scholarly journals INVESTASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SUMATERA BARAT

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Growth Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Result Show

The purpose of the research is to know and analysis causality betweeninvesment and economic growth in West Sumatera. We are using invesment andEconomic growth data from 1st quartal 2000 until 4thquartal 2010. We are usingunit root test, cointegration test and granger causality test. The result show thatinvestment and economoic growth have causality effect in West Sumatera.

scholarly journals INVESTASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SUMATERA BARAT

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Growth Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Result Show

The purpose of the research is to know and analysis causality between invesment and economic growth in West Sumatera. We are using invesment and Economic growth data from 1stquartal 2000 until 4thquartal 2010. We are using unit root test, cointegration test and granger causality test. The result show that investment and economoic growth have causality effect in West Sumatera

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth in The United Kingdom: A Granger Causality Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-71
Author(s):  
Samuel Wesiah ◽  
Sixtus Cyprian Onyekwere
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Uk

This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in the UK using quarterly data from 1963q1 to 2015q1. Three variables were used as proxies for financial sector development, namely, ratios of broad money supply to GDP, ratios of private sector credit to GDP and the ratios of stock market capitalization to GDP.  Economic growth was measured using real GDP per capita. In order to achieve stated aim, the study employed the Johansen Cointegration test and the Granger causality test within a vector error correction framework (VEC) to test for the existence (or not) of a long run relationship as well as the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth. The result from the Cointegration test indicates that there is a stable long run equilibrium relationship between financial development and economic growth in the UK. The Granger causality test presents evidence of a bidirectional causality. This suggests that financial development and economic growth are mutually causal, that is, causality runs from both side which is in line with the feedback hypothesis in the literature which argue that financial development and economic growth exhibits a two-way causal relationship. In terms of each individual variable, the study finds that while bank credit to the private sector and stock market capitalisation Granger cause GDP per capita, GDP per capita on the other hand, Granger causes broad money supply.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

scholarly journals ODA and Provincial Economic Growth in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Dang Ngoc Duc ◽  
Do Thi Ngoc Lan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Case Studies ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Focal Point ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test

The focal point of this paper is focused on assessing the causal relationship between ODA and economic growth in the localities of Vietnam. This research uses panel data of ODA and GDP from 63 provinces of Vietnam by using Granger Causality test. The results showed that ODA has a causal effect on economic growth (GDP) and vice versa, economic growth decides to attract ODA in provinces in Vietnam. This result complements studies on the causal relationship between ODA and economic growth using new empirical evidence through case studies in the provinces of Vietnam.

scholarly journals Linear and Nonlinear Causal Relationships Between International Reserves and Economic Growth: Evidence from India

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-59
Author(s):  
Mohammad Kashif ◽  
Satish Kumar Singh ◽  
S. Thiyagarajan ◽  
Abhishek Maheshwari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
International Reserves ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Causal Relationships ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Linear And Nonlinear ◽  
Bds Test

This study investigates linear and nonlinear causal relationships between accumulated international reserves (IR) and economic growth (Econ) in the case of India. The present study is carried out using quarterly data ranging from the period of the first quarter of 1985 to the fourth quarter of 2014. The study used econometric tools such as the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root test, the linear Granger causality test, Johansen’s cointegration test, the Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman (BDS) test and the nonlinear Granger causality test developed by Hiemstra and Jones. The study establishes that there exists a bidirectional linear causality. The Hiemstra and Jones test reveals a bidirectional nonlinear causal relationship between the variables. In light of these results, the study suggests that reserves accumulation can be implemented in India provided that excess of reserves are invested in alternative sources such as economic infrastructure projects and regional infrastructure development.

scholarly journals Human Capital and Economic Growth in Morocco: Evidence from Bayesian Model Averaging

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 167 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Essardi ◽  
Redouane Razzouk
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Bayesian Model ◽  
Bayesian Model Averaging ◽  
Model Averaging ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test

The paper investigates the relationship between human capital and economic growth in Morocco during the period from 1965 to 2015. In order to test this relationship we estimated a growth function using firstly the Johansen multivariate cointegration test and the Granger causality test. Secondly, we used the method of the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) that takes into consideration the uncertainty related to the specification of the model studied. In the theoretical literature, the difficulty of measuring human capital is often stressed. In order to overcome this problem, we use four proxies of human capital: first, we employ the average years of schooling. Second, we use the index of the gap in life expectancy between Morocco and developed countries. Third, we integrate the qualitative aspects of education and health by constructing two composite indicators of human capital using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method.The main results of regression analysis confirm that in the specification of determinants of GDP per worker the average years of total schooling, the life expectancy index and the indicator of quality of health affect positively and significantly level of GDP per worker. However, in the specification of determinants of the growth of the GDP per worker, we found there is no proxy of human capital that affects significantly the growth of the GDP per worker.In addition, the results of Granger causality test show that only the indicator of quality of health that cause the GDP per worker. As well, these results show that the average years of total schooling and the indicator of quality of education cause the growth of GDP per worker. We suggest that the Moroccan authorities should make additional efforts to raise the level of quality of human capital especially in the health sector and increase the productivity of both public and private investment.

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