scholarly journals Sensitivity of Late-Glacial and Holocene Climates to the Combined Effects of Orbital Parameter Changes and Lower Boundary Condition Changes: “Snapshot” Simulations with A General Circulation Model for 18, 9, AND 6 ka BP

1984 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 85-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Kutzbach ◽  
P. J. Guetter
Keyword(s):  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Late Glacial ◽  
Orbital Parameter ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
Parameter Values

Sensitivity experiments can be used to illustrate the response of the general circulation to prescribed changes in lower boundary conditions (such as ocean temperature) or external forcing conditions (such as solar radiation). The climatic record from the late-glacial and the Holocene provides examples for both types of prescribed change experiments. A number of general circulation model experiments have been carried out. These are reviewed.At 18 ka 8P, orbital parameter values were very much like those of today, but the lower boundary conditions (ocean temperature, ice-sheet extent, etc.) were very different. The change in ocean temperature, and ice-sheet extent and thickness, were prescribed from the results of the Climate: Long-range Investigation Mapping and Prediction (CLIMAP) project.At 9 ka BP, orbital parameter values were very different from present, leading to increased radiation in July and decreased radiation in January (compared to present). The North American ice sheet still covered a significant area, so that lower boundary conditions also differed from the present ones. The combined and individual effects of these prescribed changes on the general circulation are reviewed, particularly in the context of changes of the monsoon circulation.At 6 ka BP, the solar radiation distribution differed from that of today in much the same fashion as at 9 ka BP, although the magnitude of the change was reduced. Lower boundary conditions were probably very similar to those of today.A series of experimental results from 18, 9, and 6 ka BP are presented as “snapshot” estimates of the paleoclimate of those times. The results are based upon simulations with the community climate model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

scholarly journals Sensitivity of Late-Glacial and Holocene Climates to the Combined Effects of Orbital Parameter Changes and Lower Boundary Condition Changes: “Snapshot” Simulations with A General Circulation Model for 18, 9, AND 6 ka BP

1984 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
pp. 85-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Kutzbach ◽  
P. J. Guetter
Keyword(s):  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Late Glacial ◽  
Orbital Parameter ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
Parameter Values

Sensitivity experiments can be used to illustrate the response of the general circulation to prescribed changes in lower boundary conditions (such as ocean temperature) or external forcing conditions (such as solar radiation). The climatic record from the late-glacial and the Holocene provides examples for both types of prescribed change experiments. A number of general circulation model experiments have been carried out. These are reviewed.At 18 ka 8P, orbital parameter values were very much like those of today, but the lower boundary conditions (ocean temperature, ice-sheet extent, etc.) were very different. The change in ocean temperature, and ice-sheet extent and thickness, were prescribed from the results of the Climate: Long-range Investigation Mapping and Prediction (CLIMAP) project.At 9 ka BP, orbital parameter values were very different from present, leading to increased radiation in July and decreased radiation in January (compared to present). The North American ice sheet still covered a significant area, so that lower boundary conditions also differed from the present ones. The combined and individual effects of these prescribed changes on the general circulation are reviewed, particularly in the context of changes of the monsoon circulation.At 6 ka BP, the solar radiation distribution differed from that of today in much the same fashion as at 9 ka BP, although the magnitude of the change was reduced. Lower boundary conditions were probably very similar to those of today.A series of experimental results from 18, 9, and 6 ka BP are presented as “snapshot” estimates of the paleoclimate of those times. The results are based upon simulations with the community climate model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research.

Changes in the Extratropical Storm Tracks in Response to Changes in SST in an AGCM

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 1854-1870 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lise Seland Graff ◽  
J. H. LaCasce
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Storm Track ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Poleward Shift ◽  
The Mean

Abstract A poleward shift in the extratropical storm tracks has been identified in observational and climate simulations. The authors examine the role of altered sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on the storm-track position and intensity in an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) using realistic lower boundary conditions. A set of experiments was conducted in which the SSTs where changed by 2 K in specified latitude bands. The primary profile was inspired by the observed trend in ocean temperatures, with the largest warming occurring at low latitudes. The response to several other heating patterns was also investigated, to examine the effect of imposed gradients and low- versus high-latitude heating. The focus is on the Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter, averaged over a 20-yr period. Results show that the storm tracks respond to changes in both the mean SST and SST gradients, consistent with previous studies employing aquaplanet (water only) boundary conditions. Increasing the mean SST strengthens the Hadley circulation and the subtropical jets, causing the storm tracks to intensify and shift poleward. Increasing the SST gradient at midlatitudes similarly causes an intensification and a poleward shift of the storm tracks. Increasing the gradient in the tropics, on the other hand, causes the Hadley cells to contract and the storm tracks to shift equatorward. Consistent shifts are seen in the mean zonal velocity, the atmospheric baroclinicity, the eddy heat and momentum fluxes, and the atmospheric meridional overturning circulation. The results support the idea that oceanic heating could be a contributing factor to the observed shift in the storm tracks.

