Economic Threat and Authoritarianism in Television Programs: 1950–1974

1975 ◽  
Vol 37 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1153-1154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dale O. Jorgenson
Keyword(s):  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Prime Time ◽  
Television Programs ◽  
Gallup Poll ◽  
Economic Problems ◽  
Economic Threat

1761 prime-time television programs aired on the three major networks during the first week in October for each of the years from 1950 to 1974 were judged as either authoritarian or nonauthoritarian. As predicted, the proportion of authoritarian programs in a given year correlated positively with the annual unemployment rate, for that year, the change in the consumer price index from the previous year, and the proportion of Gallup Poll respondents who mentioned economic problems as most important in the U. S. A.

scholarly journals FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: STRUCTURAL CHANGES AND IMPACT ON UKRAINE’S ECONOMIC SECURITY

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (Vol 19, No 2 (2020)) ◽  
pp. 299-314
Author(s):  
Iryna BABETS ◽  
Ivan MYTSENKO ◽  
Valerii MYTSENKO
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Inverse Relationship ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Retail Trade ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Direct Relation

The article presents assessment of the level of investment security of Ukraine during 2006-2018. Most influential factors of the country’s investment security have been identified. They include structure of foreign direct investment (FDI), particularly its high research intensity. It has been identified that the integral indicator of investment security is highly sensitive to the change in the investment share of high-tech industries in total FDI volumes. The regression analysis has confirmed significant influence of structural changes in foreign direct investment on the state of macroeconomic security of Ukraine during 2006-2018. The inverse relationship between unemployment rate and such indicators of FDI structure as investment share in high-tech industries and in metallurgical production has been identified. No correlation was found between unemployment rate and changes in the investment share in wholesale and retail trade, food, beverage and tobacco, information and telecommunications activities, financial activities and insurance in total FDI. It is established that there is a close direct relation between GDP per capita and the change in the structure of FDI in the investment share in food, beverage and tobacco, information and telecommunications, financial and insurance. A strong direct relation between GDP growth rate and the change in total FDI share of investment in metallurgical industry and investment in high-tech industries was confirmed. A weak direct correlation is found between the Consumer Price Index and the shares in the FDI structure of investments in wholesale and retail trade and in high-tech industries. The inverse relationship is found between the Consumer Price Index and the share of investment in information and telecommunications activities in total FDI.

Using distributed lag models to predict regional budget revenues

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1154-1172
Author(s):  
Yu.V. Granitsa
Keyword(s):  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Key Indicator ◽  
Distributed Lag Models ◽  
Regional Budget ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Financial Result

Subject. The article addresses projections of regional budget revenues, using distributed lag models. Objectives. The purpose is to review economic and statistical tools that are suitable for the analysis of relationship between the revenues of the regional budget system and regional macroeconomic predictors. Methods. The study draws on statistical, constructive, economic and mathematical methods of analysis. Results. In models with quantitative variables obtained under the Almon method, the significant predictors in the forecasting of regional budget revenues are determined mainly by the balanced financial result, the consumer price index, which characterizes inflation processes in the region, and the unemployment rate being the key indicator of the labor market. Models with quantitative variables obtained through the Koyck transformation are characterized by a wider range of predictors, the composition of which is determined by the peculiarities of economic situation in regions. The two-year forecast provides the average lag obtained during the evaluation of the models. The exception is the impact of unemployment rate, which is characterized as long-term. Conclusions. To generate forecasts of budget parameters, the results of both the Koyck method and the Almon method should be considered, though the former is more promising.

Dampak Penerapan Perbankan Syari’ah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Negara: Kajian Perbandingan Malaysia dan Indonesia

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Hansen Rusliani
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Domestic Product

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dampak perbankan syari’ah terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia dan Malaysia. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data primer (interview) dan data sekunder dalam bentuk bulanan yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik Ekonomi dan Keuangan Indonesia Bank Indonesia (SEKI-BI) dan Statistik Perbankan Syari’ah Bank Indonesia (SPS-BI) serta data dari Bank Negara Malaysia dan Departemen Statistik Malaysia dalam periode waktu kurun waktu 16 tahun, 2000 sampai dengan 2015. Observasi penelitian dilakukan di Indonesia dan Malaysia untuk memperkaya analisis. Penelitian ini menggunakan Vector Autoregression (VAR), Uji Kointegrasi serta dikombinasikan dengan Response Function (IRF) dan Decomposition (FEVD) untuk melihat interaksi antara faktor makro ekonomi dengan pembiayaan dalam jangka panjang. Adapun variabel yang digunakan adalah total pembiayan syari’ah (Total Syari’ah Financing) dan Gross Domestic Product (GDP) sebagai representasi pertumbuhan ekonomi. Untuk tambahan variabel digunakan Consumer Price Index (CPI) sebagai representasi tingkat inflasi. Hipotesis penelitian yaitu terdapat pertumbuhan ekonomi setiap tahunnya dikedua negara tersebut pasca krisis moneter.

The 2018 revision of the Consumer Price Index geographic sample

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Paben ◽  
William Johnson ◽  
John Schilp
Keyword(s):  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index

Using the Consumer Price Index in Forecasting for Small Geographic Areas

1994 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 391-401
Author(s):  
Joseph Rabianski ◽  
Julian Diaz ◽  
Neil Carn
Keyword(s):  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index

Errors in National Institute Forecasts of Personal Incomes, Inflation and Employment, 1965-75

1976 ◽  
Vol 78 ◽  
pp. 48-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.J.H. Dean
Keyword(s):  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
The Other ◽  
Forecasting Performance ◽  
Current Price ◽  
Personal Incomes

This article examines the accuracy of the National Institute's forecasts of incomes, inflation and employment from 1965 to 1975. It is found that in recent years the Institute has tended to underestimate inflation, although less seriously for the consumer price index than the other current price variables studied. The accuracy of the forecasts has generally increased in relative terms, although it has deteriorated in absolute terms. The forecasting performance in 1974 was particularly poor but there has been a distinct improvement in 1975 and 1976.

ATTAINMENT OF HIGHER ENROLLMENT RATES IN PAKISTAN: A MACROECONOMIC AND ECONOMETRIC STUDY

2012 ◽  
Vol 01 (07) ◽  
pp. 17-29
Author(s):  
Furrukh Bashir ◽  
Shahbaz Nawaz ◽  
Rahat Ullah ◽  
Muhammad Ramzan Arshad ◽  
Munwar Bagum ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Labor Force ◽  
Health Expenditure ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Government Revenue ◽  
Long Run ◽  
University Enrollment ◽  
Enrollment Rates ◽  
Short Run

Education is always considered as the major determinant for the development of any economy. Enrollment at various levels also shows that how much education is common within the citizens of the country. Considering the importance of enrollment, the current study examines the influence of some macroeconomic variables on various levels i.e. primary, secondary, higher, college, professional and university enrollment in Pakistan. Time series data has been gathered on consumer price index, government revenue, employed labor force, government expenditure, and health expenditure for the period from 1972 to 2010. For long run estimates, Johansen Co integration test is used and short run estimates are taken through error correction model. The results of the study exhibit positive association of employed labor force, government expenditure and health expenditure with primary, secondary, higher, college, professional and university enrollment in Pakistan. On the other side, consumer price index and government revenue have been found to be inversely influencing enrollment at various levels. Short run results are also much favorable for the economy and reveals convergence towards long run equilibrium due to any disturbances in the short run period. At the end study gives some policy implications that government should decrease consumer price index and tax rate and to increase government expenditure in terms of education and health for higher enrollment rates in Pakistan.

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