scholarly journals ECONOMIC POLICY TO OVERCOME STAGNATION AFTER THE FINANCIAL CRISIS

2021 ◽  
pp. 112-118
Author(s):  
V. D. Kuligin
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Market Mechanism ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activity ◽  
Monetary Incentives ◽  
Liquidity Trap ◽  
Downward Spiral ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The article considers the downward spiral of deflation, its causes and consequences. The paper discusses the compression of aggregate demand and the subsequent recession. The study discloses the content of the liquidity trap created by the behavior of borrowers. The author traces the connection between the events of the “lost decades” in Japan and the stagnation of production in leading Western countries after the global financial crisis. In both cases, the large-scale use of fiscal and monetary incentives did not cause a sharp rise in business activity. The paper concludes that the operation of the market mechanism is blocked by budget and monetary policies. Obstacles to entrepreneurial activity and energy lead to the loss of necessary information generated by market agents. This circumstance prolongs the stagnation of the economy.

Financial distress determinants among SMEs: empirical evidence from Sweden

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 547-560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darush Yazdanfar ◽  
Peter Öhman
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to empirically investigate determinants of financial distress among small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) during the global financial crisis and post-crisis periods.Design/methodology/approachSeveral statistical methods, including multiple binary logistic regression, were used to analyse a longitudinal cross-sectional panel data set of 3,865 Swedish SMEs operating in five industries over the 2008–2015 period.FindingsThe results suggest that financial distress is influenced by macroeconomic conditions (i.e. the global financial crisis) and, in particular, by various firm-specific characteristics (i.e. performance, financial leverage and financial distress in previous year). However, firm size and industry affiliation have no significant relationship with financial distress.Research limitationsDue to data availability, this study is limited to a sample of Swedish SMEs in five industries covering eight years. Further research could examine the generalizability of these findings by investigating other firms operating in other industries and other countries.Originality/valueThis study is the first to examine determinants of financial distress among SMEs operating in Sweden using data from a large-scale longitudinal cross-sectional database.

scholarly journals Confidence in future monetary policy as a way to overcome the liquidity trap

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 117-135
Author(s):  
Olga Kuznetsova ◽  
Sergey Merzlyakov ◽  
Sergey Pekarski
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Time Consistency ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Time Inconsistency ◽  
Liquidity Trap ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The global financial crisis of 2007–2009 has changed the landscape for monetary policy. Many central banks in developed economies had to employ various unconventional policy tools to overcome a liquidity trap. These included large-scale asset purchase programs, forward guidance and negative interest rate policies. While recently, some central banks were able to return to conventional monetary policy, for many countries the effectiveness of unconventional policies remains an issue. In this paper we assess diverse practices of unconventional monetary policy with a particular focus on expectations and time consistency. The principal aspect of successful policy in terms of overcoming a liquidity trap is the confidence that interest rates will remain low for a prolonged period. However, forming such expectations faces the problem of time inconsistency of optimal policy. We discuss some directions to solve this problem.

The Global Financial Crisis: what have we learned so far?

2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 134-161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karyn L. Neuhauser
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Financial Assets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Number Of Citations

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide a cohesive review of the major findings in the literature concerning the Global Financial Crisis. Design/methodology/approach – Papers published in top-rated finance and economics journal since the crisis up to the present were reviewed. A large number of these were selected for inclusion, primarily based on the number of citations they had received adjusted for the amount of time elapsed since their publication, but also partly based on how well they fit in with the narrative. Findings – Much has been done to investigate the causes of the Global Financial Crisis, its effects on various aspects of the financial system, and the effectiveness of regulatory measures undertaken to restore the financial system. While more remains to be done, the existing body of research paints an interesting picture of what happened and why it happened, describes the interrelationships between the mortgage markets and financial markets created by the large scale securitization of financial assets, identifies the problems created by these inter-linkages and offers possible solutions, and assesses the effectiveness of the regulatory response to the crisis. Originality/value – This study summarizes a vast amount of literature using a framework that allows the reader to quickly absorb a large amount of information as well as identify specific works that they may wish to examine more closely. By providing a picture of what has been done, it may also assist the reader in identifying areas that should be the subject of future research.

