scholarly journals Prediction of Post-hepatectomy Liver Failure in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Radiomics Using Gd-EOB-DTPA-Enhanced MRI: The Liver Failure Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuyan Chen ◽  
Zelong Liu ◽  
Yunxian Mo ◽  
Bin Li ◽  
Qian Zhou ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Liver Failure ◽  
Treatment Strategies ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Clinical Model ◽  
Preoperative Prediction ◽  
Medical Centers ◽  
Appropriate Treatment ◽  
Magnetic Resonance Imaging Mri

Objectives: Preoperative prediction of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is significant for developing appropriate treatment strategies. We aimed to establish a radiomics-based clinical model for preoperative prediction of PHLF in HCC patients using gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine (Gd-EOB-DTPA)-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).Methods: A total of 144 HCC patients from two medical centers were included, with 111 patients as the training cohort and 33 patients as the test cohort, respectively. Radiomics features and clinical variables were selected to construct a radiomics model and a clinical model, respectively. A combined logistic regression model, the liver failure (LF) model that incorporated the developed radiomics signature and clinical risk factors was then constructed. The performance of these models was evaluated and compared by plotting the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculating the area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence interval (CI).Results: The radiomics model showed a higher AUC than the clinical model in the training cohort and the test cohort for predicting PHLF in HCC patients. Moreover, the LF model had the highest AUCs in both cohorts [0.956 (95% CI: 0.955–0.962) and 0.844 (95% CI: 0.833–0.886), respectively], compared with the radiomics model and the clinical model.Conclusions: We evaluated quantitative radiomics features from MRI images and presented an externally validated radiomics-based clinical model, the LF model for the prediction of PHLF in HCC patients, which could assist clinicians in making treatment strategies before surgery.

A MRI-based radiomics model for preoperative prediction of five-year survival status in hepatocellular carcinoma.

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e15596-e15596
Author(s):  
Xiao-Hang Wang ◽  
Liu-Hua Long ◽  
Yong Cui ◽  
Angela Y Jia ◽  
Xiang-Gao Zhu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Clinical Risk Factor ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Survival Status ◽  
Clinical Risk ◽  
Preoperative Prediction ◽  
Magnetic Resonance Imaging Mri ◽  
Radiomics Signature

e15596 Background: Recurrence is the major cause of mortality in resected hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, without a standard approach to evaluate prognosis, it is difficult to select potential candidates for additional therapy. We aim to develop and evaluate a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics model to predict 5-year survival status of HCC patients in the preoperative setting. Methods: A total of 201 HCC patients who were followed up for at least 5 years (unless death occurred) after curative hepatectomy were enrolled in this retrospective multicenter study. 3144 radiomics features were extracted from four conventional sequences of preoperative MRI (T1WI, T2WI, DWI and dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI). The random forest method was used for feature selection and radiomics signature building. 5-fold cross validation was used for robust estimation. A radiomics model incorporating the radiomics signature and clinical risk factors was developed. The model performance was evaluated by its discrimination and calibration. Results: Patients were divided into survivor (n = 97) and non-survivor (n = 104) groups based on survival status at 5 years from surgery. The 30 most survival-related radiomics features were selected to develop the radiomics signature. The preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level was integrated into the model as an independent clinical risk factor in multivariable logistic regression analysis (OR = 3.764; 95% CI 1.997-7.096). The radiomics model demonstrated good calibration and satisfactory discrimination, with the mean area under the curve of 0.9340 (95% CI 0.9222-0.9458) in training set and 0.7383 (95% CI 0.6914-0.7852) in validation set. Conclusions: The MRI-based radiomics model represents a valid method to predict 5-year survival status in HCC patients in the preoperative setting, and may be used to guide neoadjuvant or adjuvant treatment decisions in high-risk patients.

scholarly journals Clinical and Laboratory Predictors of In-hospital Mortality in Patients With Coronavirus Disease-2019: A Cohort Study in Wuhan, China

2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (16) ◽  
pp. 2079-2088 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kun Wang ◽  
Peiyuan Zuo ◽  
Yuwei Liu ◽  
Meng Zhang ◽  
Xiaofang Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hospital Mortality ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
Gradient Boosting ◽  
Laboratory Model ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Clinical Model ◽  
Extreme Gradient Boosting ◽  
Mortality Prediction Models