scholarly journals The Response of Ice Shelf Basal Melting to Variations in Ocean Temperature

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (11) ◽  
pp. 2558-2572 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul R. Holland ◽  
Adrian Jenkins ◽  
David M. Holland
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean General Circulation Model ◽  
Flow Speed ◽  
Ocean Warming ◽  
Ocean Temperature ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Ice Shelves

Abstract A three-dimensional ocean general circulation model is used to study the response of idealized ice shelves to a series of ocean-warming scenarios. The model predicts that the total ice shelf basal melt increases quadratically as the ocean offshore of the ice front warms. This occurs because the melt rate is proportional to the product of ocean flow speed and temperature in the mixed layer directly beneath the ice shelf, both of which are found to increase linearly with ocean warming. The behavior of this complex primitive equation model can be described surprisingly well with recourse to an idealized reduced system of equations, and it is shown that this system supports a melt rate response to warming that is generally quadratic in nature. This study confirms and unifies several previous examinations of the relation between melt rate and ocean temperature but disagrees with other results, particularly the claim that a single melt rate sensitivity to warming is universally valid. The hypothesized warming does not necessarily require a heat input to the ocean, as warmer waters (or larger volumes of “warm” water) may reach ice shelves purely through a shift in ocean circulation. Since ice shelves link the Antarctic Ice Sheet to the climate of the Southern Ocean, this finding of an above-linear rise in ice shelf mass loss as the ocean steadily warms is of significant importance to understanding ice sheet evolution and sea level rise.

scholarly journals Influence of Last Glacial Maximum boundary conditions on the global water isotope distribution in an atmospheric general circulation model

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 789-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Tharammal ◽  
A. Paul ◽  
U. Merkel ◽  
D. Noone
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
General Circulation Model ◽  
Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation ◽  
Water Isotope

Abstract. To understand the validity of δ18O proxy records as indicators of past temperature change, a series of experiments was conducted using an atmospheric general circulation model fitted with water isotope tracers (Community Atmosphere Model version 3.0, IsoCAM). A pre-industrial simulation was performed as the control experiment, as well as a simulation with all the boundary conditions set to Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) values. Results from the pre-industrial and LGM simulations were compared to experiments in which the influence of individual boundary conditions (greenhouse gases, ice sheet albedo and topography, sea surface temperature (SST), and orbital parameters) were changed each at a time to assess their individual impact. The experiments were designed in order to analyze the spatial variations of the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation (δ18Oprecip) in response to individual climate factors. The change in topography (due to the change in land ice cover) played a significant role in reducing the surface temperature and δ18Oprecip over North America. Exposed shelf areas and the ice sheet albedo reduced the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature and δ18Oprecip further. A global mean cooling of 4.1 °C was simulated with combined LGM boundary conditions compared to the control simulation, which was in agreement with previous experiments using the fully coupled Community Climate System Model (CCSM3). Large reductions in δ18Oprecip over the LGM ice sheets were strongly linked to the temperature decrease over them. The SST and ice sheet topography changes were responsible for most of the changes in the climate and hence the δ18Oprecip distribution among the simulations.

scholarly journals Investigating the sensitivity of numerical model simulations of the modern state of the Greenland ice-sheet and its future response to climate change

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 397-417 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. J. Stone ◽  
D. J. Lunt ◽  
I. C. Rutt ◽  
E. Hanna
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Ice Surface