scholarly journals Two Major Economic Crises in the Early Twenty-First Century and their Impact on Central Bank Independence

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marek Dabrowski
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
First Century ◽  
Economic Crises ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Early Twenty ◽  
Twenty First Century ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Abstract Two major economic crises in the early twenty-first century have had a serious impact on monetary policy and CB independence. Disruption in financial intermediation and associated deflationary pressures caused by the global financial crisis of 2007–2009 and European financial crisis of 2010–2015 pushed central banks (CBs) in major currency areas towards adoption of unconventional monetary policy measures, including large-scale purchase of government bonds (quantitative easing). The same approach has been taken by CBs in response to the COVID-19 crisis in 2020 even if the characteristics of this crisis differ from the previous one. As a result of both crises, CBs have become major holders of government bonds and de facto – main creditors of governments. Against rapidly deteriorating fiscal balances, CBs have become hostages of fiscal policies, which compromises their independence. Risks to the CB independence also come from their additional mandates (beyond price stability) and populist political pressures.

scholarly journals DAMPAK KRISIS KEUANGAN GLOBAL TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN DAERAH

2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andry Prasmuko ◽  
Donni Fajar Anugrah
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Major Effect ◽  
Macro Model ◽  
Simulation Results ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Simultaneous Model

This paper discusses the impact of global financial crisis to the Indonesia's economy by using the simultaneous macro model approach.The analysis and simulation results of such model show that the impact of the global financial crisis is dominantly distributed through the trade line, which decreases the regional output.To the components of aggregate demand, the movement of exchange rate has major effect to the exports and imports, whereas to the consumption and investment, it gives relatively small effect.The impact of external shock, which causes the depreciation of Rupiah, is relatively small to the increase of inflation.JEL classification: C32, E44Keywords:Financial crisis, simultaneous model, Indonesia.

Financial crisis and SME capital structure: Swedish empirical evidence

2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (4) ◽  
pp. 925-941 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darush Yazdanfar ◽  
Peter Öhman ◽  
Saeid Homayoun
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically examine capital structure determinants of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) during and after the global financial crisis. Design/methodology/approach Statistical methods, including ordinary least squares and the generalised method of moments, were used to analyse a sample of over 40,800 Swedish SMEs operating in four industries during the 2008–2015 period. Findings The results indicate that the independent variables – i.e. financial crisis, profitability, size, tangibility and industry affiliation – to various degrees explain changes in short-term debt (STD) and long-term debt (LTD) ratios. In particular, the empirical findings indicate that the sampled SMEs tended to rely more on STD and LTD during (2008–2009) than after (2010–2015) the financial crisis. Research limitations/implications Due to data availability, the current study is limited to a sample of Swedish SMEs in four industries covering eight years. Further research could examine the generalisability of these findings by investigating other firms operating in other industries and other countries. Originality/value This study is one of few examining determinants of short- and long-term SME debt during and after the global financial crisis, using data from a large-scale cross-sectional database.

scholarly journals Access to bank finance for UK SMEs in the wake of the recent financial crisis

