scholarly journals The response of a simple Antarctic ice-flow model to temperature and sea-level fluctuations over the Cenozoic era

2007 ◽  
Vol 46 ◽  
pp. 69-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
C.I. Van Tuyll ◽  
R.S.W. Van De Wal ◽  
J. Oerlemans
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Deep Sea ◽  
Flow Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Temperature Record ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Temperature ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
The Antarctic

AbstractAn ice-flow model is used to simulate the Antarctic ice-sheet volume and deep-sea temperature record during Cenozoic times. We used a vertically integrated axisymmetric ice-sheet model, including bedrock adjustment. In order to overcome strong numerical hysteresis effects during climate change, the model is solved on a stretching grid. The Cenozoic reconstruction of the Antarctic ice sheet is accomplished by splitting the global oxygen isotope record derived from benthic foraminifera into an ice-volume and a deep-sea temperature component. The model is tuned to reconstruct the initiation of a large ice sheet of continental size at 34 Ma. The resulting ice volume curve shows that small ice caps (<107 km3) could have existed during Paleocene and Eocene times. Fluctuations during the Miocene are large, indicating a retreat back from the coast and a vanishing ice flux across the grounding line, but with ice volumes still up to 60% of the present-day volume. The resulting deep-sea temperature curve shows similarities with the paleotemperature curve derived from Mg/Ca in benthic calcite from 25 Ma till the present, which supports the idea that the ice volume is well reproduced for this period. Before 34 Ma, the reproduced deep-sea temperature is slightly higher than is generally assumed. Global sea-level change turns out to be of minor importance when considering the Cenozoic evolution of the ice sheet until 5 Ma.

scholarly journals Nonlinear response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to late Quaternary sea level and climate forcing

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 2615-2631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle Tigchelaar ◽  
Axel Timmermann ◽  
Tobias Friedrich ◽  
Malte Heinemann ◽  
David Pollard
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Late Quaternary ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Volume Changes ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Ice ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Global Sea Level ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Antarctic ice volume has varied substantially during the late Quaternary, with reconstructions suggesting a glacial ice sheet extending to the continental shelf break and interglacial sea level highstands of several meters. Throughout this period, changes in the Antarctic Ice Sheet were driven by changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions and global sea level; yet, so far modeling studies have not addressed which of these environmental forcings dominate and how they interact in the dynamical ice sheet response. Here, we force an Antarctic Ice Sheet model with global sea level reconstructions and transient, spatially explicit boundary conditions from a 408 ka climate model simulation, not only in concert with each other but, for the first time, also separately. We find that together these forcings drive glacial–interglacial ice volume changes of 12–14 ms.l.e., in line with reconstructions and previous modeling studies. None of the individual drivers – atmospheric temperature and precipitation, ocean temperatures, or sea level – single-handedly explains the full ice sheet response. In fact, the sum of the individual ice volume changes amounts to less than half of the full ice volume response, indicating the existence of strong nonlinearities and forcing synergy. Both sea level and atmospheric forcing are necessary to create full glacial ice sheet growth, whereas the contribution of ocean melt changes is found to be more a function of ice sheet geometry than climatic change. Our results highlight the importance of accurately representing the relative timing of forcings of past ice sheet simulations and underscore the need for developing coupled climate–ice sheet modeling frameworks that properly capture key feedbacks.

scholarly journals Modelled response of the volume and thickness of the Antarctic ice sheet to the advance of the grounded area

2010 ◽  
Vol 51 (55) ◽  
pp. 41-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fuyuki Saito ◽  
Ayako Abe-Ouchi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Volume Change ◽  
Numerical Experiments ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Shelves ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
The Antarctic

AbstractNumerical experiments are performed for the Antarctic ice sheet to study the sensitivity of the ice volume to variations in the area of grounded ice and to changes in the climate during the most recent deglaciation. The effect of the variations in the grounded area is found to be the major source of changes in the ice volume, while the effect of climate change was minor. The maximum possible contribution of the ice-volume change to sea-level rise during the deglaciation is estimated to be 36 m, which covers most values estimated in previous studies. The effect of the advance of the ice-sheet margin over those regions not connected to the major ice shelves contributes one-third of the total ice-volume change, which is comparable to the effect of the grounding of the Filchner–Ronne Ice Shelf and the contribution of the Ross and Amery Ice Shelves together.