Abstract. Ice thickness and bedrock topography are essential boundary conditions for numerical modelling of the evolution of the Greenland ice-sheet (GrIS). The datasets currently in use by the majority of GrIS modelling studies are over two decades old and based on data collected from the 1970s and 80s. We use a newer, high-resolution Digital Elevation Model of the GrIS and new temperature and precipitation forcings to drive the Glimmer ice-sheet model offline under steady state, present day climatic conditions. Comparisons are made of ice-sheet geometry between these new datasets and older ones used in the EISMINT-3 exercise. We find that changing to the newer bedrock and ice thickness makes the greatest difference to Greenland ice volume and ice surface extent. When all boundary conditions and forcings are simultaneously changed to the newer datasets the ice-sheet is 33% larger in volume compared with observation and 17% larger than that modelled by EISMINT-3. We performed a tuning exercise to improve the modelled present day ice-sheet. Several solutions were chosen in order to represent improvement in different aspects of the GrIS geometry: ice thickness, ice volume and ice surface extent. We applied these new parameter sets for Glimmer to several future climate scenarios where atmospheric CO2 concentration was elevated to 400, 560 and 1120 ppmv (compared with 280 ppmv in the control) using a fully coupled General Circulation Model. Collapse of the ice-sheet was found to occur between 400 and 560 ppmv, a threshold substantially lower than previously modelled using the standard EISMINT-3 setup. This work highlights the need to assess carefully boundary conditions and forcings required by ice-sheet models, particularly in terms of the abstractions required for large-scale ice-sheet models, and the implications that these can have on predictions of ice-sheet geometry under past and future climate scenarios.

scholarly journals The effect of more realistic forcings and boundary conditions on the modelled geometry and sensitivity of the Greenland ice-sheet

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 233-285 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. J. Stone ◽  
D. J. Lunt ◽  
I. C. Rutt ◽  
E. Hanna
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Climate Scenarios ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Ice Surface

Abstract. Ice thickness and bedrock topography are essential boundary conditions for numerical modelling of the evolution of the Greenland ice-sheet (GrIS). The datasets currently in use by the majority of Greenland ice-sheet modelling studies are over two decades old and based on data collected from the 1970s and 80s. We use a newer, high-resolution Digital Elevation Model of the GrIS and new temperature and precipitation forcings to drive the Glimmer ice-sheet model offline under steady state, present day climatic conditions. Comparisons are made in terms of ice-sheet geometry between these new datasets and older ones used in the EISMINT-3 exercise. We find that changing to the newer bedrock and ice thickness makes the greatest difference to Greenland ice volume and ice surface extent. When all boundary conditions and forcings are simultaneously changed to the newer datasets the ice-sheet is 25% larger in volume compared with observation and 11% larger than that modelled by EISMINT-3. We performed a tuning exercise to improve the modelled present day ice-sheet. Several solutions were chosen in order to represent improvement in different aspects of the Greenland ice-sheet geometry: ice thickness, ice volume and ice surface extent. We applied these new setups of Glimmer to several future climate scenarios where atmospheric CO2 concentration was elevated to 400, 560 and 1120 ppmv (compared with 280 ppmv in the control) using a fully coupled General Circulation Model. Collapse of the ice-sheet was found to occur between 400 and 560 ppmv, a threshold substantially lower than previously modelled using the standard EISMINT-3 setup. This work highlights the need to assess carefully boundary conditions and forcings required by ice-sheet models and the implications that these can have on predictions of ice-sheet geometry under past and future climate scenarios.

scholarly journals Influence of LGM boundary conditions on the global water isotope distribution in an atmospheric general circulation model

2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1319-1368 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Tharammal ◽  
A. Paul ◽  
U. Merkel ◽  
D. Noone
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
Surface Temperature ◽  
General Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation Model ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Atmospheric General Circulation ◽  
Water Isotope

Abstract. A series of experiments was conducted using a water isotope tracers-enabled atmospheric general circulation model (Community Atmosphere Model version 3.0, CAM3.0-Iso), by changing the individual boundary conditions (greenhouse gases, ice sheet albedo and topography, sea-surface temperature) each at a time to Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) values. In addition, a combined simulation with all the boundary conditions being set to LGM values was carried out. A pre-industrial (PI) simulation with boundary conditions taken according to the PMIP2 (Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project) protocol was performed as the control experiment. The experiments were designed in order to analyze the temporal and spatial variations of the oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation (δ18Oprecip) in response to individual climate factors. The change in topography (due to the change in land-ice cover) played a significant role in reducing the surface temperature and δ18Oprecip over North America. Exposed shelf areas and the ice sheet albedo reduced the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature and δ18Oprecip further. A global mean cooling of 4.1 °C was simulated with combined LGM boundary conditions compared to the control simulation, which was in agreement with previous experiments using the fully coupled Community Climate System Model (CCSM3). Large reductions in δ18Oprecip over the LGM ice sheets were highly correlated with the temperature decrease over them. The SST and ice sheet topography changes were found to be responsible for most of the changes in the climate and hence the δ18Oprecip distribution among the simulations.