2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 903-932 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Cowling ◽  
Weixi Liu ◽  
Ning Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Small Business ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Credit Rationing ◽  
Economic Downturn ◽  
Content Type ◽  
External Finance ◽  
Risk Rating ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate how entrepreneurs demand for external finance changed as the economy continued to be mired in its third and fourth years of the global financial crisis (GFC) and whether or not external finance has become more difficult to access as the recession progressed. Design/methodology/approach Using a large-scale survey data on over 30,000 UK small- and medium-sized enterprises between July 2011 and March 2013, the authors estimate a series of conditional probit models to empirically test the determinants of the supply of, and demand for external finance. Findings Older firms and those with a higher risk rating, and a record of financial delinquency, were more likely to have a demand for external finance. The opposite was true for women-led businesses and firms with positive profits. In general finance was more readily available to older firms post-GFC, but banks were very unwilling to advance money to firms with a high-risk rating or a record of any financial delinquency. It is estimated that a maximum of 42,000 smaller firms were denied credit, which was significantly lower than the peak of 119,000 during the financial crisis. Originality/value This paper provides timely evidence that adds to the general understanding of what really happens in the market for small business financing three to five years into an economic downturn and in the early post-GFC period, from both a demand and supply perspective. This will enable the authors to consider what the potential impacts of credit rationing on the small business sector are and also identify areas where government action might be appropriate.

The impact of the global financial crisis on Moroccan exports: a gravity model approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 102-115
Author(s):  
Abdelmounaim Lahrech ◽  
Anass Faribi ◽  
Husam-Aldin N. Al-Malkawi ◽  
Kevin Sylwester
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Gravity Model ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Export Performance ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Model Framework ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of the global financial crisis (GFC) on Morocco’s export performance employing a gravity model framework. Design/methodology/approach The authors investigate trade flows between Morocco and its 18 major trading partners from 2001 to 2015. The authors employ a trade gravity model using a first-order Taylor approximation of multilateral resistance terms and estimate by OLS and PPML. Findings Morocco’s export performance was affected by the GFC. The authors find evidence that the fall in aggregate demand from Morocco’s trading partners, particularly in Europe, led to a fall in its exports. The authors also find that Morocco’s exports are positively correlated with the market size of its partner but negatively associated with distance. Originality/value This study contributes to the literature in two distinct ways. First, it examines variables affecting export performance in one of the emerging markets in the Middle East and North Africa region. Second, it assesses empirically whether there is a relationship between the GFC and the decline in Moroccan exports. The study also provides a number of important implications for policy makers and academics.

Just one Damned Thing After Another: Towards an Event-based Perspective of Entrepreneurship

2021 ◽  
pp. 104225872110617
Author(s):  
Andreas Rauch ◽  
Willem Hulsink
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Natural Disasters ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Entrepreneurial Activity ◽  
Causal Mechanisms ◽  
Systematic Description ◽  
Produce Change ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Event Based

Although events such as the global financial crisis, natural disasters, or the COVID-19 pandemic have large impacts on entrepreneurship, the literature lacks a differentiated analysis of such events. This editorial highlights the importance of events which are discrete and bounded in space and time, unexpected, and strong enough to produce change that can lead to subsequent events. An event based approach is well suited to integrate context and time to predict entrepreneurial activity. We provide a more systematic description of events, their characteristics, and causal mechanisms to allow more holistic and generalizable analysis of the role of events in entrepreneurship.

scholarly journals Unconventional U.S. Monetary Policy: New Tools, Same Channels?

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Feldkircher ◽  
Florian Huber
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Extended Period ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Distinct Pattern ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy Shock ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

In this paper, we compare the transmission of a conventional monetary policy shock with that of an unexpected decrease in the term spread, which mirrors quantitative easing. Employing a time-varying vector autoregression with stochastic volatility, our results are two-fold: First, the spread shock works mainly through a boost to consumer wealth growth, while a conventional monetary policy shock affects real output growth via a broad credit/bank lending channel. Second, both shocks exhibit a distinct pattern over our sample period. More specifically, we find small output effects of a conventional monetary policy shock during the period of the global financial crisis and stronger effects in its aftermath. This might imply that when the central bank has left the policy rate unaltered for an extended period of time, a policy surprise might boost output particularly strongly. By contrast, the spread shock has affected output growth most strongly during the period of the global financial crisis and less so thereafter. This might point to diminishing effects of large-scale asset purchase programs.

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