Abstract Background This study aimed to develop mortality-prediction models for patients with coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19). Methods The training cohort included consecutive COVID-19 patients at the First People’s Hospital of Jiangxia District in Wuhan, China, from 7 January 2020 to 11 February 2020. We selected baseline data through the stepwise Akaike information criterion and ensemble XGBoost (extreme gradient boosting) model to build mortality-prediction models. We then validated these models by randomly collected COVID-19 patients in Union Hospital, Wuhan, from 1 January 2020 to 20 February 2020. Results A total of 296 COVID-19 patients were enrolled in the training cohort; 19 died during hospitalization and 277 discharged from the hospital. The clinical model developed using age, history of hypertension, and coronary heart disease showed area under the curve (AUC), 0.88 (95% confidence interval [CI], .80–.95); threshold, −2.6551; sensitivity, 92.31%; specificity, 77.44%; and negative predictive value (NPV), 99.34%. The laboratory model developed using age, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, peripheral capillary oxygen saturation, neutrophil and lymphocyte count, d-dimer, aspartate aminotransferase, and glomerular filtration rate had a significantly stronger discriminatory power than the clinical model (P = .0157), with AUC, 0.98 (95% CI, .92–.99); threshold, −2.998; sensitivity, 100.00%; specificity, 92.82%; and NPV, 100.00%. In the subsequent validation cohort (N = 44), the AUC (95% CI) was 0.83 (.68–.93) and 0.88 (.75–.96) for the clinical model and laboratory model, respectively. Conclusions We developed 2 predictive models for the in-hospital mortality of patients with COVID-19 in Wuhan that were validated in patients from another center.

scholarly journals A Novel Online Calculator Based on Serum Biomarkers to Detect Hepatocellular Carcinoma among Patients with Hepatitis B

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (12) ◽  
pp. 1543-1553 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian Yang ◽  
Hao Xing ◽  
Guoqiang Wang ◽  
Nianyue Wang ◽  
Miaoxia Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Hepatitis B ◽  
Validation Cohort ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Serum Biomarkers ◽  
Web Based ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
B Virus ◽  
Online Calculator ◽  
Diagnostic Sensitivity And Specificity

Abstract BACKGROUND Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients remains a challenge, especially in China. We sought to create an online calculator of serum biomarkers to detect HCC among patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS Participants with HBV-HCC, CHB, HBV-related liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC), benign hepatic tumors, and healthy controls (HCs) were recruited at 11 Chinese hospitals. Potential serum HCC biomarkers, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), α-fetoprotein (AFP), lens culinaris agglutinin A-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3) and α-L-fucosidase (AFU) were evaluated in the pilot cohort. The calculator was built in the training cohort via logistic regression model and validated in the validation cohort. RESULTS In the pilot study, PIVKA-II and AFP showed better diagnostic sensitivity and specificity compared with AFP-L3 and AFU and were chosen for further study. A combination of PIVKA-II and AFP demonstrated better diagnostic accuracy in differentiating patients with HBV-HCC from patients with CHB or HBV-LC than AFP or PIVKA-II alone [area under the curve (AUC), 0.922 (95% CI, 0.908–0.935), sensitivity 88.3% and specificity 85.1% for the training cohort; 0.902 (95% CI, 0.875–0.929), 87.8%, and 81.0%, respectively, for the validation cohort]. The nomogram including AFP, PIVKA-II, age, and sex performed well in predicting HBV-HCC with good calibration and discrimination [AUC, 0.941 (95% CI, 0.929–0.952)] and was validated in the validation cohort [AUC, 0.931 (95% CI, 0.909–0.953)]. CONCLUSIONS Our results demonstrated that a web-based calculator including age, sex, AFP, and PIVKA-II accurately predicted the presence of HCC in patients with CHB. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT03047603

scholarly journals P13.12 Development and validation of a radiomic model for the preoperative prediction of transsphenoidal surgical response in patients with acromegaly

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (Supplement_3) ◽  
pp. iii65-iii65
Author(s):  
Y Fan ◽  
M Feng ◽  
R Wang
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Features ◽  
Validation Cohort ◽  
Treatment Strategies ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Individual Treatment ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Preoperative Prediction ◽  
Characteristics Analysis

