A TOPSIS-ELM framework for stock index price movement prediction

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Sidharth Samal ◽  
Rajashree Dash

In recent years Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) has gained the interest of various researchers due to its superior generalization and approximation capability. The network architecture and type of activation functions are the two important factors that influence the performance of an ELM. Hence in this study, a Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) oriented multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) framework is suggested for analyzing various ELM models developed with distinct activation functions with respect to sixteen evaluation criteria. Evaluating the performance of the ELM with respect to multiple criteria instead of single criterion can help in designing a more robust network. The proposed framework is used as a binary classification system for pursuing the problem of stock index price movement prediction. The model is empirically evaluated by using historical data of three stock indices such as BSE SENSEX, S&P 500 and NIFTY 50. The empirical study has disclosed promising results by evaluating ELM with different activation functions as well as multiple criteria.

2019 ◽  
Vol 85 ◽  
pp. 105784 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rajashree Dash ◽  
Sidharth Samal ◽  
Rasmita Dash ◽  
Rasmita Rautray

Author(s):  
Kumar Chandar Sivalingam ◽  
Sumathi Mahendran ◽  
Sivanandam Natarajan

<p>In recent years, the investors pay major attention to invest in gold market ecause of huge profits in the future. Gold is the only commodity which maintains ts value even in the economic and financial crisis. Also, the gold prices are closely elated with other commodities. The future gold price prediction becomes the warning ystem for the investors due to unforeseen risk in the market. Hence, an accurate gold rice forecasting is required to foresee the business trends. This paper concentrates on orecasting the future gold prices from four commodities like historical data’s of gold rices, silver prices, Crude oil prices, Standard and Poor’s 500 stock index (S&amp;P500) ndex and foreign exchange rate. The period used for the study is from 1st January 000 to 31st April 2014. In this paper, a learning algorithm for single hidden layered eed forward neural networks called Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is used which as good learning ability. Also, this study compares the five models namely Feed orward networks without feedback, Feed forward back propagation networks, Radial asis function, ELMAN networks and ELM learning model. The results prove that he ELM learning performs better than the other methods.</p>


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-70
Author(s):  
Ömer KASIM

Cardiotocography (CTG) is used for monitoring the fetal heart rate signals during pregnancy. Evaluation of these signals by specialists provides information about fetal status. When a clinical decision support system is introduced with a system that can automatically classify these signals, it is more sensitive for experts to examine CTG data. In this study, CTG data were analysed with the Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) algorithm and these data were classified as normal, suspicious and pathological as well as benign and malicious. The proposed method is validated with the University of California International CTG data set. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated with accuracy, f1 score, Cohen kappa, precision, and recall metrics. As a result of the experiments, binary classification accuracy was obtained as 99.29%. There was only 1 false positive.  When multi-class classification was performed, the accuracy was obtained as 98.12%.  The amount of false positives was found as 2. The processing time of the training and testing of the ELM algorithm were quite minimized in terms of data processing compared to the support vector machine and multi-layer perceptron. This result proved that a high classification accuracy was obtained by analysing the CTG data both binary and multiple classification.


2022 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashutosh Shankhdhar ◽  
Pawan Kumar Verma ◽  
Prateek Agrawal ◽  
Vishu Madaan ◽  
Charu Gupta

PurposeThe aim of this paper is to explore the brain–computer interface (BCI) as a methodology for generating awareness and increasing reliable use cases of the same so that an individual's quality of life can be enhanced via neuroscience and neural networks, and risk evaluation of certain experiments of BCI can be conducted in a proactive manner.Design/methodology/approachThis paper puts forward an efficient approach for an existing BCI device, which can enhance the performance of an electroencephalography (EEG) signal classifier in a composite multiclass problem and investigates the effects of sampling rate on feature extraction and multiple channels on the accuracy of a complex multiclass EEG signal. A one-dimensional convolutional neural network architecture is used to further classify and improve the quality of the EEG signals, and other algorithms are applied to test their variability. The paper further also dwells upon the combination of internet of things multimedia technology to be integrated with a customized design BCI network based on a conventionally used system known as the message query telemetry transport.FindingsAt the end of our implementation stage, 98% accuracy was achieved in a binary classification problem of classifying digit and non-digit stimuli, and 36% accuracy was observed in the classification of signals resulting from stimuli of digits 0 to 9.Originality/valueBCI, also known as the neural-control interface, is a device that helps a user reliably interact with a computer using only his/her brain activity, which is measured usually via EEG. An EEG machine is a quality device used for observing the neural activity and electric signals generated in certain parts of the human brain, which in turn can help us in studying the different core components of the human brain and how it functions to improve the quality of human life in general.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federica Zonzini ◽  
Francesca Romano ◽  
Antonio Carbone ◽  
Matteo Zauli ◽  
Luca De Marchi

Abstract Despite the outstanding improvements achieved by artificial intelligence in the Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) field, some challenges need to be coped with. Among them, the necessity to reduce the complexity of the models and the data-to-user latency time which are still affecting state-of-the-art solutions. This is due to the continuous forwarding of a huge amount of data to centralized servers, where the inference process is usually executed in a bulky manner. Conversely, the emerging field of Tiny Machine Learning (TinyML), promoted by the recent advancements by the electronic and information engineering community, made sensor-near data inference a tangible, low-cost and computationally efficient alternative. In line with this observation, this work explored the embodiment of the One Class Classifier Neural Network, i.e., a neural network architecture solving binary classification problems for vibration-based SHM scenarios, into a resource-constrained device. To this end, OCCNN has been ported on the Arduino Nano 33 BLE Sense platform and validated with experimental data from the Z24 bridge use case, reaching an average accuracy and precision of 95% and 94%, respectively.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (05) ◽  
pp. 1950030 ◽  
Author(s):  
XUEWEI WANG ◽  
SHULIN ZHANG ◽  
XIAO LIANG ◽  
CHUN ZHENG ◽  
JINJIN ZHENG ◽  
...  

Oculopathy is a widespread disease among people of all ages around the world. Teleophthalmology can facilitate the ophthalmological diagnosis for less developed countries that lack medical resources. In teleophthalmology, the assessment of retinal image quality is of great importance. In this paper, we propose a no-reference retinal image assessment system based on DenseNet, a convolutional neural network architecture. This system classified fundus images into good and bad quality or five categories: adequate, just noticeable blur, inappropriate illumination, incomplete optic disc, and opacity. The proposed system was evaluated on different datasets and compared to the applications based on other two networks: VGG-16 and GoogLenet. For binary classification, the good-and-bad binary classifier achieves an AUC of 1.000, and the degradation-specified classifiers that distinguish one specified degradation versus the rest achieve AUC values of 0.972, 0.990, 0.982, 0.982 for four categories, respectively. The multi-classification based on DenseNet achieves an overall accuracy of 0.927, which is significantly higher than 0.549 and 0.757 obtained using VGG-16 and GoogLeNet, respectively. The experimental results indicate that the proposed approach produces outstanding performance in retinal image quality assessment and is worth applying in ophthalmological telemedicine applications. In addition, the proposed approach is robust to the image noise. This study fills the gap of multi-classification in retinal image quality assessment.


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