scholarly journals How Does Climate Change Affect Rice Yield in China?

Agriculture ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 441
Author(s):  
Wenjian He ◽  
Yiyang Liu ◽  
Huaping Sun ◽  
Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Direct Effect ◽  
Rice Yield ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Agricultural Labor ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Effect Model ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The global warming phenomenon has undoubtedly brought unprecedented challenges to rice production, vital for food security in Southeast Asian countries and China. Most studies on this topic have focused narrowly on the direct effect of climate change on rice yield, neglecting the indirect effect. Using panel data from 30 provinces in China from 1990 to 2016, in this paper, we propose and test a mediational effect model to examine the mechanisms of how climate change affects rice yield. We find that climate change leads to changes in functional irrigation areas, farmers’ fertilizing behavior, and agricultural labor supply, and it is these mediating factors that effectively transmit the impact of climate change to China’s rice production. The positive indirect impact of climate change on the factors of production often partially or overly compensates for the adverse direct effect of climate change on rice yield, leading to a surprising observation of the association of climate change with increased rice yield, at least in the short run. We also provide some preliminary policy advice based on the analysis.

scholarly journals Evaluating and Adapting Climate Change Impacts on Rice Production in Indonesia: A Case Study of the Keduang Subwatershed, Central Java

Environments ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 117
Author(s):  
Andrianto Ansari ◽  
Yu-Pin Lin ◽  
Huu-Sheng Lur
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rice Yield ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Calibration Coefficient ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Central Java ◽  
Daily Weather Data ◽  
The Impact

Predicting the effect of climate change on rice yield is crucial as global food demand rapidly increases with the human population. This study combined simulated daily weather data (MarkSim) and the CERES-Rice crop model from the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) software to predict rice production for three planting seasons under four climate change scenarios (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) for the years 2021 to 2050 in the Keduang subwatershed, Wonogiri Regency, Central Java, Indonesia. The CERES-Rice model was calibrated and validated for the local rice cultivar (Ciherang) with historical data using GenCalc software. The model evaluation indicated good performance with both calibration (coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.89, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) = 0.88) and validation (R2 = 0.87, NSE = 0.76). Our results suggest that the predicted changing rainfall patterns, rising temperature, and intensifying solar radiation under climate change can reduce the rice yield in all three growing seasons. Under RCP 8.5, the impact on rice yield in the second dry season may decrease by up to 11.77% in the 2050s. Relevant strategies associated with policies based on the results were provided for decision makers. Furthermore, to adapt the impact of climate change on rice production, a dynamic cropping calendar, modernization of irrigation systems, and integrated plant nutrient management should be developed for farming practices based on our results in the study area. Our study is not only the first assessment of the impact of climate change on the study site but also provides solutions under projected rice shortages that threaten regional food security.

Simulating the impact of climate change on rice production in Asia and evaluating options for adaptation

1997 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 399-425 ◽  
Author(s):  
R.B. Matthews ◽  
M.J. Kropff ◽  
T. Horie ◽  
D. Bachelet
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
The Impact

The impact of climate change and energy resources on biodiversity loss: Evidence from a panel of selected Asian countries

2018 ◽  
Vol 117 ◽  
pp. 324-340 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miraj Ahmed Bhuiyan ◽  
Musarrat Jabeen ◽  
Khalid Zaman ◽  
Aqeel Khan ◽  
Jamilah Ahmad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Biodiversity Loss ◽  
Energy Resources ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Climate Change Impact On Rice Production in Pakistan: An ARDL-Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abbas Ali Chandio ◽  
Yuansheng Jiang ◽  
Habibullah Magsi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bounds Testing Approach ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Ardl Bounds Testing Approach

This research paper aims to examine the relationship between CO2, temperature, area, fertilizers and rice production in Pakistan. This study used Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) and Phillips Perron (PP) unit root tests to check the order of integration of each variable. The cointegration analysis with ARDL bounds testing approach is used to examine the impact of climate change on rice production in Pakistan over time series data from the period 1968 to 2014. The parameter stability test of the model is also checked at the end. The results of estimation show that the important variables of the study are cointegrated demonstrating the presence of long-run association among them. Furthermore, climate change factors, e.g. CO2 and temperature have a long-run and short-run positive effect on the production of rice in Pakistan. This present work is original and it is first time empirically tested the impact of climate change on rice production in Pakistan. The annual time series data of 47 years enhances the validity of the empirical findings. The most fruitful finding of this research is that rice production in Pakistan is positively influenced by emission of carbon dioxide (CO2) at 5 percent significance level in both long-run and short-run.

scholarly journals Modeling the Impact of Climate Change on Rice Production in Asia

1995 ◽  
pp. 314-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. B. Matthews ◽  
M. J. Kropff ◽  
D. Bachelet ◽  
T. Horie ◽  
M. H. Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Does climate change adaptation lead to increased productivity of rice production? Lessons from Ebonyi State, Nigeria

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Robert Ugochukwu Onyeneke
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Adaptation ◽  
Returns To Scale ◽  
Rice Production ◽  
Probit Regression ◽  
Rice Varieties ◽  
Rice Productivity ◽  
Impact Of Climate Change ◽  
Rice Farmers ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Climate change negatively impacts rice productivity in different parts of Africa. As a matter of necessity, farmers must respond to changing the climate by choosing adaptation strategies that increase their productivities. Incidentally, studies that documented the impact of climate change adaptation actions of farmers on rice productivity are few. This study therefore analyzed the impact of climate change adaptation decisions of farmers on the profitability of rice production using cross-sectional data gathered from 240 rice farmers selected from Ebonyi State, an important rice-producing State in Nigeria, Africa's most populous country. Using descriptive statistics, multivariate probit regression, instrumental variable regression and endogenous treatment effect model, the study revealed that the common adaptation actions of rice farmers involved adoption of minimum tillage, bond and drainage, fertilizer, crop diversification, livelihood diversification, improved rice varieties, pesticide, nursery, and adjusting planting and harvesting dates. The study found several significant interactions between the choice of climate change adaptation actions and socio-economic, farm, institutional and location characteristics of rice farmers. The result further revealed that multiple adaptation decisions of farmers significantly increased returns to scale and profit of rice production. The study concludes that adaptation decisions are effective in increasing the profitability and returns to scale of rice production in the area and other regions with similar geographical, meteorological and socio-economic contexts.

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