scholarly journals Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment of the Tunisian dinar

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bouzid Amaira
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Adjustment ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Equilibrium Exchange Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Trade And Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

In the Tunisian context, the issue of the misalignment of the real exchange rate has arisen for some time for some reason, a question that has intensified after the adoption of the floating regime. In this article, we will look at the assessment of the effects, if any, of the misalignment of the real effective exchange rate (REER) to its equilibrium value over the period from 1986 to 2015. The results show that the equilibrium level of the long-run exchange rate depends on productivity, the terms of trade and government spending. Two sub-periods are noted, that of a positive mismatch (undervaluation) from 1986 to 2003 followed by another negative mismatch (overvaluation) from 2004 to 2015. Such a result can be explained by the orientation of Tunisia towards the flexibility of the real exchange rate which in turn is likely to reduce the degree of imbalance of the real exchange rate. Similarly, the Tunisian authorities must adopt gradual reforms in their decisions on liberalization and financial integration and they are called upon to strengthen their trade and exchange policies to meet the challenge of the new international financial architecture. Finally, concerning the misalignment, we found the difference between the observed exchange rate and the equilibrium exchange rate is very low, especially since the implementation of the structural adjustment plan.

scholarly journals Real exchange rate behaviour and economic growth: evidence from Sierra Leone

2011 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abu Tarawalie
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Sierra Leone ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Real ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The main focus of this paper is to examine the impact of the real effective exchange rate on economic growth in Sierra Leone. First an analytical framework is developed to identify the determinants of the real effective exchange rate. Using quarterly data and employing recent econometric techniques, the relationship between the real effective exchange rate and economic growth is then investigated. A bivariate Granger causality test was also employed as part of the methodology to examine the causal relationship between the real exchange rate and economic growth. The empirical results suggest that the real effective exchange rate correlates positively with economic growth, with a statistically significant coefficient. The results also indicate that monetary policy is relatively more effective than fiscal policy in the long run, and evidence of the real effective exchange rate causing economic growth was profound. In addition, the results showed that terms of trade, exchange rate devaluation, investment to GDP ratio and an excessive supply of domestic credit were the main determinants of the real exchange rate in Sierra Leone.

scholarly journals Searching for long-range dependence in real effective exchange rate: towards parity?

2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 821-857 ◽  
Author(s):  
André M. Marques ◽  
Fábio Pesavento
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
The Real ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

Abstract After the widespread adoption of flexible exchange rate regime since 1973 the volatility of the exchange rate has increased, as a consequence of greater trade openness and financial integration. As a result, it has become difficult to find evidence of the purchasing power parity hypothesis (PPP). This study investigates the possibility of a fall in the persistence of the real exchange rate as a consequence of the financial and commercial integration by employing monthly real effective exchange rate dataset provided by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Beginning with an exploratory data analysis in the frequency domain, the fractional coefficient d was estimated employing the bias-reduced estimator on a sample of 20 countries over the period ranging from 1975 to 2011. As the main novelty, this study applies a bias-reduced log-periodogram regression estimator instead of the traditional method proposed by GPH which eliminates the first and higher orders biases by a data-dependent plug-in method for selecting the number of frequencies to minimize asymptotic mean-squared error (MSE). Additionally, this study also estimates a moving window of fifteen years to observe the path of the fractional coefficient in each country. No evidence was found of a statistically significant change in the persistence of the real exchange rate.

scholarly journals Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate and Misalignment: The Sierra Leone Perspective

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Abu Bakarr TARAWALIE
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Sierra Leone ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

This paper estimates the equilibrium real effective exchange rate and determine the level of exchange rate misalignment in Sierra Leone, for the period 1980 to 2018. The paper utilizes the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate methodology within the Johansen maximum likelihood framework to estimate the long run equilibrium real effective exchange rate. The unit root test result shows that all the variables are integrated of order one, whilst the cointegration test establishes the existence of one cointegrating vector as evidenced by both the Trace and Maximum Eigen Statistics. The normalized long run results reveal that openness, government expenditure and money supply were the most significant determinants of the real effective exchange rate in the long run. Furthermore, the findings reveal that the real effective exchange rate experienced sustained deviation from the long run equilibrium real effective exchange rate during the study period, with episodes of overvaluation and undervaluation. Specifically, the real effective exchange rate was overvalued by 3.69 percent during the period between 1980-1985; undervalued by 1.8 percent between 1986-1997, and overvalued by 0.9 percent between 1998-2004, Thus, the paper reveals episodes of misalignment of the real effective exchange rate. Based on these findings, the study recommends that, the monetary authorities should ensure stability of the exchange rate and maintain price stability, through sterilization of capital flows as well as contain money growth within the statutory limit.

scholarly journals Portfolio Investment Flows, GDP, and Investment in Brazil

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Roberto Meurer
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Production Costs ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Portfolio Investment ◽  
The Real ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

Foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows have grown substantially in recent decades, following changes in the international financial system. In Brazil, FPI represented 66% of foreign direct investment between 1995 and 2009, which makes it meaningful to analyze these flows. In this paper, the relationships between FPI flows to Brazil, GDP, investment, and financial variables from 1995 to 2009 are analyzed, employing quarterly data and applying descriptive statistics, correlation coefficients, and Granger causality tests. Results show a positive relationship between flows, GDP, and investment. Relationships between flows and financial variables show a strong relationship between FPI and the real effective exchange rate, which could be one of the channels through which the flows are related to real variables by means of changes in relative domestic and foreign production costs. Expectations about future behavior of the economy seem to be an important explanation for the relationship between flows and the real variables. Because FPI is volatile and this volatility relates to real variables through the real effective exchange rate and the interest rate, there is a case to be made for the implementation of capital controls.

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