History, mass loss, structure, and dynamic behavior of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 367 (6484) ◽  
pp. 1321-1325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin E. Bell ◽  
Helene Seroussi
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Satellite Measurements ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Mountain Ranges ◽  
West Antarctic ◽  
The Antarctic

Antarctica contains most of Earth’s fresh water stored in two large ice sheets. The more stable East Antarctic Ice Sheet is larger and older, rests on higher topography, and hides entire mountain ranges and ancient lakes. The less stable West Antarctic Ice Sheet is smaller and younger and was formed on what was once a shallow sea. Recent observations made with several independent satellite measurements demonstrate that several regions of Antarctica are losing mass, flowing faster, and retreating where ice is exposed to warm ocean waters. The Antarctic contribution to sea level rise has reached ~8 millimeters since 1992. In the future, if warming ocean waters and increased surface meltwater trigger faster ice flow, sea level rise will accelerate.

scholarly journals Large-Scale Numerical Modelling of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 42-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.F. Budd ◽  
I.N. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Flow Parameters ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Thinning Rate

A large-scale dynamic numerical model of the Antarctic ice sheet has been developed to study its present state of ice flow and mass balance as well as its response to long-term changes of climate or sea-level.The flow of ice over a two-dimensional grid is determined from the ice thickness, the basal shear stress, the bedrock depth, and ice flow parameters derived from velocities of existing ice sheets. The change in ice thickness with time is governed by the continuity equation involving the ice flux divergence and the ice accumulation or ablation. At the ice sheet seaward boundary, a floating criterion and floating ice thinning rate apply. Bedrock depression with a time-delayed response dependent on the history of the ice load is also included.A 61 × 61 point grid with 100 km spacing has been used to represent the ice-sheet surface, bedrock, and accumulation rate. The model has been used to simul a te the growth of the present ice sheet and i ts reaction to changes of sea-level, bedrock depression, accumulation rate, ice flow parameters, and the iceshelf thinning rate.Preliminary results suggest that the present ice sheet is not in equilibrium but rather is still adjusting to changes of these parameters.

Antarctic ice volume for the last 740 ka calculated with a simple ice sheet model

2005 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 281-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. OERLEMANS
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Deep Sea ◽  
Relative Phase ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Temperature History ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
And Sea Level

Fluctuations in the volume of the Antarctic ice sheet for the last 740 ka are calculated by forcing a simple ice sheet model with a sea-level history (from a composite deep sea δ18O record) and a temperature history (from the Dome C deuterium record). Antarctic ice volume reaches maximum values of about 30 × 1015 m3, 3 to 8 ka after glacial maxima [defined as maximum values of the deep sea δ18O record]. Minimum values of ice volume reached in the course of interglacial periods are about 26 × 1015 m3. Most of the time the temperature forcing (larger accumulation) and sea-level forcing (grounding-line retreat) tend to have competing effects. However, towards the end of a glacial cycle, when temperature rises and sea-level is still relatively low, the ice volume reaches a peak. The peak value is very sensitive to the relative phase of the sea-level forcing with respect to the temperature forcing. This is further studied by looking at the response of the model to purely periodic forcings with different relative phase. The large sensitivity of ice sheet size to the phase of the forcings may have some implications for dating of deep ice cores. Care has to be taken by using anchor points from the deep sea record.

scholarly journals ISMIP6 Antarctica: a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 3033-3070 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hélène Seroussi ◽  
Sophie Nowicki ◽  
Antony J. Payne ◽  
Heiko Goelzer ◽  
William H. Lipscomb ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Loss ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Rcp 8.5 ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Ice flow models of the Antarctic ice sheet are commonly used to simulate its future evolution in response to different climate scenarios and assess the mass loss that would contribute to future sea level rise. However, there is currently no consensus on estimates of the future mass balance of the ice sheet, primarily because of differences in the representation of physical processes, forcings employed and initial states of ice sheet models. This study presents results from ice flow model simulations from 13 international groups focusing on the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet during the period 2015–2100 as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). They are forced with outputs from a subset of models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), representative of the spread in climate model results. Simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet contribution to sea level rise in response to increased warming during this period varies between −7.8 and 30.0 cm of sea level equivalent (SLE) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario forcing. These numbers are relative to a control experiment with constant climate conditions and should therefore be added to the mass loss contribution under climate conditions similar to present-day conditions over the same period. The simulated evolution of the West Antarctic ice sheet varies widely among models, with an overall mass loss, up to 18.0 cm SLE, in response to changes in oceanic conditions. East Antarctica mass change varies between −6.1 and 8.3 cm SLE in the simulations, with a significant increase in surface mass balance outweighing the increased ice discharge under most RCP 8.5 scenario forcings. The inclusion of ice shelf collapse, here assumed to be caused by large amounts of liquid water ponding at the surface of ice shelves, yields an additional simulated mass loss of 28 mm compared to simulations without ice shelf collapse. The largest sources of uncertainty come from the climate forcing, the ocean-induced melt rates, the calibration of these melt rates based on oceanic conditions taken outside of ice shelf cavities and the ice sheet dynamic response to these oceanic changes. Results under RCP 2.6 scenario based on two CMIP5 climate models show an additional mass loss of 0 and 3 cm of SLE on average compared to simulations done under present-day conditions for the two CMIP5 forcings used and display limited mass gain in East Antarctica.

