scholarly journals 30-days’ outcome of haemorrhagic stroke: correlation between intracerebral hemorrhage score and modified Rankin score

Mediscope ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-14
Author(s):  
AH Sarder ◽  
BK Das ◽  
KJ Mondal ◽  
MA Kabir ◽  
B Basu ◽  
...  

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) constitutes 10% to 15% of all strokes. Within 30 days reported mortality is 35-52% and only 20% is functionally independent in 6 months. Despite several existing outcome prediction models for ICH, modified Rankin scale is found to be best predictor of outcome in early and long term period. To find out 30-day mortality in ICH and predict outcome based on modified Rankin score. In this study, 48 patients presenting with acute ICH presenting to a tertiary hospital in Khulna were enrolled. The 30-day mortality and disability were recorded, and ICH score along with modified Rankin score at presentation were calculated. In this study, the 30-day mortality rate was 27.1%; regression analysis showed the correlation between the scores (as measured by modified Rankin scale) for patient disability, intraventricular hemorrhage, the Glasgow Coma score, and volume of hematoma (>30 ml vs <30 ml) were significantly correlated with corresponding ICH scores. The ICH scale is a simple clinical grading scale which can predict mortality as well as disability in haemorrhagic stroke within 30 days that can be helpful to physicians in prioritization of their patient management and forecasting about prognosis.Mediscope Vol. 5, No. 1: Jan 2018, Page 10-14

2016 ◽  
pp. 68-73
Author(s):  
Thi Kieu Diem Tran ◽  
Dinh Toan Nguyen

Background and purpose: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) constitutes 10% to 15% of all strokes and remains without a treatment of proven benefit. Despite several existing outcome prediction models for ICH, there is no standard clinical grading scale for ICH analogous to those for traumatic brain injury, subarachnoid hemorrhage, or ischemic stroke. Methods: Records of all patients with acute ICH presenting to the Neurology Department, Binh Dinh General Hospital from July 2014-March 2015. Clinical outcome assessed by mRankin score and was compared with each item of ICH scale. ROC-AUC was realized to evaluated the value of ICH in prognostic the outcome of cerebral hemorrhage at day 30. Results: In the day 30: mortality rate was evaluated compared with mRS: In the group with ICH 0-1: no mortality, good outcome was 92.8% and 72.7%. ICH 2-3: mortlity rate increased 47.9% and 84.4%. ICH 4-5: mortality rate 100%. The prognostic predictor of ICH was high with Se 95%, Sp 59%. ROC-AUC 0.908, p<0.0001. Conclusions: The ICH Score is a simple clinical grading scale that allows risk stratification on presentation with ICH. The use of a scale such as the ICH Score could improve standardization of clinical treatment protocols and clinical research studies in ICH. Key words: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), ischemic stroke


2020 ◽  
Vol 133 (3) ◽  
pp. 800-807 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Fahlström ◽  
Henrietta Nittby Redebrandt ◽  
Hugo Zeberg ◽  
Jiri Bartek ◽  
Andreas Bartley ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVEThe authors aimed to develop the first clinical grading scale for patients with surgically treated spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).METHODSA nationwide multicenter study including 401 ICH patients surgically treated by craniotomy and evacuation of a spontaneous supratentorial ICH was conducted between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2015. All neurosurgical centers in Sweden were included. All medical records and neuroimaging studies were retrospectively reviewed. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality were identified by logistic regression. A risk stratification scale (the Surgical Swedish ICH [SwICH] Score) was developed using weighting of independent predictors based on strength of association.RESULTSFactors independently associated with 30-day mortality were Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score (p = 0.00015), ICH volume ≥ 50 mL (p = 0.031), patient age ≥ 75 years (p = 0.0056), prior myocardial infarction (MI) (p = 0.00081), and type 2 diabetes (p = 0.0093). The Surgical SwICH Score was the sum of individual points assigned as follows: GCS score 15–13 (0 points), 12–5 (1 point), 4–3 (2 points); age ≥ 75 years (1 point); ICH volume ≥ 50 mL (1 point); type 2 diabetes (1 point); prior MI (1 point). Each increase in the Surgical SwICH Score was associated with a progressively increased 30-day mortality (p = 0.0002). No patient with a Surgical SwICH Score of 0 died, whereas the 30-day mortality rates for patients with Surgical SwICH Scores of 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 5%, 12%, 31%, and 58%, respectively.CONCLUSIONSThe Surgical SwICH Score is a predictor of 30-day mortality in patients treated surgically for spontaneous supratentorial ICH. External validation is needed to assess the predictive value as well as the generalizability of the Surgical SwICH Score.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Johan A. Haga ◽  
Frantz R. Poulsen ◽  
Axel Forsse

