scholarly journals New Keynesian Liquidity Trap and Conventional Fiscal Stance: An Estimated DSGE Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 152-169
Author(s):  
Olatunji Abdul Shobande ◽  
Oladimeji Tomiwa Shodipe
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
The United States ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Transmission Channel ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Liquidity Trap ◽  
Exogenous Shock ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables

Abstract The study investigates the effect of New Keynesian liquidity trap on fiscal stance in the United States, United Kingdom and Japan economies. We developed our DSGE model in the context of an optimal and persistent interactive fiscal policy, which allows us to track the transmission channel through which shocks are distributed among real economic variables. The evidence suggests that zero lower bound mitigates the ability of monetary policy to absorb the effect of exogenous shock on the macroeconomic variables while expansionary fiscal policy was able to absorb the shock persistence transmitted from the nominal interest rate.

War and the Next Lesson

Money ◽  
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Kenneth Galbraith ◽  
James K. Galbraith
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
World War Ii ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
World War I ◽  
Great Depression ◽  
The United States ◽  
World War ◽  
John Maynard Keynes ◽  
The Great Depression

This chapter examines the lessons of World War II with respect to money and monetary policy. World War I exposed the fragility of the monetary structure that had gold as its foundation, the great boom of the 1920s showed how futile monetary policy was as an instrument of restraint, and the Great Depression highlighted the ineffectuality of monetary policy for rescuing the country from a slump—for breaking out of the underemployment equilibrium once this had been fully and firmly established. On the part of John Maynard Keynes, the lesson was that only fiscal policy ensured not just that money was available to be borrowed but that it would be borrowed and would be spent. The chapter considers the experiences of Britain, Germany, and the United States with a lesson of World War II: that general measures for restraining demand do not prevent inflation in an economy that is operating at or near capacity.

scholarly journals Fiscal and monetary policy in new Keynesian DSGE models

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Πέτρος Βαρθαλίτης
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Models ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy

This thesis is about monetary and fiscal policy in New Keynesian DSGE models. Chapter 2 presents the baseline New Keynesian DSGE model. Monetary policy is in the form of a simple interest rate Taylor-type policy rule, while fiscal policy is exogenous. Chapter 3 extends the model of Chapter 2 to include fiscal policy. Now, both monetary and fiscal policy are allowed to follow feedback rules. Chapter 4 sets up a New Keynesian model of a semi-small open economy with sovereign risk premia. Finally, Chapter 5 builds a New Keynesian DSGE model consisting of two heterogeneous countries participating in a monetary union.Throughout most of the thesis, policy is conducted via "simple", "implementable" and "optimized" feedback policy rules. Using such rules, the aim of policy is twofold: firslty, it aims to stabilize the economy when the latter is hit by shocks; secondly, it aims to improve the economy's resource allocation.

Reaganomics and Credibility

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas J. Sargent
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Dynamic Game ◽  
The United States ◽  
Government Finance ◽  
Government Deficits ◽  
Formal Definitions ◽  
Patterns Of Behavior ◽  
Broad Framework

This chapter examines the monetary and fiscal authorities of a single country as a “team” and judges their patterns of behavior against standards absorbed from the sports pages. This view provides a broad framework for summarizing classic doctrines and controversies in government finance, and also serves as a basis for criticizing the way in which monetary policy as well as fiscal policy have been coordinated de facto in the United States over the last several years. The chapter first considers a few formal definitions of concepts that will help to clarify the analogy between the quarterback-end problem and the monetary-fiscal problem. It then discusses an economy as a dynamic game and whether government deficits are inflationary. Finally, it explores whether Reaganomics was credible.

Evolving Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix in the United States

2012 ◽  
Vol 102 (3) ◽  
pp. 167-172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francesco Bianchi
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Regime Change ◽  
The United States ◽  
Policy Mix ◽  
Structural Shocks ◽  
Regime Changes ◽  
The Law ◽  
Fiscal Authority

A micro-founded model that allows for changes in the monetary/fiscal policy mix and in the volatility of structural shocks is fit to US post-WWII data. Agents are aware of the possibility of regime changes and their beliefs have an impact on the law of motion of the macroeconomy. The results show that the '60s and the '70s were characterized by a prolonged period of active fiscal policy and passive monetary policy. The appointment of Volcker marked a change in the conduct of monetary policy, but it took almost ten years for the fiscal authority to start accommodating this regime change.

scholarly journals Understanding HANK: Insights From a PRANK

Econometrica ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 88 (3) ◽  
pp. 1113-1158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sushant Acharya ◽  
Keshav Dogra
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Incomplete Markets ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
New Keynesian Model ◽  
Income Risk ◽  
Heterogeneous Agent ◽  
Liquidity Trap ◽  
Forward Guidance ◽  
Keynesian Model

Using an analytically tractable heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model, we show that whether incomplete markets resolve New Keynesian “paradoxes” depends on the cyclicality of income risk. Incomplete markets reduce the effectiveness of forward guidance and multipliers in a liquidity trap only with procyclical risk. Countercyclical risk amplifies these “puzzles.” Procyclical risk permits determinacy under a peg; countercyclical risk may generate indeterminacy even under the Taylor principle. By affecting the cyclicality of risk, even “passive” fiscal policy influences the effects of monetary policy.

scholarly journals Inflation in the Great Recession and New Keynesian Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 168-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marco Del Negro ◽  
Marc P. Giannoni ◽  
Frank Schorfheide
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Great Recession ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Financial Frictions ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Models ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
New Keynesian Models

Several prominent economists have argued that existing DSGE models cannot properly account for the evolution of key macroeconomic variables during and following the recent Great Recession. We challenge this argument by showing that a standard DSGE model with financial frictions available prior to the recent crisis successfully predicts a sharp contraction in economic activity along with a protracted but relatively modest decline in inflation, following the rise in financial stress in 2008:IV. The model does so even though inflation remains very dependent on the evolution of economic activity and of monetary policy. (JEL E12, E31, E32, E37, E44, E52, G01)

MONETARY POLICY AND SUNSPOT FLUCTUATIONS IN THE UNITED STATES AND THE EURO AREA

2012 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasuo Hirose
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Bayesian Techniques ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Substantial Degree

We estimate a two-country open economy version of the New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model for the United States and the Euro area, using Bayesian techniques that allow for both determinacy and indeterminacy of the equilibrium. Empirical analysis shows that the worldwide equilibrium is indeterminate due to a passive monetary policy in the Euro area, even if U.S. policy is aggressive enough. We demonstrate that the impulse responses under indeterminacy exhibit dynamics different from those under determinacy and that sunspot shocks affect the Euro economy to a substantial degree, whereas the transmission of sunspots to the United States is limited.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document