Simulated rice yields as affected by interannual climate variability and possible climate change in Java

In this paper, household vulnerability in Limpopo National Park (LNP) is discussed in relation to interannual climate variability and the effects of the park itself. Climate variability is high and projected to increase with climate change. Meanwhile, the establishment of the national park in 2002 has added both challenges and possibilities. We present the results of livelihood surveys carried out 2013 and discuss changes taking place in and around the park until present day. Constraints and possibilities for endurability of households are discussed. In conclusion, the vulnerability of the LNP households to climate change is high, but there are a number of strategies in place to ensure endurability. Migrant labour is vital for household economy, and cattle production is important for endurability. The hunting ban in the park and losses of crops and livestock due to wildlife present serious challenges. Income from the illegal wildlife trade, which exploded from 2011, has had little impact on household economy or in mitigating household vulnerability but has had devastating effects on the social fabric of households. We discuss possible avenues for transformability, where access to markets and transport remain a challenge for farmers. Individual cattle owners’ view of constraints and possibilities for expanding cattle herding are discussed and assessed in terms of transformability.

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Climate Variability, Climate Change and Fisheries

10.1017/cbo9780511565625 ◽

1992 ◽

Cited By ~ 38

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Variability

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Climate Variability, Climate Change and Social Vulnerability in the Semi-arid Tropics

10.1017/cbo9780511608308 ◽

1996 ◽

Cited By ~ 42

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Variability ◽

Social Vulnerability ◽

Semi Arid

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VARIABILIDAD CLIMÁTICA, CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO Y PESQUERÍAS EN EL ECUADOR.

REVISTA CIENCIAS PEDAGÓGICAS E INNOVACIÓN ◽

10.26423/rcpi.v1i1.42 ◽

2012 ◽

Vol 1 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Johnny Chavarría Viteri ◽

Dennis Tomalá Solano

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Variability ◽

Pacific Decadal Oscillation ◽

El Niño ◽

El Nino ◽

Southern Oscillation ◽

El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽

El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽

Current Action ◽

Palabras Clave

La variabilidad climática es la norma que ha modulado la vida en el planeta. Este trabajo demuestra que las pesquerías y acuicultura costera ecuatorianas no son la excepción, puesto que tales actividades están fuertemente influenciadas por la variabilidad ENSO (El Niño-Oscilación del Sur) y PDO (Oscilación Decadal del Pacífico), planteándose que la señal del cambio climático debe contribuir a esta influencia. Se destaca también que, en el análisis de los efectos de la variabilidad climática sobre los recursos pesqueros, el esfuerzo extractivo también debe ser considerado. Por su parte, la acción actual de la PDO está afectando la señal del cambio climático, encontrándose actualmente en fases opuestas. Se espera que estas señales entren en fase a finales de esta década, y principalmente durante la década de los 20 y consecuentemente se evidencien con mayor fuerza los efectos del Cambio Climático. Palabras Clave: Variabilidad Climática, Cambio Climático, ENSO, PDO, Pesquerías, Ecuador. ABSTRACT Climate variability is the standard that has modulated life in the planet. This work shows that the Ecuadorian fisheries and aquaculture are not the exception, since such activities are strongly influenced by ENSO variability (El Niño - Southern Oscillation) and PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation), considering that the signal of climate change should contribute to this influence. It also emphasizes that in the analysis of the effects of climate variability on the fishing resources, the extractive effort must also be considered. For its part, the current action of the PDO is affecting the signal of climate change, now found on opposite phases. It is hoped that these signals come into phase at the end of this decade, and especially during the decade of the 20’s and more strongly evidencing the effects of climate change. Keywords: Climate variability, climate change, ENSO (El Niño - Southern Oscillation) and PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation); fisheries, Ecuador. Recibido: mayo, 2012Aprobado: agosto, 2012

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Less Rain and More Heat”: Smallholders’ Perception and Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in Tropical Environments

Sociedad y Ambiente ◽

10.31840/sya.v0i21.2040 ◽

2019 ◽

pp. 77-104 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Karla Diana Infante Ramírez ◽

Ana Minerva Arce Ibarra

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Variability ◽

Tropical Forest ◽

Climate Change Adaptation ◽

Coastal Zone ◽

Weather Forecasting ◽

Adaptation Strategies ◽

Seasonal Migration ◽

Forest Zone ◽

Climate Change Adaptation Strategies

The main objective of this study was to analyze local perceptions of climate variability and the different adaptation strategies of four communities in the southern Yucatán Peninsula, using the Social-Ecological System (SES) approach. Four SESs were considered: two in the coastal zone and two in the tropical forest zone. Data were collected using different qualitative methodological tools (interviews, participant observation, and focal groups) and the information collected from each site was triangulated. In all four sites, changes in climate variability were perceived as “less rain and more heat”. In the tropical forest (or Maya) zone, an ancestral indigenous weather forecasting system, known as “Xook k’íin” (or “las cabañuelas”), was recorded and the main activity affected by climate variability was found to be slash-and burn farming or the milpa. In the coastal zone, the main activities affected are fishing and tourism. In all the cases analyzed, local climate change adaptation strategies include undertaking alternative work, and changing the calendar of daily, seasonal and annual labor and seasonal migration. The population of all four SESs displayed concern and uncertainty as regards dealing with these changes and possible changes in the future.

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North Atlantic Oscillation; a Climatic Indicator to Predict Hydropower Availability in Scandinavia

Hydrology Research ◽

10.2166/nh.2002.0016 ◽

2002 ◽

Vol 33 (5) ◽

pp. 415-424 ◽

Cited By ~ 12

Author(s):

Cintia B. Uvo ◽

Ronny Berndtsson

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Spatial Distribution ◽

Climate Variability ◽

North Atlantic Oscillation ◽

North Atlantic ◽

Winter Precipitation ◽

Model Driven ◽

The World ◽

Hydropower Production ◽

Precipitation And Temperature

Climate variability and climate change are of great concern to economists and energy producers as well as environmentalists as both affect the precipitation and temperature in many regions of the world. Among those affected by climate variability is the Scandinavian Peninsula. Particularly, its winter precipitation and temperature are affected by the variations of the so-called North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The objective of this paper is to analyze the spatial distribution of the influence of NAO over Scandinavia. This analysis is a first step to establishing a predictive model, driven by a climatic indicator such as NAO, for the available water resources of different regions in Scandinavia. Such a tool would be valuable for predicting potential of hydropower production one or more seasons in advance.

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