BACKGROUNDThe authors sought to externally validate a newly developed clinical grading scale, the Surgical Swedish ICH (SwICH) score. Patients surgically treated for spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) from 2009 to 2019 in a single center in Denmark were identified. Data were retrospectively collected from patient records and neuroimaging. Surgical SwICH and ICH scores were calculated for each patient, and the validity of the Surgical SwICH was assessed and compared.OBSERVATIONSThe 126 patients included had an overall 30-day mortality rate of 23%. All patients with a Surgical SwICH score of 0 survived past one year. No patient scored the maximum Surgical SwICH score of 6. The 30-day mortality rates for Surgical SwICH scores 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 0%, 20%, 53%, and 25%, respectively (p <0.0001 for trend). Mortality rates for ICH scores 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 0%, 11%, 33%, and 76%, respectively (p <0.001 for trend). Receiver operator characteristics showed an area under curve of 0.78 for the Surgical SwICH score and 0.80 for the ICH score (p = 0.21 difference).LESSONSThe Surgical SwICH score was a good predictor of 30-day mortality in patients surgically treated for spontaneous supratentorial ICH. However, the Surgical SwICH score did not outperform the previously established ICH score in predicting 30-day mortality.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens Witsch ◽  
Bob Siegerink ◽  
Christian H. Nolte ◽  
Maximilian Sprügel ◽  
Thorsten Steiner ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Approximately half of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) die within 1 year. Prognostication in this context is of great importance, to guide goals of care discussions, clinical decision-making, and risk stratification. However, available prognostic scores are hardly used in clinical practice. The purpose of this review article is to identify existing outcome prediction scores for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) discuss their shortcomings, and to suggest how to create and validate more useful scores. Main text Through a literature review this article identifies existing ICH outcome prediction models. Using the Essen-ICH-score as an example, we demonstrate a complete score validation including discrimination, calibration and net benefit calculations. Score performance is illustrated in the Erlangen UKER-ICH-cohort (NCT03183167). We identified 19 prediction scores, half of which used mortality as endpoint, the remainder used disability, typically the dichotomized modified Rankin score assessed at variable time points after the index ICH. Complete score validation by our criteria was only available for the max-ICH score. Our validation of the Essen-ICH-score regarding prediction of unfavorable outcome showed good discrimination (area under the curve 0.87), fair calibration (calibration intercept 1.0, slope 0.84), and an overall net benefit of using the score as a decision tool. We discuss methodological pitfalls of prediction scores, e.g. the withdrawal of care (WOC) bias, physiological predictor variables that are often neglected by authors of clinical scores, and incomplete score validation. Future scores need to integrate new predictor variables, patient-reported outcome measures, and reduce the WOC bias. Validation needs to be standardized and thorough. Lastly, we discuss the integration of current ICH scoring systems in clinical practice with the awareness of their shortcomings. Conclusion Presently available prognostic scores for ICH do not fulfill essential quality standards. Novel prognostic scores need to be developed to inform the design of research studies and improve clinical care in patients with ICH.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1S) ◽  
pp. 69
Author(s):  
Mario Di Napoli

Intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) represents a subtype of stroke with a higher risk of long-term disability and mortality than any other form of stroke. Despite greater understanding of ICH pathophysiology, treatment options for this devastating condition remain limited. A lack of a standard, universally accepted clinical grading scale for ICH has contributed to reduce availability of optimised treatment regimens, and designing effective clinical trials protocols reducing communication among physicians. A number of ICH grading scales and prognostic models have been developed for mortality and/or functional outcome, particularly 30 days after ICH onset. Several reliable scales have been externally validated in heterogeneous populations. Presently, the ICH score developed by Hemphill and colleagues has showed a greater diffusion due to a good sensibility, specificity and reproducibility together with an easy use. The actual modified versions of this scale have shown only a limited impact on prediction although it is possible to improve prediction of this scale introducing new selected biomarkers. Before an extensive use of these prognostic scale in clinical practice, expansive, prospective, multi-center clinical outcome studies are mandatory to clearly define all aspects of ICH, establish ideal grading scales, and standardised management protocols to enable the identification of novel and effective therapies in ICH.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1S) ◽  
pp. 69-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Di Napoli

Intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) represents a subtype of stroke with a higher risk of long-term disability and mortality than any other form of stroke. Despite greater understanding of ICH pathophysiology, treatment options for this devastating condition remain limited. A lack of a standard, universally accepted clinical grading scale for ICH has contributed to reduce availability of optimised treatment regimens, and designing effective clinical trials protocols reducing communication among physicians. A number of ICH grading scales and prognostic models have been developed for mortality and/or functional outcome, particularly 30 days after ICH onset. Several reliable scales have been externally validated in heterogeneous populations. Presently, the ICH score developed by Hemphill and colleagues has showed a greater diffusion due to a good sensibility, specificity and reproducibility together with an easy use. The actual modified versions of this scale have shown only a limited impact on prediction although it is possible to improve prediction of this scale introducing new selected biomarkers. Before an extensive use of these prognostic scale in clinical practice, expansive, prospective, multi-center clinical outcome studies are mandatory to clearly define all aspects of ICH, establish ideal grading scales, and standardised management protocols to enable the identification of novel and effective therapies in ICH.


Stroke ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 47 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suzie Kazaryan ◽  
Nerses Sanossian ◽  
David S Liebeskind ◽  
Sidney Starkman ◽  
Marc Eckstein ◽  
...  

Background: Although the NIHSS is a well-validated tool in assessing neurological deficit and predicting long-term outcome in acute cerebral ischemia, its utility in ICH has not been extensively studied. As NIHSS is routinely obtained in cases of stroke prior to imaging, it is often available in ICH patients to potentially assist physicians in triage, prognostication, and risk-adjustment. Methods: We analyzed consecutive patients enrolled in the NIH Field Administration of Stroke Therapy-Magnesium (FAST-MAG) phase 3 trial whose final diagnosis was ICH. Trained study nurses performed the NIHSS in the Emergency Department (ED) shortly after arrival and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at 90 days. Primary outcomes were disability or death (mRS 3-6) and mortality. Candidate potential predictor variables, including NIHSS, ICH Score, and GCS, those with threshold of p<0.10 were candidate parameters for backward selection logistic regression to determine independent predictors of disability or death and of mortality. Results: Among the 384 ICH patients, age was mean 65 (±13); female 34%; race white 78%, black 10%, Asian 10%; Hispanic ethnicity 33%; and history of hypertension 78%. The ED NIHSS and GCS was performed a median 148 minutes (IQR 121-180) after last known well. Initial NIHSS was median 16 (IQR 9-16), GCS 15 (IQR 10-15), and ICH Score 1(IQR 0-2). NIHSS correlated with ICH Score (r=0.780) and GCS (r=0.860). At 90 days, median mRS was 4 (IQR 2-6), disability or death (mRS 3-6) was present in 70%, and mortality occurred in 26%. In predicting disability or death at 90 days, c statistics were: NIHSS 0.81, ICH Score 0.81, and GCS 0.72. NIHSS≥14 showed 72% sensitivity and 75% specificity. For mortality by 90 days, c statistics were: NIHSS 0.78, ICH Score 0.80, and GCS 0.73. NIHSS≥19 had 80% sensitivity and 70% specificity. On multivariate analysis age (OR 1.07, 95%CI 1.04-2.0) and NIHSS (OR 1.18, 95%CI 1.13-1.23) were independent predictors of disability and death. Conclusions: The initial NIHSS is a strong predictor of disability and death and good predictor of mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage, performing as well as the ICH Score and better than the GCS. Consideration should be given to routine performance and documentation of the NIHSS in ICH patients.


