scholarly journals INVESTASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SUMATERA BARAT

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Growth Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Result Show

The purpose of the research is to know and analysis causality between invesment and economic growth in West Sumatera. We are using invesment and Economic growth data from 1stquartal 2000 until 4thquartal 2010. We are using unit root test, cointegration test and granger causality test. The result show that investment and economoic growth have causality effect in West Sumatera

scholarly journals INVESTASI DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI SUMATERA BARAT

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melti Roza Adry
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Growth Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Result Show

The purpose of the research is to know and analysis causality betweeninvesment and economic growth in West Sumatera. We are using invesment andEconomic growth data from 1st quartal 2000 until 4thquartal 2010. We are usingunit root test, cointegration test and granger causality test. The result show thatinvestment and economoic growth have causality effect in West Sumatera.

scholarly journals Coal consumption and economic growth nexus: Evidence from bootstrap panel Granger causality test

2017 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-271 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Anoruo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Coal Consumption ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Growth Series ◽  
Panel Granger Causality

This paper explores the causal relationship between coal consumption and economic growth for a panel of 15 African countries using bootstrap panel Granger causality test. Specifically, this paper uses the Phillips-Perron unit root test to ascertain the order of integration for the coal consumption and economic growth series. A bootstrap panel Granger causality test is employed to determine the direction of causality between coal consumption and economic growth. The results provide evidence of unidirectional causality from economic growth to coal consumption. This finding implies that coal conservation measures may be implemented with little or no adverse impact on economic growth for the sample countries as a group.

scholarly journals Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Nepal

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-80
Author(s):  
Shiva Prasad Pokharel ◽  
Bishnu Prasad Pokharel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Capital Formation ◽  
Causality Test

 This paper aims to investigate the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on the economic growth of Nepal for the period 2008/09 to 2017/18 A.D. yearly data. It evaluated the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) performance and the trends of FDI and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) in Nepal. To demonstrate the relationship between Nepalese Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Gross Fix Capital Formation (GFCF) Multiple-Regression-Model has been applied along with various econometrics techniques such as Unit-Root Test, Granger-Causality Test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). GDP in this model is used as dependent variable whereas FDI and GFCF are measured as independent variables. According to the results, Unit Root Test indicated that all the variables included in the model were not stationary at level except FDI, whereas GDP and GFCF are stationary at first difference. The model is overall significant with the positive and significant relationship of GDP, FDI and GFCF. Result also indicate a good fit for the model with R2=86%. The Granger Causality Test revealed that there was no causality between the variables since all p-value obtained are more than 5%. Based on the empirical result of this paper, policy recommendation proposed that for Nepal to generate more foreign direct investment, hard work should be made at solving problems of government involvement in business; relative closed economy; corruption; weak public institutions; and poor external image, and political instability.

scholarly journals Dynamic linkage between nifty-fifty and sectorial indices of national stock exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 17-27
Author(s):  
Kamaljit Singh ◽  
Vinod Kumar
Keyword(s):  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Service Sector ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Financial Service ◽  
Causality Test

The main objective of this paper is to analyze the trend and pattern of the Nifty-Fifty and sectorial indices. An attempt has been also made to find out the causal relationship among the Nifty-Fifty and NSE sectorial Indices. The unit root test and Granger-causality test has been applied to check the causal relationship between Nifty-Fifty and sectorial indices. The finding of the study shows that the financial service sector had performed better and followed by the banking sector among all the indices while the Pharma sector and the Realty sector were Under-performed in comparison to other indices. The Nifty-Fifty has been found less volatile in comparison to other sectorial indices however Realty sector indices show the highest volatility during the study period.

scholarly journals Linear and Nonlinear Causal Relationships Between International Reserves and Economic Growth: Evidence from India

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-59
Author(s):  
Mohammad Kashif ◽  
Satish Kumar Singh ◽  
S. Thiyagarajan ◽  
Abhishek Maheshwari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
International Reserves ◽  
Infrastructure Development ◽  
Causal Relationships ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Linear And Nonlinear ◽  
Bds Test

This study investigates linear and nonlinear causal relationships between accumulated international reserves (IR) and economic growth (Econ) in the case of India. The present study is carried out using quarterly data ranging from the period of the first quarter of 1985 to the fourth quarter of 2014. The study used econometric tools such as the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) unit root test, the linear Granger causality test, Johansen’s cointegration test, the Brock, Dechert and Scheinkman (BDS) test and the nonlinear Granger causality test developed by Hiemstra and Jones. The study establishes that there exists a bidirectional linear causality. The Hiemstra and Jones test reveals a bidirectional nonlinear causal relationship between the variables. In light of these results, the study suggests that reserves accumulation can be implemented in India provided that excess of reserves are invested in alternative sources such as economic infrastructure projects and regional infrastructure development.

