The Link between Tax Revenue Components and Economic Growth: Evidence from South Africa. An ARDL Approach

This study examined the link between tax revenue components and economic growth in South Africa, utilizing time series data for the period of 22 years. The stationarity of the variables was established using the Phillips-Perron (PP) unit root test, and the existence of long-run and short-run equilibrium conditions was tested using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. As a proxy for economic growth, the study used the real GDP growth rate as the dependent variable, with company income tax, personal income tax, taxes on international trade and transactions, taxes on income, profits, and capital gains tax, foreign direct investment, inflation, and gross savings as the independent variables. According to the PP findings, none of the variables are integrated at a higher order than one, i.e. (1). All variables are found to be cointegrated, and all explanatory variables have a long-run link with economic growth. According to the ARDL findings, company income tax, personal income tax, and taxes on international trade and transactions all have a positive long-run and short-run link with economic growth, whereas capital gain tax, foreign direct investment, and gross savings all have a negative long-run and short-run link with economic growth. The long-run coefficient is negatively related to RGDP, while the short-run coefficient revealed a positive link between inflation and economic growth, among other findings. Heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation are not present in our model, according to diagnostic tests. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ values indicate that the model is structurally sound.

Penyesuaian Lapisan dan Tarif PPh Orang Pribadi: Agresif atau Progresif?

In 2022, Indonesia would apply changes in tax brackets and rates for personal income tax. This adjustment is based on the Article 17 Paragraph 1 Tax Harmonization Law Number 7 of 2021. The government tries to accommodate the needs of the community through formulating process of this regulation. In particular, it provides convenience to the lower-middle income community and encourages an even distribution of income. People belonging to the high wealth income will be subject to the highest tariffs that have just been set through this law. Through a qualitative descriptive method in which data collection is carried out by taking from literature review; law, articles, books, and website, the author tries to analyze changes in brackets and rates of personal income tax. This study presents illustrations of the calculation to explain the difference in the amount of income tax payable before and after the implementation of the Tax Harmonization Law. In addition, the analysis of the principles of equity and democracy on the adjustment of layers and tax rates is elaborated in this paper. The results obtained explain that with the application of the new tax rate, taxpayers get a tax burden relief because the tax expense is lower due to the broadening of income range. However, wealthy taxpayers will pay more taxes because of the higher tax rates. This condition proves that the new tax rate supports vertical fairness in the taxation system. In addition, the implementation of regulations related to tax rates adjustment provides evidence that the implementation of democracy has been implemented. The adjustment of tax brackets and rates has a positive impact on the community and the government so that the allocation of tax revenues can run optimally to support the welfare of the community.

Taxpayer Bunching Evidence: Responsiveness at Kink Points of the Honduran Personal Income Tax

This paper studies the response of taxpayers to changes in the marginal tax rate or kinks, estimated through compensated elasticities by applying the bunching methodology to Honduran administrative data on Personal Income Tax (PIT) from the period 2011 – 2018. Due to missing data issues at the first kink, estimates are only generated for the other two kinks. The results show a low response, reflected by a compensated elasticity around 0.09. Higher response on wage earners was found at the second kink. Further analysis is done by type of taxpayer, income source, third-party reporting, gender, and age.

Effects of the „Polish Deal” Programme on Local Government Units

The aim of this paper is to present the „Polish Deal” program in the context of its influence on budget management of local government units. The paper puts forward a thesis that changes in the tax system, as specified in the „Polish Deal” programme, will have a negative impact on the finances of local government units. The study was based on selected literature, documents on the financial perspective for 2021–2027, the „Polish Deal” programme, financial information on the state of finances of local government units in 2018–2020 and opinions of the Union of Polish Metropolises and the Association of Polish Cities to the draft Polish Deal programme. The period of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic coincided with the beginning of the next financial perspective in the European Union for the years 2021–2027. EU institutions have prepared a number of instruments relevant to the post-pandemic era, including the Next Generation EU. At the same time, they imposed on Member States the obligation to prepare their own post-pandemic plans. Poland prepared the National Recovery Plan. This was followed by the government’s presentation of the „Polish Deal” program, which is a promise of socio-economic reforms. The projects included in the „Polish Deal”, in many areas will require the activity and involvement of local authorities. The effects of these activities will be not only financial but also organizational, which will translate into increased spending. Changes in the tax system, especially in the personal income tax, will considerably affect revenues from PIT shares, which will disturb the stability of territorial self-government units’ financial system. Therefore, it is necessary that the government and self-government representatives jointly work out solutions, which will guarantee the compensation of losses for the self-governments in a long-term, and a stable way to restore the principle of adequacy.