Abstract BACKGROUND The preoperative prediction of transsphenoidal surgical (TSS) response is important for determining individual treatment strategies for acromegaly. Therefore, this study aimed to predict TSS response in a non-invasive way based on radiomic analysis. MATERIAL AND METHODS 273 patients with acromegaly were enrolled and divided into primary (n=180) and validation cohorts (n=93) according to time point. Radiomic features were extracted from the MR images and determined using the ‘Elastic Net’ feature selection algorithm. A radiomic signature was built using a support vector machine. Subsequently, multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to select the most informative clinical features, and a radiomic model, incorporating the radiomic signature and selected clinical features, was constructed and used as the final predictive model. The performance of this radiomic model was validated using receiver operating characteristics analysis, and its calibration, discriminating ability, and clinical usefulness were assessed. RESULTS The radiomic signature, which was constructed with six radiomic features selected using the primary cohort, showed a favorable discriminatory ability in the validation cohort. The radiomic model incorporating the radiomic signature and three selected clinical features showed good discrimination abilities and calibration, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.93 for the primary cohort and 0.89 for the validation cohort. The radiomic model better estimated the treatment responses of patients with acromegaly than did the clinical features. Decision curve analysis showed the radiomic model was clinically useful. CONCLUSION This radiomic model could aid neurosurgeons in the preoperative prediction of TSS response in patients with acromegaly, and could contribute to determining individual treatment strategies.

Deep-Learning Based Analysis of Preoperative MRI Predicts Microvascular Invasion and Outcome in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bao-Ye sun ◽  
Pei-Yi Gu ◽  
Ruo-Yu Guan ◽  
Cheng Zhou ◽  
Jian-Wei Lu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Predictive Model ◽  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Microvascular Invasion ◽  
Dce Mri ◽  
Preoperative Prediction ◽  
Model Combining ◽  
Contrast Enhanced

Abstract Background & Aims: Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) is critical for treatment strategy making in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to develop a deep learning (DL) model based on preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) to predict the MVI status and clinical outcomes in patients with HCC. Methods We retrospectively included a total of 321 HCC patients with pathologically confirmed MVI status. Preoperative DCE-MRI of these patients were collected, annotated and further analyzed by DL in this study. A predictive model for MVI integrating DL-predicted MVI status (DL-MVI) and clinical parameters was constructed with multivariate logistic regression. Results Of 321 HCC patients, 136 patients were pathologically MVI absent and 185 patients were MVI present. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were significantly different between the DL-predicted MVI-absent and MVI-present. Among all clinical variables, only DL-predicted MVI status and AFP were independently associated with MVI: DL-MVI (odds ratio [OR]=35.738; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.027-91.056; p<0.001), AFP (OR=4.634, 95% CI: 2.576-8.336; p<0.001). To predict the presence of MVI, DL-MVI combined with AFP achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.824. Conclusions Our predictive model combining DL-MVI and AFP achieved good performance for predicting MVI and clinical outcomes in patients with HCC.

scholarly journals Immunohistochemical Signature Add Prognostic Value in Patients With Early and Intermediate Hepatocellular Carcinoma Underwent Curative Liver Resection

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yannan Bai ◽  
Yuane Lian ◽  
Xiaoping Chen ◽  
Jiayi Wu ◽  
Jianlin Lai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Liver Resection ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Intermediate Stage ◽  
Ki 67 ◽  
Discriminative Performance ◽  
Internal Validation ◽  
Training Cohort

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third most lethal cancer worldwide; however, accurate prognostic tools are still lacking. We aimed to identify immunohistochemistry (IHC)-based signature as a prognostic classifier to predict recurrence and survival in patients with HCC at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) early- and immediate-stage. In total, 567 patients who underwent curative liver resection at two independent centers were enrolled. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to identify significant IHC features, and penalized Cox regression was used to further narrow down the features in the training cohort (n = 201). The candidate IHC features were validated in internal (n = 101) and external validation cohorts (n = 265). Three IHC features, hepatocyte paraffin antigen 1, CD34, and Ki-67, were identified as candidate predictors for recurrence-free survival (RFS), and were used to categorize patients into low- and high-risk recurrence groups in the training cohort (P &lt; 0.001). The discriminative performance of the 3-IHC_based classifier was validated using internal and external cohorts (P &lt; 0.001). Furthermore, we developed a 3-IHC_based nomogram integrating the BCLC stage, microvascular invasion, and 3-IHC_based classifier to predict 2- and 5-year RFS in the training cohort; this nomogram exhibited acceptable area under the curve values for the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts (2-year: 0.817, 0.787, and 0.810; 5-year: 0.726, 0.662, and 0.715; respectively). The newly developed 3-IHC_based classifier can effectively predict recurrence and survival in patients with early- and intermediate-stage HCC after curative liver resection.

