(s):  
Monal A. Abdel-Baki ◽  
Nirmala Dorasamy
Keyword(s):  
Income Tax ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Important Lesson ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregressive Model

The efficacy of the 2005-Personal Income Tax (PIT) reform in enhancing the macroeconomic performance in Egypt is tested using a structural vector autoregressive model. The results reveal that PIT reforms have successfully generated jobs and accelerated GDP growth. The reforms may cause mild inflation in the short-run, but their long-term effects are non-inflationary. This is the first effort to assess the PIT reforms in Egypt, with the aim of helping the new government to assess preceding policies and pursue the successful ones. The research is also an important lesson for the leaders of emerging economies encountering similar circumstances to enact reforms and to perpetuate economic growth and sociopolitical stability.

Infrastructure investment and employment: Evidence for Portugal

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 1377
Author(s):  
Alfredo M. Pereira ◽  
Rui M. Pereira ◽  
Pedro G. Rodrigues
Keyword(s):  
Infrastructure Investment ◽  
Supply Side ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Demand And Supply ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Employment Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Infrastructure Investments

We estimated how investment in 12 infrastructure types affects employment in Portugal. Using a vector-autoregressive specification at the industry level, we found a double dividend associated with ports and airports: investing in either delivers the greatest bang per euro, both on impact and in the long run. One million euros invested in ports and airports creates 717.1 and 290.5 jobs in the long run, respectively, and 535 and 253.3 jobs in the short run, respectively. Regarding long-term employment effects, these are followed by municipal roads, telecommunications, national roads, health structures, education facilities, refineries, railroads, and highways. Water infrastructures and electricity and gas infrastructures have negligible effects. With the long-term effects decomposed, sizable supply-side employment effects for health and education facilities exist, while demand-side effects dominate for airports, ports, municipal roads, and telecommunications. Employment following the investment in national roads is balanced across demand and supply channels. We found no significant employment-related location effects of infrastructure investments. Also, investing in either health facilities or in education buildings entails non-negligible job losses in the short run. These results suggest that the magnitude and the timing of job creation crucially depend on the type of infrastructure investment. Policymakers in Portugal need to be aware of this in choosing between countercyclical or structural targets.

scholarly journals Tax Buoyancy and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence of Bulgaria

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 236-248
Author(s):  
S. Tanchev ◽  
◽  
I. Todorov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Social Security ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Corporate Tax ◽  
Social Security Contributions ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The study analyzes the long-run and short-run tax buoyancies of Bulgaria and their relationship with Bulgaria’s economic growth. The buoyancy measures the response of tax revenue to changes in economic growth. The buoyancy indicates whether collectability of the tax on income, profit, and consumption increases. The object of this study is the collectability of aggregate tax revenues and of the revenues from different types of taxes – value added tax, personal income tax, corporate tax and social security contributions in Bulgaria. The subject of the study is the relationship of different tax revenues with economic growth. The research methods employed are the fully modified least squares (FMOLS) and autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). The research covers the period from the first quarter of 1999 to the second quarter of 2017 and uses the Eurostat data (78 observations). The study aims to show which type of revenues (from direct or from indirect taxes) is more important for Bulgaria’s state budget. It is shown that the buoyancies of aggregate tax revenue, personal income tax and social security contributions significantly differ from one another in the long-run. The buoyancies of the value-added tax and the corporate tax are above one in the long run. In the short-run the buoyancy of the aggregate tax revenues, the corporate tax, the income tax and the social security contributions are different from one. The short-run buoyancy of VAT exceeds one, hence dynamics of VAT revenues is sustainable. The collectability of the aggregate tax revenue, personal income tax and social security contributions has increased neither in the long run nor in the short run. It is therefore recommended that inefficient taxes, whose collectability does not increase, be reformed.

scholarly journals Analysis of the development of the unemployment rate in Lithuania: application of the SVAR model

Ekonomika ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 94 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-95
Author(s):  
Tomas Reichenbachas
Keyword(s):  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Structural Unemployment ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Svar Model ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregressive Model ◽  
Economic Boom ◽  
Structural Vector

The paper analyses the dynamics of unemployment in Lithuania, using a structural vector autoregressive model (sVAR) with long-term restrictions proposed by Fabiani et al. (2001). In accordance with it, the unemployment rate is predetermined by economic shocks, some of them with long-term effects (structural) and some with short-term ones (cyclical). The greater part of changes in unemployment in the period of 2002 to 2014 were predetermined by cyclical shocks (of productivity and labour supply and demand). The cyclical unemployment, peaked in the years 2010 to 2011, amounted to ca. 6%. On the other hand, structural unemployment is slow to change, in the years of the economic boom (2006 to 2007) it amounted to ca. 8% (at the time, the cyclical unemployment was negative and the economy encountered overheating, while in 2014 structural unemployment was slightly higher and amounted to ca. 11%).

scholarly journals Long-run equilibrium between personal income tax and economic growth in Bulgaria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-67
Author(s):  
S. Tanchev ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

The study analyzes the relationship of personal income tax and economic growth in the long and short runs to show which type of income tax (progressive or proportional) is more compatible with Bulgaria’s economic growth. The methods of Vector Error Correction and Correlation are applied to determine the long-run and short-run impacts of the two types of income tax. The research covers the period from the first quarter of 1999 to the first quarter of 2020. Eurostat data (85 observations) were used. The empirical research has been divided into two periods. The long-run and short-run relationships between economic growth and tax revenue from progressive income tax in Bulgaria have first been studied, followed by the relationship between economic growth and the tax revenue from proportional income tax. The research results show that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship, but not a short-run relationship, between personal income tax and economic growth. The results imply that the progressive income tax is more compatible with economic growth than proportional income tax in Bulgaria in the long run. In the short run, the progressive income tax and proportional income tax have not shown statistically significant relationships with economic growth. Therefore, a progressive income tax leads to greater economic growth than a proportional income tax. From a long-run equilibrium standpoint, it is advisable that Bulgaria switch from proportional to progressive income taxation. It may be inferred that progressive taxation is more appropriate for economic growth than proportional taxation. The results are in conformity with the theory of endogenic growth and reject the neoclassical theory.

RESEARCH ON THE PERSONAL INCOME TAX APPLICATION TO WAGES IN THE BALTIC STATES

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 654
Author(s):  
Anita Puzule
Keyword(s):  
Income Tax ◽  
Social Insurance ◽  
Research Study ◽  
Personal Income ◽  
Tax Burden ◽  
Personal Income Tax ◽  
Baltic States ◽  
Tax Reforms ◽  
Tax Systems ◽  
The Baltic

Personal income tax and social insurance contributions must be paid on wages into the budget, the revenue of which most directly affects the changes in the number of persons engaged in the national economy and the increase of the average wage. To be able to evaluate how favourable the personal income tax systems applicable to employees are in the Baltic States, the author compares the factors that affect taxation and the tax burden in Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, which have experienced tax reforms in the recent years. The aim of the research is to perform a comparative study of the requirements and issues of personal income tax application to wages in Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. The monographic, comparative and analytical analysis, logical construction, and grouping methods have been used in the research study. Based on the research study, the author has concluded that despite the similarities in the personal income tax systems, each Baltic state has different normative regulation. The tax burden on Estonian taxpayers relative to wages is lower than that in Lithuania and Latvia.  

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