scholarly journals Monetary Policy Interdependency in Fisher Effect: A Comparative Evidence

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 203-226
Author(s):  
Olatunji Abdul Shobande ◽  
Oladimeji Tomiwa Shodipe
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Policy Response ◽  
Fisher Effect ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Policy Responses ◽  
Macroeconomic Fundamentals

Abstract In this paper, we examine the ability of Fisher effect to describe the subjective behaviour of monetary policy responses for nations constrained by global factors. We developed and estimated a simple DSGE model for appraising the consequence of an integrated financial market predictor on national monetary policy response in Africa’s largest economies – Nigeria and South Africa. The paper integrated the theoretical intuition of the famous Fisher effect on the New Keynesian DSGE model with global predictors to describe national monetary policy response as it influence domestic financial variables and macroeconomic fundamentals. Simulations show that the existence of global factors threatens the abilities of national monetary policy to predict financial variables and macroeconomic fundamentals in their economies.

scholarly journals Fiscal and monetary policy in new Keynesian DSGE models

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Πέτρος Βαρθαλίτης
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Models ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy

This thesis is about monetary and fiscal policy in New Keynesian DSGE models. Chapter 2 presents the baseline New Keynesian DSGE model. Monetary policy is in the form of a simple interest rate Taylor-type policy rule, while fiscal policy is exogenous. Chapter 3 extends the model of Chapter 2 to include fiscal policy. Now, both monetary and fiscal policy are allowed to follow feedback rules. Chapter 4 sets up a New Keynesian model of a semi-small open economy with sovereign risk premia. Finally, Chapter 5 builds a New Keynesian DSGE model consisting of two heterogeneous countries participating in a monetary union.Throughout most of the thesis, policy is conducted via "simple", "implementable" and "optimized" feedback policy rules. Using such rules, the aim of policy is twofold: firslty, it aims to stabilize the economy when the latter is hit by shocks; secondly, it aims to improve the economy's resource allocation.

scholarly journals New Keynesian Liquidity Trap and Conventional Fiscal Stance: An Estimated DSGE Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 152-169
Author(s):  
Olatunji Abdul Shobande ◽  
Oladimeji Tomiwa Shodipe
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
The United States ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Transmission Channel ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Liquidity Trap ◽  
Exogenous Shock ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables

Abstract The study investigates the effect of New Keynesian liquidity trap on fiscal stance in the United States, United Kingdom and Japan economies. We developed our DSGE model in the context of an optimal and persistent interactive fiscal policy, which allows us to track the transmission channel through which shocks are distributed among real economic variables. The evidence suggests that zero lower bound mitigates the ability of monetary policy to absorb the effect of exogenous shock on the macroeconomic variables while expansionary fiscal policy was able to absorb the shock persistence transmitted from the nominal interest rate.

scholarly journals Application of the Bayesian New Keynesian DSGE Model to Polish Macroeconomic Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-153
Author(s):  
Janusz Sobieraj ◽  
Dominik Metelski
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Significant Degree ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Output Gap ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Nominal Interest Rates ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic

In the paper we estimate a simple New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium NK DSGE model on the basis of Polish macro data from the period 2000-2019. The model is specified similarly to Galí (2008) with the use of the Bayesian approach. The NK DSGE model combines the advantages of both structural models and time-series models and, therefore, shows a significant degree of alignment with empirical data. The Bayesian estimation is based on the prior distribution of the model input parameters, which are later compared with the posteriors. The results obtained allow for assessing the persistence of responses to technological, inflationary and monetary policy shocks. On the basis of the NK DSGE model, we formulate a perception of macroeconomic interactions, e.g. nominal interest rates’ association with inflation and the output gap. In other words, the NK DSGE model provides a better understanding of the relationship between interest rates, inflation and the output gap. This in turn makes it easier to understand the monetary policy response function.