Large-Scale Numerical Modelling of the Antarctic Ice Sheet

1982 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 42-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.F. Budd ◽  
I.N. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Flow Parameters ◽  
The Antarctic ◽  
Thinning Rate

A large-scale dynamic numerical model of the Antarctic ice sheet has been developed to study its present state of ice flow and mass balance as well as its response to long-term changes of climate or sea-level.The flow of ice over a two-dimensional grid is determined from the ice thickness, the basal shear stress, the bedrock depth, and ice flow parameters derived from velocities of existing ice sheets. The change in ice thickness with time is governed by the continuity equation involving the ice flux divergence and the ice accumulation or ablation. At the ice sheet seaward boundary, a floating criterion and floating ice thinning rate apply. Bedrock depression with a time-delayed response dependent on the history of the ice load is also included.A 61 × 61 point grid with 100 km spacing has been used to represent the ice-sheet surface, bedrock, and accumulation rate. The model has been used to simul a te the growth of the present ice sheet and i ts reaction to changes of sea-level, bedrock depression, accumulation rate, ice flow parameters, and the iceshelf thinning rate.Preliminary results suggest that the present ice sheet is not in equilibrium but rather is still adjusting to changes of these parameters.

scholarly journals Nonlinear response of the Antarctic ice sheet to Quaternary sea level and climate forcing

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle Tigchelaar ◽  
Axel Timmermann ◽  
Tobias Friedrich ◽  
Malte Heinemann ◽  
David Pollard
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Volume Changes ◽  
Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽  
Glacial Ice ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Modeling Studies ◽  
Global Sea Level ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Antarctic ice volume has varied substantially during the Quaternary, with reconstructions suggesting a glacial ice sheet extending to the continental shelf break, and interglacial sea level highstands of several meters. Throughout this period, changes in the Antarctic ice sheet were driven by changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions and global sea level, yet so far, modeling studies have not addressed which of these environmental forcings dominate, and how they interact in the dynamical ice sheet response. Here we force an Antarctic ice sheet model with global sea level reconstructions and transient, spatially explicit boundary conditions from a 408 ka climate model simulation, not only in concert with each other but, for the first time, also separately. We find that together, these forcings drive glacial-interglacial ice volume changes of 12–14 m SLE, in line with reconstructions and previous modeling studies. None of the individual drivers – atmospheric temperature and precipitation, ocean temperatures, sea level – single-handedly explains the full ice sheet response. In fact, the sum of the individual ice volume changes amounts to less than half of the full ice volume response, indicating the existence of strong nonlinearities and forcing synergy. Both sea level and atmospheric forcing are necessary to create full glacial ice sheet growth, whereas the contribution of ocean melt changes is found to be more a function of ice sheet geometry than climatic change. Our results highlight the importance of accurately representing the relative timing of forcings of past ice sheet simulations, and underscore the need for developing coupled climate-ice sheet modeling frameworks that properly capture key feedbacks.

scholarly journals Antarctic ice volume and deep-sea temperature during the last 50 Myr: a model study

2004 ◽  
Vol 39 ◽  
pp. 13-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Oerlemans
Keyword(s):  
Deep Sea ◽  
Accumulation Rate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Algebraic Expression ◽  
Temperature Record ◽  
Sea Temperature ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Order Of Magnitude

AbstractA simple quasi-analytical model is used to study the sensitivity of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate change. The model is axisymmetrical and has a profile that only depends on the ice-sheet radius. The climatic conditions are represented by three parameters: the altitude of the runoff line, the accumulation rate above the runoff line, and the balance gradient below the runoff line. The ice sheet may extend into the sea. At the grounding line the ice velocity is assumed to be proportional to the water depth. For this set-up, an explicit algebraic expression for the total mass budget of the ice sheet can be derived. After calibration of the model with respect to the present-day ice sheet, equilibrium states are studied for a wide range of temperatures. The model predicts a maximum ice volume (+3.4%) for a temperature that is 2.5 K above the present value. For a temperature increase of 7 K, mass loss by runoff and calving are about the same. In this case the ice volume is about 82% of the current value. The ice-sheet model is used to correct the Cenozoic deep-sea temperature record (δ18O record from benthic foraminifera in ocean sediments) for Antarctic ice volume. The model is forced with the oxygen isotope record, which is then corrected for the calculated ice volume. Therefore, the resulting deep-sea temperature and Antarctic ice-volume curves are mutually consistent. It is concluded that for the last 35×106 years the δ18O record truly is a mixed temperature/ice-volume record, in which the contributions from these parameters have the same order of magnitude.

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