scholarly journals The Nexus among External Debt and Economic Growth: Evidence from South Asia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sasindu Wanniarachchi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asia ◽  
Cross Sections ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Research Strategy ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Savings Rate

Over the past few years, external debt positions of South Asian economies have increased to alarming levels, indicating that those countries are more likely to be exposed to a debt crisis. Given the low domestic savings rate of these economies, they are increasingly compelled to invest significant resources in public infrastructure in order to maintain sustainable growth momentum. At the same time, those countries are invited to enrich by integrating with global synergies in the fields of maritime, trade, and financial initiatives. However, as the recent controversy over the debt-growth association is inconclusive to date; preserving the external debt exposures at an optimal level is incumbent. Consequently, this study reviews annual observations of independent cross-sections of South Asia during the period 1981-2017 in order to find the external debt-growth relationship. In addition, the quantitative research strategy used to measure the expected outcomes primarily consists of panel ARDL specifications. On aggregate levels of data, the results suggest that there is a statistically significant negative association between external debt and economic growth. Also, it has been observed that a significant nonlinear relationship exists in relation to lower-middle income countries.

scholarly journals The problem of economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Senanu Kwasi Klutse
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Savings Rate ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Sub Saharan ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

A wide range of policy-related variables have a persistent influence on economic growth. This has consistently maintained the interest of economists on the determinants of economic growth over the years. There is consensus however that for countries to grow sustainably, a lot of stall must be placed on higher savings rate as this makes it easy for such countries to grow faster because they endogenously allocate more resources to inventive activities. Due to data difficulties in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) it is nearly impossible for one to consider important variables such as accumulation of knowledge and human capital when analysing growth sustainability. Studying four lower middle-income countries in SSA – Ghana, Republic of Congo, Kenya and Lesotho – this study tests the hypothesis of sustainable growth by using a Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS) model to examine the relationship between savings, investment, budget deficit and the growth variable. The results showed that savings had a significant but negative relationship with the GDP per capita (PPP). A Granger Causality test conducted showed that savings does not granger cause GDP per capita (PPP), the HDI index, deficit and investment. This leads to the conclusion that growth in these countries are not sustainable. The study recommends that policy makers focus on the savings variable if these countries will want to achieve sustainable growth.

Linkages between Financial Development and Economic Growth in the Middle-Income Countries of South Asia: A Panel Data Investigation

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 140-150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajesh Sharma ◽  
Pradeep Kautish
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asia ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

The present study intends to investigate the impact of financial sector development on GDP growth in the four middle-income countries of South Asia over the period of 1990–2016. Using pooled mean group (PMG) estimation, this study tries to examine whether in these developing countries, GDP growth has been influenced by size of market capitalization and size of market turnover in the long run which are used as proxy for stock market development. Similarly, domestic credit to private sector is used as proxy for banking sector development while assessing its long-run impact on GDP growth. Furthermore, by incorporating a dummy variable for the global financial crisis (2007–2008), this study investigates whether these economies are vulnerable to external shocks or not. The outcomes of this study find that relatively, the impact of banking sector on GDP growth has remained low in the region. Nevertheless, the development in both sectors has positively influenced economic growth in the long run. The outcomes of this study suggest that both, i.e. stock market and banking sector, are vital determinants of long-run economic growth in the South Asian countries. Therefore, to achieve the sustainable growth, policymakers need to adopt the global approach which can be ensured by improving the quality and scope of financial services in these countries.

scholarly journals Assessing The Role of External Debt in Economic Growth of The Asean-4 Countries: An Empirical Study

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Asian Financial Crisis ◽  
High Accumulation

The Asian Financial Crisis in 1997 witnessed an episode of high accumulation of external debt among the crisis-hit countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand. This leads to the issue of the role played by external debt in stimulating the economies of ASEAN-4 countries. This paper tries to examine the role of external debt in the economies of the ASEAN-4 countries. The results demonstrate that external debt plays a role in improving the economic growth of the ASEAN-4 countries. In addition, the accumulation of external debt is positively associated with Indonesia’s and Thailand’s economic growth up to an optimal level, beyond the optimal level the external debt has inversely contributed to the economy.   Keywords: External debt, ASEAN-4, economic growth.