scholarly journals The Impact of Electronic Money on Monetary Policy: Based on DSGE Model Simulations

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (20) ◽  
pp. 2614
Author(s):  
Sumei Luo ◽  
Guangyou Zhou ◽  
Jinpeng Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Electronic Money ◽  
Savings And Loans ◽  
Interactive Relationship ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Starting with the interactive relationship between electronic money and household consumption stimuli, this paper deeply analyzes the changes in the behavior of each monetary subject under the impact of electronic money, and establishes a DSGE model based on the three economic sectors of family, commercial bank and central bank under the New Keynesian framework. On this basis, the impact of electronic money on savings, loans, output and the interest rate, and its impact on monetary policy, are described by numerical simulation. The simulation results show that: (1) electronic money has asymmetric effects on savings and loans, but an irrational deviation on households; (2) the influence of electronic money on the interest rate has a reverse effect, and the “inverse adjustment” of the interest rate increases the management difficulty of the micro subject to a certain extent, and affects the effectiveness of monetary policy; (3) the regulatory effect of price monetary policy is better than that of quantitative monetary policy, and electronic money has the effect of its risk restraining impact. Finally, based on the analysis, this paper gives policy recommendations.

scholarly journals South Africa’s monetary policy independence: evidence from a Global New-Keynesian DSGE model

2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
pp. 840-846
Author(s):  
Annari De Waal ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Charl Jooste
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Model

scholarly journals The Impact of Monetary Policy on Financial Market in South Africa: A VAR Analysis

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (8) ◽  
pp. 636-646 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flavien Fokou Noumbissie
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Discount Rate ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Wealth Creation ◽  
The Impact

Like in many other countries, the South African financial market facilitates the process of raising capital by channelling funds to more productive economic activity, thereby building the nation's economy while enhancing job opportunities and wealth creation. The aim of this paper is to assess the impact of monetary policy on financial market in South Africa. It is important to constantly look into this interaction since policy decisions have a direct influence on financial market. A negative response from the market side may jeopardise economic stability. The study uses the vector autoregressive (VAR) model to evaluate the impact of monetary policy on financial market in South Africa. The model consists of five policy instruments as variables; namely: money supply (M3), real exchange rate(ER), discount Rate (R), consumer price index (CPI), gross domestic product (GDP) and the two market related variables: Stock market turnover (S) and Bond market turnover (B). Data is obtained from SARB and OECD databases for a period of 53 quarters from 2000:Q1 to 2013:Q1. By the use of impulse response function (IRF), the study found that given current economic situation in South Africa, stock market turnover reacts positively to money supply; discount rate; real exchange and GDP shocks. On the other hand stock market turnover reacts negatively to CPI economic shocks. To correct CPI negative impact on markets, we suggest that the policymakers could envisage a contractionary monetary policy translated by a proportional cut in money supply through the sales of government securities.

Model Uncertainty in Macroeconomics

2019 ◽  
pp. 678-736
Author(s):  
Michael Binder ◽  
Philipp Lieberknecht ◽  
Jorge Quintana ◽  
Volker Wieland
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Financial Frictions ◽  
Model Averaging ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Comparative Approach ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Policy Transmission ◽  
New Generation

For many years, structural macroeconomic models used at central banks for policy evaluation have exhibited New Keynesian features such as nominal rigidities and forward-looking decision-making. More recently, new contributions have added more detailed characterizations of the financial sector. This chapter employs a comparative approach to investigate the characteristics of this new generation of macro-financial models and documents increased model uncertainty. Policy transmission is highly heterogeneous across types of financial frictions and monetary policy has larger effects, on average. A simple policy rule optimized to perform well over several models with financial frictions involves a weaker response to inflation and the output gap than in earlier models. Including a response to financial variables such as credit growth does not improve performance very much, yet a response to output growth does. Models with financial frictions produce somewhat better forecasts. Overall, model-averaging yields a more robust framework for designing monetary policy.

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