scholarly journals Coupled ice sheet–climate modeling under glacial and pre-industrial boundary conditions

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1817-1836 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. A. Ziemen ◽  
C. B. Rodehacke ◽  
U. Mikolajewicz
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Modeling ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Quasi Equilibrium ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Ice Stream ◽  
First Results

Abstract. In the standard Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP) experiments, the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) is modeled in quasi-equilibrium with atmosphere–ocean–vegetation general circulation models (AOVGCMs) with prescribed ice sheets. This can lead to inconsistencies between the modeled climate and ice sheets. One way to avoid this problem would be to model the ice sheets explicitly. Here, we present the first results from coupled ice sheet–climate simulations for the pre-industrial times and the LGM. Our setup consists of the AOVGCM ECHAM5/MPIOM/LPJ bidirectionally coupled with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) covering the Northern Hemisphere. The results of the pre-industrial and LGM simulations agree reasonably well with reconstructions and observations. This shows that the model system adequately represents large, non-linear climate perturbations. A large part of the drainage of the ice sheets occurs in ice streams. Most modeled ice stream systems show recurring surges as internal oscillations. The Hudson Strait Ice Stream surges with an ice volume equivalent to about 5 m sea level and a recurrence interval of about 7000 yr. This is in agreement with basic expectations for Heinrich events. Under LGM boundary conditions, different ice sheet configurations imply different locations of deep water formation.

scholarly journals Fast GCM – ice sheet model coupling software OBLIMAP 2.0, including on-line embeddable mapping routines

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Reerink ◽  
Roderik van de Wal
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Adaptive Grids ◽  
Performance Gain ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Oblique Projections ◽  
On Line ◽  
Grid Nodes ◽  
Reverse Mapping

Abstract. This paper accompanies the second OBLIMAP open source release. The package is developed to map climate fields between a general circulation model (GCM) and an ice sheet model (ISM) in both directions by using optimal aligned oblique projections, which minimize distortions. Both grids may be irregularly spaced and the ratio of the grids is allowed to differ largely. The stand-alone version of OBLIMAP is a powerful tool to map various differently gridded datasets on one uniform ISM grid with an optimal centered projection. This is demonstrated by relevant applicatons concerning the major ice caps. As this applies also for the reverse mapping direction, it can be used as an off-line coupler. Besides, OBLIMAP 2.0 is an embeddable GCM–ISM coupler, suited for high frequent on-line coupled experiments. A new fast scan method is presented as an alternative for the former time consuming grid search strategy, realising a performance gain of several orders of magnitude and enabling the mapping of high resolution datasets with a much larger number of grid nodes. Further a highly flexible masked mapping option is added. The limitations of the fast scan method with respect to unstructured and adaptive grids are discussed together with several proposed parallel implementations in order to achieve another performance gain.

scholarly journals Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Response to Seasonal Modulation of Ocean Color: Impact on Interannual Climate Simulations in the Tropical Pacific

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 353-374 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Ballabrera-Poy ◽  
R. Murtugudde ◽  
R-H. Zhang ◽  
A. J. Busalacchi
Keyword(s):  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ocean Color ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Ocean Atmosphere ◽  
Atmosphere Model ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The ability to use remotely sensed ocean color data to parameterize biogenic heating in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model is investigated. The model used is a hybrid coupled model recently developed at the Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center (ESSIC) by coupling an ocean general circulation model with a statistical atmosphere model for wind stress anomalies. The impact of the seasonal cycle of water turbidity on the annual mean, seasonal cycle, and interannual variability of the coupled system is investigated using three simulations differing in the parameterization of the vertical attenuation of downwelling solar radiation: (i) a control simulation using a constant 17-m attenuation depth, (ii) a simulation with the spatially varying annual mean of the satellite-derived attenuation depth, and (iii) a simulation accounting for the seasonal cycle of the attenuation depth. The results indicate that a more realistic attenuation of solar radiation slightly reduces the cold bias of the model. While a realistic attenuation of solar radiation hardly affects the annual mean and the seasonal cycle due to anomaly coupling, it significantly affects the interannual variability, especially when the seasonal cycle of the attenuation depth is used. The seasonal cycle of the attenuation depth interacts with the low-frequency equatorial dynamics to enhance warm and cold anomalies, which are further amplified via positive air–sea feedbacks. These results also indicate that interannual variability of the attenuation depths is required to capture the asymmetric biological feedbacks during cold and warm ENSO events.

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