scholarly journals Using Psychologically-Informed Priors for Suicide Prediction in the CLPsych 2021 Shared Task

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Avi Gamoran ◽  
Yonatan Kaplan ◽  
Ram Isaac Orr ◽  
Almog Simchon ◽  
michael gilead

This paper describes our approach to theCLPsych 2021 Shared Task, in which weaimed to predict suicide attempts based onTwitter feed data. We addressed this challengeby emphasizing reliance on prior domainknowledge. We engineered novel theory drivenfeatures, and integrated prior knowledgewith empirical evidence in a principledmanner using Bayesian modeling. Whilethis theory-guided approach increases bias andlowers accuracy on the training set, it was successfulin preventing over-fitting. The modelsprovided reasonable classification accuracy onunseen test data (0.68 ≤ AUC ≤ 0.84). Ourapproach may be particularly useful in predictiontasks trained on a relatively small data set.

2012 ◽  
Vol 197 ◽  
pp. 271-277
Author(s):  
Zhu Ping Gong

Small data set approach is used for the estimation of Largest Lyapunov Exponent (LLE). Primarily, the mean period drawback of Small data set was corrected. On this base, the LLEs of daily qualified rate time series of HZ, an electronic manufacturing enterprise, were estimated and all positive LLEs were taken which indicate that this time series is a chaotic time series and the corresponding produce process is a chaotic process. The variance of the LLEs revealed the struggle between the divergence nature of quality system and quality control effort. LLEs showed sharp increase in getting worse quality level coincide with the company shutdown. HZ’s daily qualified rate, a chaotic time series, shows us the predictable nature of quality system in a short-run.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Yapeng Wang ◽  
Ruize Jia ◽  
Chan Tong Lam ◽  
Ka Cheng Choi ◽  
Koon Kei Ng ◽  
...  

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (20) ◽  
pp. 4408 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun-Myung Cho ◽  
Heesu Park ◽  
Suh-Yeon Dong ◽  
Inchan Youn

The goals of this study are the suggestion of a better classification method for detecting stressed states based on raw electrocardiogram (ECG) data and a method for training a deep neural network (DNN) with a smaller data set. We suggest an end-to-end architecture to detect stress using raw ECGs. The architecture consists of successive stages that contain convolutional layers. In this study, two kinds of data sets are used to train and validate the model: A driving data set and a mental arithmetic data set, which smaller than the driving data set. We apply a transfer learning method to train a model with a small data set. The proposed model shows better performance, based on receiver operating curves, than conventional methods. Compared with other DNN methods using raw ECGs, the proposed model improves the accuracy from 87.39% to 90.19%. The transfer learning method improves accuracy by 12.01% and 10.06% when 10 s and 60 s of ECG signals, respectively, are used in the model. In conclusion, our model outperforms previous models using raw ECGs from a small data set and, so, we believe that our model can significantly contribute to mobile healthcare for stress management in daily life.


2014 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 343-349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Che-Jung Chang ◽  
Der-Chiang Li ◽  
Wen-Li Dai ◽  
Chien-Chih Chen

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