scholarly journals The Impact of Electronic Money on Monetary Policy: Based on DSGE Model Simulations

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (20) ◽  
pp. 2614
Author(s):  
Sumei Luo ◽  
Guangyou Zhou ◽  
Jinpeng Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Electronic Money ◽  
Savings And Loans ◽  
Interactive Relationship ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Starting with the interactive relationship between electronic money and household consumption stimuli, this paper deeply analyzes the changes in the behavior of each monetary subject under the impact of electronic money, and establishes a DSGE model based on the three economic sectors of family, commercial bank and central bank under the New Keynesian framework. On this basis, the impact of electronic money on savings, loans, output and the interest rate, and its impact on monetary policy, are described by numerical simulation. The simulation results show that: (1) electronic money has asymmetric effects on savings and loans, but an irrational deviation on households; (2) the influence of electronic money on the interest rate has a reverse effect, and the “inverse adjustment” of the interest rate increases the management difficulty of the micro subject to a certain extent, and affects the effectiveness of monetary policy; (3) the regulatory effect of price monetary policy is better than that of quantitative monetary policy, and electronic money has the effect of its risk restraining impact. Finally, based on the analysis, this paper gives policy recommendations.

scholarly journals The impact of Musharakah financing on the monetary policy in the Islamic economy

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3/4) ◽  
pp. 139-152
Author(s):  
Hatem Adela
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Methodological Framework ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Return Rates ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to contribute to formulating the methodological framework for a paradigm of Islamic economics, using the development of the conventional economics, theoretical and mathematical methods. Design/methodology/approach The study based on the inductive and mathematical methods to contribute to economic theory within the methodological framework for Islamic Economics, by using the return rate of Musharakah rather than the interest rate in influence the economic activity and monetary policy. Findings Via replacement, the concept of the interest rate by the return rates of Musharakah. It concludes that the central bank can control the monetary policy, economic activity and the efficient allocation of resources by using the return rates of Musharakah through the framework of Islamic economy. Practical/implications The study is a contribution to formulate the methodological framework for a paradigm of Islamic economics, where it investigates the impact of return rates of Musharakah on the money market and monetary policy, by the mathematical methods used in the conventional economy. Also, the study illustrates the importance of further studies that examine the methodological framework for Islamic Economics. Originality/value The study aims to contribute to formulating the Islamic economic theory, through the return rate of Musharakah financing instead of the interest rate, and its effectiveness of the monetary policy. As well as reformulating the concepts of the investment function, the present value and the marginal efficiency rate of investment according to the Islamic economy approach.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Effects on Energy Sector Bubbles

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 472
Author(s):  
Petre Caraiani ◽  
Adrian Călin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Energy Sector ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

We investigate the effects of monetary policy shocks, including unconventional policy measures, on the bubbles of the energy sector, for the case of the United States. We estimate a time-varying Bayesian VAR model that allows for quantifying the impact of monetary policy shocks on asset prices and bubbles. The energy sector is measured through the S&P Energy Index, while bubbles are measured through the difference between asset prices and the corresponding dividends for the energy sector. We find significant differences in the impact of monetary policy shocks for the aggregate economy and for the energy sector. The findings seem sensitive to the interest rate use, i.e., whether one uses the shadow interest rate or the long-term interest rate.

scholarly journals An Insight Regarding Economic Growth and Monetary Policy in Romania

2015 ◽  
Vol 62 (s1) ◽  
pp. 85-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Mera ◽  
Monica Pop Silaghi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Sacrifice Ratio ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Potential Gdp ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Sacrifice

Abstract This study introduces some aspects regarding the link between monetary policy and economic growth, through a rule well known in the literature which is named Taylor’s rule and through the concept of sacrifice ratio which encompasses the impact of the cost of disinflation on the economic growth of a country. In this paper, we rely on estimates of the growth of potential GDP of the National Bank of Romania for the period 2003-2006 while for the period 2007-2012 we rely on the estimates reported by the International Monetary Fund. Thus, we carry a deterministic exercise for computing the interest rate on the period 2003-2012 as depicted from the Taylor’s rule and we compare it with the effective monetary policy interest rate used by the National Bank of Romania. In the same time, we calculate the sacrifice ratio for the period 1997-2013 so as to be able to form an opinion regarding the cost of disinflation and its comparison with the typical estimates for larger time spans and for other countries.

scholarly journals The interest rate sensitivity of output and prices with different levels of financial inclusion

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-130
Author(s):  
Huong Thi Truc Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Financial Inclusion ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Panel Vector Autoregressions ◽  
Different Levels

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the interest rate (IR) sensitivity of output and prices in developing economies with different levels of financial inclusion (FI) for the period 2007Q1–2017Q4. Design/methodology/approach By using the PCA method to construct an FI index for each country, the author divides the sample into two groups (high and low FI levels). Then, with panel vector autoregressions on per group estimated to assess the strength of the impulse response of output and prices to IR shock. Findings The findings show that the impact of an IR shock on output and inflation is greater in economies with a higher degree of FI. Practical implications The finding indicates the link between FI and the effectiveness of IRs as a monetary policy tool, thereby helping Central banks to have a clearer goal of FI to implement their monetary policy. Originality/value This study emphasizes the important role of FI in the economy. From there, an FI solution is integrated into the construction and calculation of its impact on monetary policy, improving the efficiency of monetary policy transmission, contributing to price stability and sustainable growth.

scholarly journals Assessing the Role of Money versus Interest Rate in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-114
Author(s):  
Zafar Hayat ◽  
Muhammad Nadim Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Relative Effectiveness ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Price Puzzle ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

