scholarly journals Consumption-Habits in a New Keynesian Business Cycle Model

2008 ◽  
pp. 1.000-16.000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Dennis ◽  
Author(s):  
Shangfeng Zhang ◽  
◽  
Yuying Wang ◽  
Bing Xu ◽  

A first-order approximation technique is not suited to handle issues such as welfare comparison, time-varying variance. Following Schmitt-Grohe and Uribe [1], in this paper, we derive a second-order approximation to estimate the dynamic stochastic equilibrium model with stochastic volatility, to capture the different impacts of the level shocks and the volatility shocks. Furthermore, the paper presents an application of standard quantitative New Keynesian business cycle model, and the results shows the negative effects of stochastic volatility shocks. Furthermore, the paper presents an application of standard quantitative New Keynesian business cycle model, and the empirical results find that the level shocks have positive effects on consumption, investment and output, while the volatility shocks have negative effects on consumption, investment and output.


2014 ◽  
Vol 104 (8) ◽  
pp. 2368-2399 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cosmin L. Ilut ◽  
Martin Schneider

This paper studies a New Keynesian business cycle model with agents who are averse to ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty). Shocks to confidence about future TFP are modeled as changes in ambiguity. To assess the size of those shocks, our estimation uses not only data on standard macro variables, but also incorporates the dispersion of survey forecasts about growth as a measure of confidence. Our main result is that TFP and confidence shocks together can explain roughly two thirds of business cycle frequency movements in the major macro aggregates. Confidence shocks account for about 70 percent of this variation. (JEL D81, D84, E12, E32)


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