scholarly journals Forecasting Natural Gas Production and Consumption in United States-Evidence from SARIMA and SARIMAX Models

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (19) ◽  
pp. 6021
Author(s):  
Palanisamy Manigandan ◽  
MD Shabbir Alam ◽  
Majed Alharthi ◽  
Uzma Khan ◽  
Kuppusamy Alagirisamy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Social Issues ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Energy Planning ◽  
Growth Trend ◽  
Production And Consumption ◽  
The Us ◽  
First Time

Research on forecasting the seasonality and growth trend of natural gas (NG) production and consumption will help organize an analysis base for NG inspection and development, social issues, and allow industrials elements to operate effectively and reduce economic issues. In this situation, we handle a comparison structure on the application of different models in monthly NG production and consumption forecasting using the cross-correlation function and then analyze the association between exogenous variables. Moreover, the SARIMA-X model is tested for US monthly NG production and consumption prediction via the proposed method for the first time in the literature review in this study. The performance of that model has been compared with SARIMA (p, d, q) * (P, D, Q)s. The results from RMSE and MAPE indicate that the superiority of the best model. By applying this method, the US monthly NG production and consumption is forecast until 2025. The success of the proposed method allows the use of seasonality patterns. If this seasonal approach continues, the United States’ NG production (16%) and consumption (24%) are expected to increase by 2025. The results of this study provide effective information for decision-makers on NG production and consumption to be credible and to determine energy planning and future sustainable energy policies.

scholarly journals Methane Emissions from Process Equipment at Natural Gas Production Sites in the United States: Liquid Unloadings

2014 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 641-648 ◽  
Author(s):  
David T. Allen ◽  
David W. Sullivan ◽  
Daniel Zavala-Araiza ◽  
Adam P. Pacsi ◽  
Matthew Harrison ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
Methane Emissions ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Process Equipment ◽  
Natural Gas Production

In Afghanistan: Western and Soviet Methods of Counterinsurgency

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-40
Author(s):  
Lasha Tchantouridze
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Soviet Union ◽  
Social Issues ◽  
The United States ◽  
The Political ◽  
Limited Success ◽  
The Soviet Union ◽  
The Us ◽  
Military Mission ◽  
Lasting Change

The two-decade-long U.S.-led military mission in Afghanistan ended in August 2021 after a chaotic departure of the NATO troops. Power in Kabul transferred back to the Taliban, the political force the United States and its allies tried to defeat. In its failure to achieve a lasting change, the Western mission in Afghanistan is similar to that of the Soviet Union in the 1980s. These two missions in Afghanistan had many things in common, specifically their unsuccessful counterinsurgency efforts. However, both managed to achieve limited success in their attempts to impose their style of governance on Afghanistan as well. The current study compares and contrasts some of the crucial aspects of counterinsurgency operations conducted by the Soviet and Western forces during their respective missions, such as special forces actions, propaganda activities, and dealing with crucial social issues. Interestingly, when the Soviets withdrew in 1988, they left Afghanistan worse off, but the US-backed opposition forces subsequently made the situation even worse. On the other hand, the Western mission left the country better off in 2021, and violence subsided when power in the country was captured by the Taliban, which the United States has opposed.

Caprica Energy and Its Choices

2017 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Jared D. Harris ◽  
Samuel E. Bodily ◽  
Jenny Mead ◽  
Donald Adolphson ◽  
Brad Carmack ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Coalbed Methane ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Potential Harm ◽  
Natural Gas Development ◽  
Unconventional Natural Gas ◽  
Potential Risks ◽  
Different Parts

Jane Barrow, CEO of Caprica Energy, must recommend to the board which of three potential “unconventional ” natural-gas development sites in different parts of the United States the company should pursue. The case takes place in January 2011, when the “low-hanging fruit ” of natural-gas production in the United States had essentially been picked. All three of the potential sites (shale, coalbed methane, and tight sands) would require hydraulic fracturing, a process of removing gas that was formerly considered inaccessible by injecting water and chemicals into the ground. Because of emerging concerns about the potential harm “fracking ” can do to drinking water, Barrow must not only analyze which site might be most profitable but also what the potential risks to the environment and area residents might be.

scholarly journals Methane Emissions from Natural Gas Production Sites in the United States: Data Synthesis and National Estimate

