An Efficient Hybrid Forecasting Approach for Wind Speed Time Series

Author(s):  
Bhargavi Munnaluri ◽  
K. Ganesh Reddy

Wind forecasting is one of the best efficient ways to deal with the challenges of wind power generation. Due to the depletion of fossil fuels renewable energy sources plays a major role for the generation of power. For future management and for future utilization of power, we need to predict the wind speed.  In this paper, an efficient hybrid forecasting approach with the combination of Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN) are proposed to improve the quality of prediction of wind speed. Due to the different parameters of wind, it is difficult to find the accurate prediction value of the wind speed. The proposed hybrid model of forecasting is examined by taking the hourly wind speed of past years data by reducing the prediction error with the help of Mean Square Error by 0.019. The result obtained from the Artificial Neural Networks improves the forecasting quality.

Author(s):  
Soukaina Barhmi ◽  
Omkalthoume El Fatni

Wind speed is the main component of wind power. Therefore, wind speed forecasting is of big importance due to its uses. It permits to plan the dispatch, determine the hours of storage needed, the amount of energy stored that should be used and avoid the big fluctuations in the electrical grid caused by the nature of the renewable energy resources. In this paper, we propose four hybrid models based on Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Artificial Neural Networks(ANNs) or just Neural Networks (NN) for wind speed forecasting. Using the Ordinary Least Squares(OLS) analysis for selecting the parameters more influencing wind speed. Then, a Support Vector Machine and Artificial Neural Networks models are tuned by Genetic Algorithm(GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO). The performance of these models is evaluated using three statistical indicators: the Mean Square Error(MSE), Mean Error(ME) and Mean Absolute Error(MAE). The results show a better performance of the neural model compared to the support vector machine.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chem Int

Recently, process control in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) is, mostly accomplished through examining the quality of the water effluent and adjusting the processes through the operator’s experience. This practice is inefficient, costly and slow in control response. A better control of WTPs can be achieved by developing a robust mathematical tool for performance prediction. Due to their high accuracy and quite promising application in the field of engineering, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are attracting attention in the domain of WWTP predictive performance modeling. This work focuses on applying ANN with a feed-forward, back propagation learning paradigm to predict the effluent water quality of the Habesha brewery WTP. Data of influent and effluent water quality covering approximately an 11-month period (May 2016 to March 2017) were used to develop, calibrate and validate the models. The study proves that ANN can predict the effluent water quality parameters with a correlation coefficient (R) between the observed and predicted output values reaching up to 0.969. Model architecture of 3-21-3 for pH and TN, and 1-76-1 for COD were selected as optimum topologies for predicting the Habesha Brewery WTP performance. The linear correlation between predicted and target outputs for the optimal model architectures described above were 0.9201 and 0.9692, respectively.


Biomolecules ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 500
Author(s):  
László Keresztes ◽  
Evelin Szögi ◽  
Bálint Varga ◽  
Viktor Farkas ◽  
András Perczel ◽  
...  

The amyloid state of proteins is widely studied with relevance to neurology, biochemistry, and biotechnology. In contrast with nearly amorphous aggregation, the amyloid state has a well-defined structure, consisting of parallel and antiparallel β-sheets in a periodically repeated formation. The understanding of the amyloid state is growing with the development of novel molecular imaging tools, like cryogenic electron microscopy. Sequence-based amyloid predictors were developed, mainly using artificial neural networks (ANNs) as the underlying computational technique. From a good neural-network-based predictor, it is a very difficult task to identify the attributes of the input amino acid sequence, which imply the decision of the network. Here, we present a linear Support Vector Machine (SVM)-based predictor for hexapeptides with correctness higher than 84%, i.e., it is at least as good as the best published ANN-based tools. Unlike artificial neural networks, the decisions of the linear SVMs are much easier to analyze and, from a good predictor, we can infer rich biochemical knowledge. In the Budapest Amyloid Predictor webserver the user needs to input a hexapeptide, and the server outputs a prediction for the input plus the 6 × 19 = 114 distance-1 neighbors of the input hexapeptide.


2018 ◽  
Vol 184 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gal Amit ◽  
Hanan Datz

Abstract We present here for the first time a fast and reliable automatic algorithm based on artificial neural networks for the anomaly detection of a thermoluminescence dosemeter (TLD) glow curves (GCs), and compare its performance with formerly developed support vector machine method. The GC shape of TLD depends on numerous physical parameters, which may significantly affect it. When integrated into a dosimetry laboratory, this automatic algorithm can classify ‘anomalous’ (having any kind of anomaly) GCs for manual review, and ‘regular’ (acceptable) GCs for automatic analysis. The new algorithm performance is then compared with two kinds of formerly developed support vector machine classifiers—regular and weighted ones—using three different metrics. Results show an impressive accuracy rate of 97% for TLD GCs that are correctly classified to either of the classes.


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