scholarly journals EXTERNAL DEBT IMPLICATIONS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONAL ECONOMY

2020 ◽  
pp. 32-41
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Research Process ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Republic Of Moldova ◽  
Practical Analysis ◽  
The Republic ◽  
Developing And Developed Countries

The external debt of the Republic of Moldova is increasing constantly. Excessive external debt has been a big problem for both developing and developed countries during the years. Developing countries face this problem more often as they need to borrow to finance their objectives and strengthen the economic growth. It is very important for our country to determine the optimal level of indebtedness that the economy can bear. That is why the external debt should be contracted in strict accordance with the needs of the economy, and borrowed loans should consider the country’s reimbursement capacities to avoid the liquidity or solvency crisis. The scope of this paper is to give a prompt and correct overview of the importance of external debt management and its impact on the economic growth of the country. In the research process, the deduction, based on general theoretical information on the structure, management, external debt and indebtedness assessment, the economic influence policies were used and then passed on to practical analysis using specific indicators.

scholarly journals The impact of savings on economic growth in a developing country (the case of Kosovo)

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Artur Ribaj ◽  
Fitim Mexhuani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Savings Rate ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe correlation between savings and economic growth has been the subject of research for some well-known economists. This study provides further insight on such correlation by examining the case of Kosovo from both a qualitative and quantitative research methodology. The data used was from 2010 to 2017 and has been analyzed using the augmented Dickey-Fuller tests, Johansen cointegration tests, and Ganger causality test. The test of the unit root confirms stationarity, and the regression results showed that deposits have a significant positive impact on Kosovo’s economic growth, because savings stimulate investment, production, and employment and consequently generate greater sustainable economic growth. Furthermore, loans and remittances also help boost the economy of Kosovo through their direct impact on investment. This paper confirms that countries whose national savings rate is high are not dependent on foreign direct investment; consequently, the risk arising from volatile foreign direct investment decreases significantly.

scholarly journals Analisis utang luar negeri, sukuk, inflasi dan tingkat suku bunga terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi indonesia Tahun 2014-2019

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-100
Author(s):  
Septiana Sari ◽  
Fernaldi Anggadha Ratno
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Independent Variables

The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of Foreign Debt (X1), Sukuk (X2), Inflation (X3) and Interest Rate (X4) on Economic Growth (Y). This type of research is quantitative research using regression analysis as data analysis and using secondary data in the form of time series. The data used are monthly data from Foreign Debt, Sukuk, Inflation and Interest Rates and Economic Growth in 2014-2019 Data that has been obtained 72 samples then analyzed using the application tool E-views 9. Based on the results of this study indicate that the partial dependent variable External Debt influences positively and insignificantly, Sukuk positively influences and insignificantly, Inflation influences positively and insignificantly and Interest Rates have a positive and insignificant effect on the independent variables Economic Growth shown through Gross Domestic Product (GDP ).

Impacts Of Capital Flight On Economic Growth In Nigeria

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
pp. 10-46
Author(s):  
OLOYE Martins Ifedayo ◽  
Olatunji Olawale
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Capital Flight ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Foreign Reserve ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
The Government

This study examines the impacts of capital flight on economic growth in Nigeria between 1980 and 2012. The study used co-integration, Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) as its main estimation techniques. The evidence, however, shows that capital flight, foreign reserve, external debt, foreign direct investment and current account balance co-integrate with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Nigeria within the year under study. It was also discovered that capital flight had negative impact on the economy. Based on the empirical findings, it is recommended that the government should create an enabling environment for profitable investment and offer foreign investors attractive incentives as this will reduce the occurrence of capital flight from Nigeria and lead to sustainable growth and development.

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