Segmentation of Potential Fraud Taxpayers and Characterization in Personal Income Tax Using Data Mining Techniques

This paper proposes an analytical framework that combines dimension reduction and data mining techniques to obtain a sample segmentation according to potential fraud probability. In this regard, the purpose of this study is twofold. Firstly, it attempts to determine tax benefits that are more likely to be used by potential fraud taxpayers by means of investigating the Personal Income Tax structure. Secondly, it aims at characterizing through socioeconomic variables the segment profiles of potential fraud taxpayer to offer an audit selection strategy for improving tax compliance and improve tax design. An application to the annual Spanish Personal Income Tax sample designed by the Institute for Fiscal Studies is provided. Results obtained confirm that the combination of data mining techniques proposed offers valuable information to contribute to the study of tax fraud.

REKONSTRUKSI PENDEKATAN COMPLIANCE RISK MANAGEMENT DI MASA PANDEMI DALAM UPAYA PENGUATAN PENERIMAAN PAJAK

The Covid-19 pandemic has resulted in a problematic impact on the revenue budget of many countries, including Indonesia. However, when most tax revenues had decreased, personal income tax (PIT) in Indonesia increased. Based on this fact and using a qualitative approach, our study aims to document and analyze a Compliance Risk Management (CRM) approach used to monitor taxpayer compliance in Indonesia. This study analyzes the CRM policy using policy science methods modified according to the CRM implementation and administration scope. Our analysis was carried out primarily by linking the CRM implementation policy with the Covid-19 situation. This study concludes that tax authorities should consider implementing policy strategies under international best practices by adjusting to the current pandemic situation in Indonesia without sticking to each phase. Based on the available alternatives, the Indonesian tax authority needs to consider reconstructing its interaction with taxpayers. The orientation is to provide a stimulus for taxpayers and stay to control their level of compliance.

PERSONAL INCOME TAX GAPS: BIBLIOMETRIC AND ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS

The article is devoted to the essence and features of the formation of personal income tax gaps. The object of the paper is 1795 publications indexed in the Scopus database on the tax gaps in the national economy. The time horizon of the study was in 1935—2021. On the basis of bibliometric analysis, the main directions of the study of tax gaps are determine, the trend of changing the number of publications on this issue is analyzed. It is concluded that the theory of tax gap management is quite young and is currently only in its infancy. By the VOSViewer tools, five patterns of frequency of use of keywords in scientific works devoted to the issues of forming tax gaps have been identified, their connection with other economic categories have been determined. The analysis of the publications indexed in the Scopus database on a geographical basis is carried out. Clustering international research networks based on bibliometric analysis of scientific papers on the theory of tax gaps management by geographical location have been done. The article identifies the top Scientific Journals indexed by the Scopus database in which the issues of tax gap management were published most often. According to the Scopus database the most popular theories within this problem are: social theories, inequality and tax morality, management and motivation theories, sustainable development theory, production theory, concepts of fiscal policy implementation. A methodical approach to the assessment of tax gaps for personal income tax is proposed. The personal income tax gaps for Ukraine and European Union countries has been estimated. An average volume of personal income tax gaps within 7—28 %, and there is no positive dynamics in its reducing. The countries with the highest volume of personal income tax gaps include Greece, Poland, the Slovak Republic, Turkey, with the lowest — Germany, Belgium, Latvia, Luxembourg. Based on the Multiple regressions test, the hypothesis about the significant impact of tax gaps on personal income tax on the country’s economic development indicators was tested. Graphical interpretation of the link between the personal income tax gap and GDP for Ukraine and European Union countries indicates a negative correlation between them. Keywords: tax gap, shadow economy, tax evasion, GDP, economic development, state policy. JEL Classification E60, E63, C23 Formulas: 1; fig.: 4; tabl.: 2; bibl.: 17.