scholarly journals Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Radiomics Nomogram Using Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Di Zhang ◽  
Qi Wei ◽  
Ge-Ge Wu ◽  
Xian-Ya Zhang ◽  
Wen-Wu Lu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Tumor Size ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Microvascular Invasion ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Contrast Enhanced Ultrasound ◽  
Clinical Model ◽  
Portal Venous Phase ◽  
Preoperative Prediction ◽  
Contrast Enhanced

PurposeThis study aimed to develop a radiomics nomogram based on contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) for preoperatively assessing microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.MethodsA retrospective dataset of 313 HCC patients who underwent CEUS between September 20, 2016 and March 20, 2020 was enrolled in our study. The study population was randomly grouped as a primary dataset of 192 patients and a validation dataset of 121 patients. Radiomics features were extracted from the B-mode (BM), artery phase (AP), portal venous phase (PVP), and delay phase (DP) images of preoperatively acquired CEUS of each patient. After feature selection, the BM, AP, PVP, and DP radiomics scores (Rad-score) were constructed from the primary dataset. The four radiomics scores and clinical factors were used for multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a radiomics nomogram was then developed. We also built a preoperative clinical prediction model for comparison. The performance of the radiomics nomogram was evaluated via calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.ResultsMultivariate analysis indicated that the PVP and DP Rad-score, tumor size, and AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) level were independent risk predictors associated with MVI. The radiomics nomogram incorporating these four predictors revealed a superior discrimination to the clinical model (based on tumor size and AFP level) in the primary dataset (AUC: 0.849 vs. 0.690; p &lt; 0.001) and validation dataset (AUC: 0.788 vs. 0.661; p = 0.008), with a good calibration. Decision curve analysis also confirmed that the radiomics nomogram was clinically useful. Furthermore, the significant improvement of net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discriminatory improvement (IDI) implied that the PVP and DP radiomics signatures may be very useful biomarkers for MVI prediction in HCC.ConclusionThe CEUS-based radiomics nomogram showed a favorable predictive value for the preoperative identification of MVI in HCC patients and could guide a more appropriate surgical planning.

scholarly journals Significance of liver resection for intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma according to subclassification

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Masateru Yamamoto ◽  
Tsuyoshi Kobayashi ◽  
Masakazu Hashimoto ◽  
Shintaro Kuroda ◽  
Tomokazu Kawaoka ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
Liver Resection ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
Treatment Strategies ◽  
Intermediate Stage ◽  
Clinical Population ◽  
Treatment Modalities ◽  
Appropriate Treatment ◽  
Alternative Approach

Abstract Background Patients diagnosed with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) encompass a broad clinical population. Kinki criteria subclassifications have been proposed to better predict prognoses and determine appropriate treatment strategies for these patients. This study validated the prognostic significance within the Kinki criteria substages and analyzed the role of liver resection in patients with intermediate stage HCC. Methods Patients with intermediate stage HCC (n = 378) were retrospectively subclassified according to the Kinki criteria (B1, n = 123; B2, n = 225; and B3, n = 30). We analyzed the overall survival (OS) and treatment methods. Results The OS was significantly different between adjacent substages. Patients in substage B1 who underwent liver resection had a significantly better prognosis than those who did not, even after propensity score matching (PSM). Patients in substage B2 who underwent liver resection had a significantly better prognosis than those who did not; however, there was no difference after PSM. There was no difference in prognosis based on treatments among patients in substage B3. Conclusions The Kinki criteria clearly stratify patients with intermediate stage HCC by prognosis. For substage B1 HCC patients, liver resection provides a better prognosis than other treatment modalities. In patients with substage B2 and B3, an alternative approach is required.

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