Neurosurgery ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isabel C Hostettler ◽  
Menelaos Pavlou ◽  
Gareth Ambler ◽  
Varinder S Alg ◽  
Stephen Bonner ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Long-term outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage, beyond the first few months, is difficult to predict, but has critical relevance to patients, their families, and carers. OBJECTIVE To assess the performance of the Subarachnoid Hemorrhage International Trialists (SAHIT) prediction models, which were initially designed to predict short-term (90 d) outcome, as predictors of long-term (2 yr) functional outcome after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). METHODS We included 1545 patients with angiographically-proven aSAH from the Genetic and Observational Subarachnoid Haemorrhage (GOSH) study recruited at 22 hospitals between 2011 and 2014. We collected data on age, WNFS grade on admission, history of hypertension, Fisher grade, aneurysm size and location, as well as treatment modality. Functional outcome was measured by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) with GOS 1 to 3 corresponding to unfavorable and 4 to 5 to favorable functional outcome, according to the SAHIT models. The SAHIT models were assessed for long-term outcome prediction by estimating measures of calibration (calibration slope) and discrimination (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC]) in relation to poor clinical outcome. RESULTS Follow-up was standardized to 2 yr using imputation methods. All 3 SAHIT models demonstrated acceptable predictive performance for long-term functional outcome. The estimated AUC was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65-0.76), 0.73 (95% CI: 0.68-0.77), and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.69-0.79) for the core, neuroimaging, and full models, respectively; the calibration slopes were 0.86, 0.84, and 0.89, indicating good calibration. CONCLUSION The SAHIT prediction models, incorporating simple factors available on hospital admission, show good predictive performance for long-term functional outcome after aSAH.


Stroke ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carla Avellaneda-Gómez ◽  
Maria Serra Martínez ◽  
Alejandra Gómez González ◽  
Ana Rodríguez-Campello ◽  
Angel Ois ◽  
...  

Background: Alcohol overuse (AO) is considered a cause of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), but the clinical and outcome characteristics of these patients (AO+ICH) are not well known. Methods: All patients with ICH admitted from January 2005 to June 2015 to a single university tertiary stroke center were prospectively studied and followed up during 5 years. Demographic features, radiological characteristics, and clinical outcome of patients with acute ICH and previous heavy alcohol intake (>40 gr/day or >300 gr/week) were analyzed. Results: During the study period, 609 patients with ICH were admitted. Nineteen patients were excluded because data on alcohol intake was not available. At admission, 83 patients (13.6%) were identified with AO (22.7% of men vs 2.9% of women; p< 0.0001) and was more frequent in younger patients (mean age, 63.11 years, compared to 72.7 years overall; p< 0.0001). Smoking was associated with AO (63,9% vs 13,8% non-AO; p< 0.0001) but not significant differences were found according with cardiovascular risk factors (dyslipidemia, diabetes and hypertension). ICH score was lower in the AO group (1.3 vs 1.8, p= 0.009) and deep ICH were more frequent (p= 0.036), compared to non-AO. Adjusted by sex, age, and high blood pressure, a trend in favor of increased deep ICH in AO patients remained (HR: 1.68 [95% CI: 0.92-3.05], p= 0.086). Adjusted mortality at 3-month, 12-month, and 5-year follow-up was similar in both groups. Conclusions: AO was present in 13.6% of ICH patients. These patients were an average of 11.5 years younger, predominantly men, and smokers, compared to the non-AO group. Adjusted short-term and long-term mortality was similar in AO and non-AO groups.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document