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (21) ◽  
pp. 12915-12925 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Omara ◽  
Naomi Zimmerman ◽  
Melissa R. Sullivan ◽  
Xiang Li ◽  
Aja Ellis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
Methane Emissions ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Data Synthesis ◽  
Natural Gas Production ◽  
States Data

Inventories may drag on US natural gas prices

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Power Sector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Past ◽  
Natural Gas Prices

Significance US natural gas prices have surged over the past six weeks thanks to falling supply, strong demand from the power sector and rising exports. The uptick in prices has provided a glimmer of hope to gas producers in the United States, hard hit by a prolonged slump in prices. Impacts Declining gas production and rising demand will mean increased pipeline imports from Canada over the coming months. Mexico will pay higher prices for US natural gas imports as the Henry Hub benchmark, potentially hitting demand. US producers that have more gas-producing assets in their portfolio will benefit from rising prices.

scholarly journals Modelling Natural Gas Energy Production of United States

2021 ◽  
Vol 248 ◽  
pp. 02034
Author(s):  
Yubin Cai ◽  
Yanqiao Deng
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Energy Production ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Energy System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Energy Forecasting ◽  
Energy Prediction ◽  
Short Term Forecasting

In the transformation of the energy system, natural gas energy is regarded as a buffer energy. How to make a reasonable energy distribution and effectively predict its production is very significant. In the work of this paper, a grid-optimized fractional-order non-homogeneous grey model is used to predict the natural gas energy production in the United States and obtain reliable results. This paper first introduces the prediction method and prediction mechanism. Then the model is optimized to make the prediction effect more prominent. The natural gas energy prediction results show that this method has high prediction accuracy compared with other methods, which means that the method proposed in this paper can be used as an effective tool for short-term forecasting of natural gas production in the United States and play an auxiliary role in energy forecasting.

Abortion in the United States: The continuing controversy

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linda J Beckman
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Social Issues ◽  
Ethnic Disparities ◽  
The United States ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Medication Abortion ◽  
Abortion Debate ◽  
Time Period ◽  
The Us ◽  
Underlying Causes

In the United States, abortion rates have been falling for several decades while attitudes have remained relatively stable. Given this background, this paper examines the current status of the fluid and contentious US abortion debate. Five relevant questions are examined: (1) What is responsible for the new wave of restrictive laws and what are their effects? (2) What is most likely responsible for changes in abortion rates? (3) What are the effects of the addition of medication abortion into the mix of abortion services? (4) What forces continue to fuel economic, geographic and racial/ethnic disparities in access to abortion services? (5) Why have gay rights been embraced by a majority of the US public and supported in legislation and judicial decisions, while during this same time period abortion rights have stagnated or declined? It is crucial for feminists to continue to promote the cause of abortion and other reproductive rights. Most important, however, is a focus on broader social issues for women (e.g., adequate education, affordable day care) and the underlying causes of unequal power in society.

Bottlenecks and Countermeasures in Shale Gas Exploration and Development of China

2014 ◽  
Vol 978 ◽  
pp. 157-160
Author(s):  
Rong Huo ◽  
Kai Bo Duan
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
Shale Gas ◽  
Emerging Technologies ◽  
The United States ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Oil Exploration ◽  
The World ◽  
Exploration And Development

With the furthering of China’s all round reform, there will be greater economic growth and more urgent demands for energy. And the achievements of shale gas exploration and development in the United States provide a lot of lessons for domestic gas and oil exploration and development [Figure. 1]. However, the introduction of the matured foreign exploration and development technologies also suffers a great challenge. This paper aims to analyzing the problems in the exploration and development in China’s typical exploration areas and the measures that have been taken. Also, it sums up the emerging technologies and methods in the world, hoping to boost the future exploration and development of shale gas in China in a certain way. Fig. 1 U.S. dry natural gas production ( drawn from EIA)

scholarly journals Methane Emissions from Process Equipment at Natural Gas Production Sites in the United States: Pneumatic Controllers

2014 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 633-640 ◽  
Author(s):  
David T. Allen ◽  
Adam P. Pacsi ◽  
David W. Sullivan ◽  
Daniel Zavala-Araiza ◽  
Matthew Harrison ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Natural Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
Methane Emissions ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Process Equipment ◽  
Natural Gas Production
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