We have empirically examined the role of monetary aggregate(s) vis-à-vis short-term interest rate as monetary policy instruments, and the impact of State Bank of Pakistan’s transformation into the latter on their relative effectiveness in terms of inflation in Pakistan. Using indicators of ‘persistent changes’ in the underlying behaviours of variables of interest, we found that broad money consistently explains inflation in (i) monetary (ii) transitory and (iii) interest rate regimes. Though its role has receded while moving from the transition to the interest rate regime, the interest rate instrument seems to be positively related to inflation, a phenomenon commonly known as price puzzle. In light of these findings, we recommend that the role of money should not be completely de-emphasised. JEL Classification: E31, E52. Keywords: Monetary Policy Instruments, Price Puzzle, ARDL, Pakistan

scholarly journals Limited Information and the Relation Between the Variance of Inflation and the Variance of Output in a New Keynesian Perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (PNEA) ◽  
pp. 541-557
Author(s):  
Alejandro Rodríguez Arana
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Social Welfare ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Loss Function ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Limited Information ◽  
The Interest Rate

The objective of this paper is to analyze the effects on welfare of a monetary policy that establishes the reference interest rate at discrete intervals of time. The hypothesis is that because there is uncertainty about various disturbances that will occur in the period in which the referential interest rate is established, this can cause a loss of social welfare. To analyze the problem, a model is proposed where the central bank minimizes a loss function. When there is perfect certainty, an efficient frontier between the variances of inflation and output is reached. With uncertainty the result is inefficient. This implies the need to discuss whether it would be convenient for the interest rate to be set contingently. The main limitation of the work is perhaps that the model used makes a large number of abstractions, which allows it to be functional, but can leave out important aspects of reality. There seems to be very few papers, in any, that deal with the problem addressed in this work

Monetary Policy Pass-through, Ownership and Crisis: How Robust is the Indian Evidence?

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 456-483
Author(s):  
Jugnu Ansari ◽  
Saibal Ghosh
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Loan Pricing ◽  
Lending Channel ◽  
Private Banks ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
Pass Through ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Employing disaggregated data for 2001–2016, this study investigates the lending and loan pricing behaviour of state-owned and domestic private banks in response to monetary policy. Three major findings emerge. First, although both the interest rate and the bank lending channels are relevant for monetary pass-through, there is a trade-off: the impact of the former is much higher than the latter, although it occurs with a significant lag. Second, domestic private banks have a far greater response to a monetary policy shock under the interest rate channel, whereas state-owned banks display a greater response under the bank-lending channel. And finally, state-owned banks cut back lending during periods of crises, although no such response is manifest in domestic private banks. JEL Codes: C23, D4, E43, E52, G21, L10

scholarly journals The Effect of Bank Heterogeneity on the Interest Rate Channel in Lebanon

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-95
Author(s):  
Ali Awdeh ◽  
Zouhour Jomaa ◽  
Mohamad Kassem
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Market Power ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Loan Supply ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Transmission Of Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate Channel

AbstractThe effect of bank heterogeneity on the transmission of monetary policy is capturing an increasing attention, and the debate on how bank specific characteristics may determine their reaction to monetary actions is mounting. This paper participates in this flow of research by studying the reaction of 40 banks operating in Lebanon between 1994 and 2017, to a change in lending interest rate, taking into consideration: size, market power, capitalisation, credit risk, and liquidity. The empirical results show that the impact of a change in interest rate on loan supply depends on bank market power and bank liquidity only. Consequently, interest rate channel in Lebanon operates through banks with high market power and banks with high liquidity stocks.

Examining the Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy in India

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 290-314 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeevan Kumar Khundrakpam
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Government Consumption ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Significant Negative Impact ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

Though an accumulating body of work has analysed monetary policy transmission in India, there are few studies examining the asymmetric aspect of the transmission. Against this backdrop, segregating the interest rate setting process captured by a Taylor rule type into unanticipated and anticipated components, this article analyses the asymmetric effects of monetary policy on aggregate demand and its components, and inflation in India using quarterly data from 1996–97Q1 to 2013–14Q3. It finds that unanticipated hikes and cuts in the policy rate have a symmetric impact on aggregate demand, but differentially impact the components. While the impacts on investment are negative and symmetric, they are asymmetric on private consumption, with only an unanticipated cut in policy rate having a significant negative impact. Government consumption is unaffected by monetary policy shocks. The impact of unanticipated interest rate changes on inflation is negative and symmetric. Anticipated policy rate changes also have a negative impact on aggregate demand and its components, except for government consumption, but between certain levels, such changes are ineffective, indicating a neutral impact. Anticipated policy rate changes have a negative impact on inflation at all levels. JEL Classification: C32, C51, E31, E52

Interest Rate Liberalization and Fiscal Policy in China: A New Keynesian DSGE Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 985-991
Author(s):  
Bing Xu ◽  
◽  
Qiuqin He ◽  
Xiaowen Hu ◽  
Shangfeng Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Crowding Out ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Interest Rate Liberalization ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Positive Effect

By building a new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, we analyze the effect of interest rate liberalization on fiscal policy. First, we find that when the interest rate increases, technology shocks, monetary policy shocks, and fiscal policy shocks can effectively stabilize economic fluctuations. Second, when the interest rate rises, fiscal policy enhances the positive effect on output first, with decreasing the negative effect on output later. Third, fiscal policy increases the original crowding-out effect on consumption and investment. However, this increase in the crowding-out effect does not restrain the positive effect of fiscal policy on output, which benefits from interest rate liberalization.

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