scholarly journals The Role of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Economic Growth in Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. g11-17
Author(s):  
Tien Siew
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between the inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and economic growth in Malaysia. The sample collected for this empirical study covered 30 years of data from 1991 to 2020. The secondary data was collected annually and a total of 30 observations were taken for each variable. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression, unit root test, several diagnostic tests and Granger causality test were used in this research to investigate the relationship between FDI inflows and economic growth. Eviews 11 was used to analyze the time series data throughout all the tests. The result showed that the inflows of FDI has a significant negative relationship with economic growth and there is no causal relationship between FDI and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Keywords: Economic growth, FDI inflows, Granger Causality Test, Ordinary Least Square regression, Unit Root Test

scholarly journals PENGUJIAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI DENGAN RETURN PASAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA : SEBUAH PENDEKATAN VECTOR AUTO

Media Ekonomi ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Anggi Hapsari Nurullita
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
Auto Regression

<p>Indicators of macroeconomic have major impact on capital markets in general and stocks in particular. Influence of these indicators can be positive or negative. Vector Auto Regression (VAR) is a method of analysis used to predict the time series variable and analyze the dynamic impact factor interference in a system variable. VAR analysis is very useful to assess the linkages between economic variables. This research aims to see the influence of iIndicators of macroeconomic such as the exchange rate (EXCHANGE), interest rate Bank Central of Indonesia Certificates (SBI) and rate of inflation (INFLATION) to market return (REIHSG) in Indonesian Stock Exchange in the period 2004:1-2011:10. Data obtained from the Monthly Stock Price Index Statistics JSX. This research appllying several stages of testing as follows: unit root test, the optimal lag test, Granger causality test and Vector Auto Regression model (VAR). The results of unit root test in this study suggests that the data used for processing in the first degree and VAR Granger test because only the stationary stock index return variable in zero degree (level). On the test results suggested the optimal lag is the lag 3. On the Granger causality test is known that the Granger test variable rate (EXCHANGE) has a one-way impact or the exchange rate (EXCHANGE) affect market return (REIHSG) interest rate of Bank Central of Indonesia Certificates (SBI) and the rate of inflation (INFLATION) has a two direction or impact mutual Causality. These results indicate that there is a weak Granger causality between interest rates Bank Central of Indonesia Certificates (SBI) and rate of inflation (INFLATION) to market return (REIHSG).<br />Keywords: Vector Auto Regressive (VAR), Macroeconomic, Granger Causality, IHSG stock return</p>

scholarly journals Co-integration analysis with structural breaks: South Africa’s gold mining index and USD/ZAR exchange rate

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 109-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Retius Chifurira ◽  
Knowledge Chinhamu ◽  
Dorah Dubihlela
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Gold Mining ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Breaking Points

This paper examines the presence of cointegration between South African gold mining index and USD/ZAR exchange rate. The results show that gold index and USD/ZAR exchange rate series are both I(1) and are cointegrated. The Granger causality test shows a two-way directional causality between gold index and USD/ZAR exchange rate for the period 9 June 2005-9 June 2015. By accounting for possible structural breaks, the Zivot-Andrews unit root test suggests two different breaking points in the data. By using the breaking dates to divide the dataset into 3 sub-periods, the results show that gold index and USD/ZAR exchange rate series are not cointegrated. The Granger causality test shows no causality between the two variables. This finding suggests that gold mining index does not play a key role in explaining the trends in the exchange rate and likewise exchange rate does not affect gold mining index. Keywords: USD/ZAR exchange rate, gold mining index, unit root tests, breaking points, cointegration. JEL Classification: F3, F4, F63, O47

scholarly journals The Relationship Between Financial Development and Economic Growth in The United Kingdom: A Granger Causality Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-71
Author(s):  
Samuel Wesiah ◽  
Sixtus Cyprian Onyekwere
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Gdp Per Capita ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
The Uk

This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in the UK using quarterly data from 1963q1 to 2015q1. Three variables were used as proxies for financial sector development, namely, ratios of broad money supply to GDP, ratios of private sector credit to GDP and the ratios of stock market capitalization to GDP.  Economic growth was measured using real GDP per capita. In order to achieve stated aim, the study employed the Johansen Cointegration test and the Granger causality test within a vector error correction framework (VEC) to test for the existence (or not) of a long run relationship as well as the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth. The result from the Cointegration test indicates that there is a stable long run equilibrium relationship between financial development and economic growth in the UK. The Granger causality test presents evidence of a bidirectional causality. This suggests that financial development and economic growth are mutually causal, that is, causality runs from both side which is in line with the feedback hypothesis in the literature which argue that financial development and economic growth exhibits a two-way causal relationship. In terms of each individual variable, the study finds that while bank credit to the private sector and stock market capitalisation Granger cause GDP per capita, GDP per capita on the other hand, Granger causes broad money supply.

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